BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[terrestrial]

First guesses are up

Warcraft - The Beginning ~ 440k = 6th best OW in 2016

Alice 2 ~ 220k (Alice 1 opened with 545.025 admissions)

Angry Birds 150k +  (only something under 20k admissions needed to reach the million admissions mark)

Bad Neighbors 2 ~ 65k

X-Men - Apocalypse ~ 140k

Money Monster slightly under 120k

It was a strange weekend in some ways. People standing / crawling on the highways reteurning from vacations (end of school holidays in some states), did outside sports/events, still went to the cinemas (son went Friday night 23°° o'clock with friends after a grill party = complained about the heat in the cinema!) and really bad storms at some regions (3 dead, a lot injured...)

 

One highway way hip-deep under water, lightning bolds injured quite a lot in the last few days and water running through streets like littel rivers (with lots of dirt in it)... and the hail was at some places car damaging (again)

 

 

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Warcraft	440.830	603	731	440.830	5.206.856	-	1
2	Alice 2	199.376	530	376	220.472	2.187.469	-	1
3	Angry Birds	151.804	727	209	983.790	7.532.134	+4	3
4	X-Men - Apocalypse	140.635	646	218	479.185	5.191.234	-34	2
5	Money Monster	110.073	425	259	117.977	1.010.367	-	1
6	Neighbors 2	65.021	439	148	681.979	5.528.899	-26	4
7	Captain America - Civil War	47.490	377	126	1.644.920	18.359.398	-36	5
8	The Jungle Book	37.309	467	80	1.705.318	16.404.402	-24	7
9	Zootopia	20.721	394	53	3.652.827	29.774.146	+7	13
10	The Witch	19.651	174	113	64.937	551.076	-33	2
11	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	17.575	511	34	266.274	1.635.250	-13	5
12	How to Be Single	10.970	198	55	971.751	7.995.046	-37	8
13	Monsieur Chocolat	10.421	106	98	32.672	253.968	+1	2
14	Sing Street	10.096	90	112	22.694	140.460	-	1
15	Le Goût des merveilles	8.533	191	45	503.857	3.713.215	-22	12
16	Comme un avion	8.362	75	111	27.973	203.969	+4	2
17	En Man Som Heter Ove	8.060	240	34	375.818	2.852.842	-15	8
18	A Hologram for the King	5.762	186	31	183.508	1.480.454	-46	5
19	Wie Männer über Frauen reden	5.058	181	28	100.808	785.244	-57	3
20	Peggy Guggenheim: Art Addict	4.634	60	77	37.895	292.273	+2	4

 

Well, the weekend was not that bad - some movies even had increases (among the Zootopia and Angry Birds which seems to indicate that Alice was no favourite with the families). Warcraft had a fine opening, a real surprise! And french sleeper hit Le Goût des merveilles has finally crossed 500k admissions.

 

Next weekend: The Nice Guys is the most interesting release, even if there's not much buzz. I doubt if it can beat Warcraft's 2nd weekend but it might come in #2. And football doc Dirty Games tries to profit from the Euro2016, but I seriously doubt if it can do better than other docs. Football fans are not that interested in the corruption side of their sport I think.

[el sid]

How true. I remember an evening where ARD or ZDF broadcasted a CL football match/soccer game and it had fantastic TV ratings around 40% (or even 50%?). Directly thereafter they broadcasted a Fifa-corruption-documentary and ca. 9 of 10 viewers shifted to another station and the ratings plummeted to 3.9% I think ;).

@Aristis
I say, give it a chance. Definitely. But I hope that I don't advice something to you which you don't like then ;).
Before watching it I had mediocre expectations. Some good reviews from moviegoers I often agree with vs. the first bad ones from US-critics. And I feared that Warcraft is only for „nerds“ and overall had no idea what to expect. One of the reasons I decided to see it was that I wanted to know what Russians and people from China love so much about the game(s).
If you or somebody else is interested, I wrote a little review in the Warcraft thread (page 171). And there are already some other reviews which could help too (page 166 e.g.).

 

[cannastop]

Wooh! Zootopia still in the top 10!

 

[Aristis]

1. Trend

Warcraft 300k (a bit more than 30% down, that's a great drop!!! , Cume about 840k, so probably $10M after sunday)

Alice 175k (20% down with previews included!, -13% without )

The Nice Guys 140k

X-Men 125k (-10% )

AB 100k (-35%)

MM 100k (-15%)

 

Hopefully the trend holds, but with bad weather continueing (while storms maybe end today) it should be doable.

Edited June 3, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

I had hoped for a bit higher "Nice Guys" numbers but 140k is ok. Family stuff should do extremely well this weekend with rain everywhere. And X-Men seems to have good WOM after the lukewarm opening.

[HH84]

Really surprised by this trend. Maybe it's because where I live the weather forecast is pretty good for the weekend (around 25°C with some clouds but no rain).

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, HH84 said:

Really surprised by this trend. Maybe it's because where I live the weather forecast is pretty good for the weekend (around 25°C with some clouds but no rain).

Probably in the north

Where I am there was intense rain already.

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd trend is down for most everything ...

[Aristis]

2. Trend

Warcraft 275k (more like 40% drop now)

AiW 175k -20%

Nice Guys 130k

X-Men 100k -30%

AB 100k -35%

MM 100k -10%

BN 50k -25%

TJB 30k -20%

CW 25k -50%

 

I'm a bit too late, you were first, Industrious :/

 

Edited June 4, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

1 minute ago, Aristis said:

I'm a bit too late, you were first, Industrious :/

 

Just came down from the mountains and saw that no-one had posted yet

[Aristis]

Just now, IndustriousAngel said:

and saw that no-one had posted yet

Yeah, me too

[el sid]

And both of you were faster than me ;).

