el sid Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 (edited) On 3.10.2016 at 6:35 PM, Aristis said: I read that some family movies made as much as for the entire weekend (Pete's dragon for example) I wonder how much Dory makes... Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 350k moviegoers yesterday (and ca. 860k admissions weekend alone). Better than many films over the whole weekend ;). Edited October 4, 2016 by el sid 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, el sid said: Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 325k moviegoers yesterday. Better than many films over the whole weekend ;). Excellent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 7 minutes ago, el sid said: Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 325k moviegoers yesterday. Better than many films over the whole weekend ;). 2.2M admissions by Sunday? Or even more? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 4, 2016 Author Share Posted October 4, 2016 4 minutes ago, Giesi said: 2.2M admissions by Sunday? Or even more? 2,2mil is possible (maybe a bit optimistic, weather looks better next weekend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 (edited) 50 minutes ago, el sid said: Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 350k moviegoers yesterday (and ca. 860k admissions weekend alone). Better than many films over the whole weekend ;). So it wasn't too frontloaded but many went to see it on Monday? Edit: 350k is better than any film did over this weekend! Edited October 4, 2016 by Aristis Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 10 minutes ago, Aristis said: So it wasn't too frontloaded but many went to see it on Monday? Edit: 350k is better than any film did over this weekend! Germany delivered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 I hope FB and RO deliver, otherwise we'll have the first year without a single movie opening above the 1M adm mark since '94! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 5, 2016 Author Share Posted October 5, 2016 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Finding Dory 875.962 762 1.150 875.962 7.872.181 - 1 2 Bad Moms 231.551 496 467 565.663 4.616.170 +22 2 3 The Magnificent Seven 120.355 524 230 293.001 2.640.267 -2 2 4 SMS für Dich 102.091 644 159 542.440 4.417.232 -4 3 5 War Dogs 99.964 240 417 111.104 961.260 - 1 6 The Purge 3 89.755 378 237 505.359 4.280.126 -17 3 7 Snowden 76.354 281 272 194.870 1.717.277 +9 2 8 Tschick 72.835 573 127 357.416 2.695.747 +5 3 9 Nerve 72.059 377 191 599.967 4.761.126 -20 4 10 The Secret Life of Pets 57.527 608 95 3.523.540 29.181.008 +6 10 11 Don't Breathe 51.130 353 145 417.175 3.556.696 -12 4 12 Frantz 26.199 86 305 31.603 243.987 - 1 13 Conni & Co 25.848 522 50 435.493 2.719.405 +14 7 14 Suicide Squad 19.437 242 80 1.591.513 16.493.297 -32 7 15 Schweinskopf al dente 16.234 163 100 496.170 3.789.378 +14 8 16 Pete's Dragon 14.658 381 38 241.399 1.780.699 -12 6 17 Toni Erdmann 13.665 116 118 646.804 5.762.415 +6 12 18 Bir Baba Hindu 13.162 49 269 13.162 120.209 - 1 19 Ice Age 5 12.930 281 46 2.849.806 22.357.596 +6 14 20 Captain Fantastic 11.890 164 73 205.815 1.505.698 +15 7 A good weekend not only for opener Dory, but for most releases as witnessed by the fact that there were more increases than decreases. War Dogs was surprisingly strong, I hadn't heard any buzz for it. Next weekend: Blair Witch opens in a little over 200 theaters but should have a good PTA; the two wide openers are Miss Peregrine's (sadly, little buzz, and families will flock to Dory once more - maybe some Burton fans will come out of hiding) and Sausage Party (such a kind of humor can be quite successful in Germany, much depends on a good dubbing job). There's little doubt (make that: no doubt) that Dory will be #1. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted October 6, 2016 Share Posted October 6, 2016 (edited) "350k is better than any film did over this weekend!" It was meant more in general ;). I looked at least twice if this number is really right :). These are the Thursday estimates (via insidekino.de forum): New releases: Miss Peregrine's: 12k (starts in 520 theaters; mixed to very good reviews) – ok number to me but the trend tomorrow will be more helpful Sausage Party: 17k (409; good reviews) – not bad Blair Witch (2016): 9k (255; mixed reviews) Holdovers: Dory: 19.5k evening only (last Thursday evening only 52.5k) - Thursday is not that relevant too War Dogs: 5k (10k) Bad Moms: 19k (23k) - very good legs here in Germany too The Magnificent Seven: 10k (15k) SMS für Dich: 9k (12k) Snowden: 6k (6.5k) - a good hold again Purge 3: 4.5k (5.5 k) Nerve: 3.5k (3.5k) Edited October 6, 2016 by el sid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 6, 2016 Author Share Posted October 6, 2016 Peregrine's number is really terrible imho ... this depends on an adult audience (Burton fans) to become a success; with this Thursday number that's obviously not the case. Let's wait if teenagers make up for that but I don't think so. Sausage otoh is a good number, typecal wekend evening movie so it should do very well over the weekend. And Bad Moms is showing excellent staying power, I thought it would get hurt by Sausage but it seems like they're both very strong! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 7, 2016 Author Share Posted October 7, 2016 Friday estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Dory - 600k admissions (-30%, had hoped for better drops) #2: Mrs. Peregrine's - 175k (not as bad as I thought) #3: SausageParty - 160k (incl. previews, ok opening) #4: Bad Moms - 150k (-35%) #5: Tschick - 80k (+10% ... hmm) #6: Blair Witch - 75k, I had hoped for nearly 100k but still ok #7: TM7 - 70k (-40%, will die a quick death) Tschick's increase in face of strong openers and generally not-so-good holds seems optimistic but must be based on some numbers, of course the arthouse appeal makes it far more stable than comedy or family stuff - if this estimate holds then 1mil total are easily within grasp, nice success. Peregrine's otoh seems a bit high going from yesterday's number, as mentioned I can't see it doing that well during the daytime, and evenings alone won't push it that far. Of course I'd love it to become a success, too! It's just that for the 6 shows at my theater today, there's only a bit over 30 seats sold atm 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 The actual Thursday numbers were partly much better (that's why I post them not as an edit): Dory (whole day): almost 70k - so it lost only 13% against last Thursday, the shows in the daytime must have been very crowded Miss Peregrine's: 25k - so more than twice as much as posted yesterday but that explains the 175k admission estimate in the first trend Bad Moms: 22k Sausage Party: 19k Blair Witch: 10k (Source: Blickpunkt Film) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 7, 2016 Share Posted October 7, 2016 1 hour ago, el sid said: The actual Thursday numbers were partly much better (that's why I post them not as an edit): Dory (whole day): almost 70k - so it lost only 13% against last Thursday, the shows in the daytime must have been very crowded Miss Peregrine's: 25k - so more than twice as much as posted yesterday but that explains the 175k admission estimate in the first trend Bad Moms: 22k Sausage Party: 19k Blair Witch: 10k (Source: Blickpunkt Film) So they believe in 650k and 2M on Sunday (which would only be -26%) This will play good over the holidays This has to hold really bad not to reach 4M... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 8, 2016 Author Share Posted October 8, 2016 New estimates: #1: Dory - 600k admissions (-30%) #2: Mrs. Peregrine's - 180k #3: Bad Moms - 160k (-30%) #4: Sausage Party - 165k (incl. previews) #5: Blair Witch - 75k #6: TM7 - 65k (-45%) #7: Tschick - 60k (-20%, sounds more sensible now - guess we won't see the million after all) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted October 8, 2016 Share Posted October 8, 2016 Looking at the start dates, I really wonder what led Disney to release Moana (or Vaiana in Germany) one week after Rogue One. It really makes no sense to put two of your movies that close together. The last big release prior to Rogue One is the Harry Potter spinoff on November 17th. Moana opens on the 23rd in the US, if you don't want to run into the HP-spinoff, you could always start it December the 1st instead of November 24th. That way you have two weeks space in every direction. Yes it does have the holidays to boost it now, but you still end up competing with your own movie. The audiences might be a bit different, especially with Rogue One supposedly being darker than a usual Star Wars movie, but there still will be quite a bit of an overlap. Not to mention that you'll have quite a hard time getting the necessary attention while starting right after a Star Wars movie, even if it's just a spinoff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 Can Dory even hit USD$20M?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 22 minutes ago, zackzack said: Can Dory even hit USD$20M?? Are you kidding me? $30M is the floor. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 Average ticket prize was slightly above $10 on opening weekend. Kinda high for a children movie. Much higher than Ice Age or Pets had earlier this year. So even 4 mln admissions would be around $40 mln in gross. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 thank for the final push from germany, dory pass $1b! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted October 9, 2016 Share Posted October 9, 2016 3rd trend is up: 1) Dory 575k 2) Mrs. Peregrine's - 200k 3) Bad Moms - 160k 4) Sausage Party - 150k 5) Blair Witch - 70k 6) TM7 - 55k 7) Wardogs 55k 8) Pets 45k 9) Tschick - 45k 10) Snowden 45k http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...