So Warcraft is down around 37%, still a good hold. And I think the real weekend number last week was actually lower than 440k because Warcraft had several Wednesday 23:59 shows which were not counted separately, so it's in fact better than -37%).
Alice 2 is the biggest surprise to me. But WOM was pretty ok so...

The weather is too good ;). Where I live its mixed and warm.
With the football/soccer EM starting next Friday all movies will suffer massively next weekend. And maybe the EM has already an effect on this weekend because everyone who is a football fan/EM fan will do outdoor things this weekend because then the TV is more important.


 

Edited June 4, 2016 by el sid

[Aristis]

On 4.6.2016 at 2:56 PM, el sid said:

And both of you were faster than me ;).

So Warcraft is down around 37%, still a good hold. And I think the real weekend number last week was actually lower than 440k because Warcraft had several Wednesday 23:59 shows which were not counted separately, so it's in fact better than -37%).
Alice 2 is the biggest surprise to me. But WOM was pretty ok so...

The weather is too good ;). Where I live its mixed and warm.
With the football/soccer EM starting next Friday all movies will suffer massively next weekend. And maybe the EM has already an effect on this weekend because everyone who is a football fan/EM fan will do outdoor things this weekend because then the TV is more important.


 

I wonder how Ice Age will do during the EM. The first four were huge in Germany.

[Aristis]

And for sunday movies are down again

Warcraft 225k (nearly 50%) $10M after Sunday could be tough now...

AiW 150k (-30%)

NG 110k

AB 100k (-35%)

X-Men 85k (-40%)

MM 80k (-30k)

BN 40k (-40%)

 

Probably it's because weather turns out better than expected...

Edited June 5, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, drops from estimate to estimate ... and from now on the Euro2016 hits so no good news during the next weeks either.

[HH84]

On 3.6.2016 at 2:40 PM, Aristis said:

Probably in the north

Yeah That's why the drops of the estimates don't surprise me. The weather was great here and the last thing on my and everyone elses mind was going to the movies

[Aristis]

Warcraft 230k (-48%) Cume 775k (between $9,5M and $10M)

AiW 140k (-36%) Cume 400k ($4,4M)

The Nice Guys 110k

AB 95k (-37%) Cume 1,1M ($9,4M)

X-Men 85k (-40%) Cume 600k ($7,3M)

Money Monster 75k (-36%) Cume 215k ($1,9M)

Edited June 6, 2016 by Aristis

[Rentaro1989]

9 minutes ago, Aristis said:

Warcraft 230k (-48%) Cume 775k (between $9,5M and $10M)

AiW 140k (-36%) Cume 400k ($4,4M)

The Nice Guys 110k

AB 95k (-37%) Cume 1,1M ($9,4M)

X-Men 85k (-40%) Cume 600k ($7,3M)

Money Monster 75k (-36%) Cume 215k ($1,9M)

Holy shit Warcraft is holding strong up there

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Warcraft	230.305	637	362	773.236	8.943.119	-48	2
2	Alice 2	139.279	545	256	412.411	4.026.492	-30	2
3	Angry Birds	97.325	738	132	1.113.131	8.451.664	-36	4
4	X-Men - Apocalypse	85.771	644	133	607.161	6.536.425	-39	3
5	The Nice Guys	78.910	485	163	114.149	866.285	-	1
6	Money Monster	76.921	459	168	235.354	1.964.600	-30	2
7	Neighbors 2	39.514	366	108	736.814	5.970.123	-39	5
8	Vor der Morgenröte	23.590	57	414	25.183	201.064	-	1
9	Captain America - Civil War	22.584	278	81	1.680.733	18.733.236	-52	6
10	The Jungle Book	22.282	414	54	1.738.370	16.694.897	-40	8
11	Seitenwechsel	16.220	200	81	18.049	148.870	-	1
12	Zootopia	14.763	337	44	3.672.008	29.901.616	-29	14
13	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	12.072	492	25	282.927	1.729.451	-31	6
14	The Witch	8.916	168	53	79.568	670.737	-55	3
15	Le Goût des merveilles	7.999	173	46	517.398	3.808.079	-6	13
16	Comme un avion	7.312	112	65	39.189	284.876	-13	3
17	The Other Side of the Door	6.277	54	116	12.296	88.494	-	1
18	Truth	6.204	69	90	9.512	69.269	-	1
19	Green Room	5.679	91	62	22.385	136.596	-	1
20	En Man Som Heter Ove	5.600	208	27	386.409	2.925.000	-31	9

 

Well, the opening for The Nice Guys was worse than it looked in estimates, thanks to strong preview numbers. otoh, Stefan Zweig biopic Vor der Morgenröte had the highest PTA - making it into the top10 with less than 60 theaters, that's good, even if there were a lot of school screenings as I suspect. Secretly, I had some hopes for Green Room, but that PTA is plain embarassing.

 

Next weekend: Don't hope for any good news, the Euro2016 is in full swing and most males will be glued to their TV screens or attend public viewings. Accordingly, the most interesting opener is aiming at the female demo: Pride and Prejudice and Zombies. Won't become a smash hit but who knows? Top3 might be possible!