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On 3.10.2016 at 6:35 PM, Aristis said:

I read that some family movies made as much as for the entire weekend (Pete's dragon for example) I wonder how much Dory makes...


Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 350k moviegoers yesterday (and ca. 860k admissions weekend alone). Better than many films over the whole weekend ;).

Edited by el sid
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7 minutes ago, el sid said:


Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 325k moviegoers yesterday. Better than many films over the whole weekend ;).

2.2M admissions by Sunday? Or even more?

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50 minutes ago, el sid said:


Dory had over 1.2M admissions counted with Monday which means around 350k moviegoers yesterday (and ca. 860k admissions weekend alone). Better than many films over the whole weekend ;).

So it wasn't too frontloaded but many went to see it on Monday? :)

 

Edit: 350k is better than any film did over this weekend! :o

Edited by Aristis
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Finding Dory

875.962

762

1.150

875.962

7.872.181

-

1

2

Bad Moms

231.551

496

467

565.663

4.616.170

+22

2

3

The Magnificent Seven

120.355

524

230

293.001

2.640.267

-2

2

4

SMS für Dich

102.091

644

159

542.440

4.417.232

-4

3

5

War Dogs

99.964

240

417

111.104

961.260

-

1

6

The Purge 3

89.755

378

237

505.359

4.280.126

-17

3

7

Snowden

76.354

281

272

194.870

1.717.277

+9

2

8

Tschick

72.835

573

127

357.416

2.695.747

+5

3

9

Nerve

72.059

377

191

599.967

4.761.126

-20

4

10

The Secret Life of Pets

57.527

608

95

3.523.540

29.181.008

+6

10

11

Don't Breathe

51.130

353

145

417.175

3.556.696

-12

4

12

Frantz

26.199

86

305

31.603

243.987

-

1

13

Conni & Co

25.848

522

50

435.493

2.719.405

+14

7

14

Suicide Squad

19.437

242

80

1.591.513

16.493.297

-32

7

15

Schweinskopf al dente

16.234

163

100

496.170

3.789.378

+14

8

16

Pete's Dragon

14.658

381

38

241.399

1.780.699

-12

6

17

Toni Erdmann

13.665

116

118

646.804

5.762.415

+6

12

18

Bir Baba Hindu

13.162

49

269

13.162

120.209

-

1

19

Ice Age 5

12.930

281

46

2.849.806

22.357.596

+6

14

20

Captain Fantastic

11.890

164

73

205.815

1.505.698

+15

7

 

A good weekend not only for opener Dory, but for most releases as witnessed by the fact that there were more increases than decreases. War Dogs was surprisingly strong, I hadn't heard any buzz for it.

 

Next weekend: Blair Witch opens in a little over 200 theaters but should have a good PTA; the two wide openers are Miss Peregrine's (sadly, little buzz, and families will flock to Dory once more - maybe some Burton fans will come out of hiding) and Sausage Party (such a kind of humor can be quite successful in Germany, much depends on a good dubbing job). There's little doubt (make that: no doubt) that Dory will be #1.

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"350k is better than any film did over this weekend!"
It was meant more in general ;).
I looked at least twice if this number is really right :).

These are the Thursday estimates (via insidekino.de forum):

New releases:

Miss Peregrine's: 12k (starts in 520 theaters; mixed to very good reviews) – ok number to me but the trend tomorrow will be more helpful
Sausage Party: 17k (409; good reviews) – not bad
Blair Witch (2016): 9k (255; mixed reviews)

Holdovers:

Dory: 19.5k evening only (last Thursday evening only 52.5k) - Thursday is not that relevant too
War Dogs: 5k (10k)
Bad Moms: 19k (23k) - very good legs here in Germany too
The Magnificent Seven: 10k (15k)
SMS für Dich: 9k (12k)
Snowden: 6k (6.5k) - a good hold again
Purge 3: 4.5k (5.5 k)
Nerve: 3.5k (3.5k)

 

Edited by el sid
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Peregrine's number is really terrible imho ... this depends on an adult audience (Burton fans) to become a success; with this Thursday number that's obviously not the case. Let's wait if teenagers make up for that but I don't think so. Sausage otoh is a good number, typecal wekend evening movie so it should do very well over the weekend. And Bad Moms is showing excellent staying power, I thought it would get hurt by Sausage but it seems like they're both very strong!

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Friday estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: Dory - 600k admissions (-30%, had hoped for better drops)

#2: Mrs. Peregrine's - 175k (not as bad as I thought)

#3: SausageParty - 160k (incl. previews, ok opening)

#4: Bad Moms - 150k (-35%)

#5: Tschick - 80k (+10% ... hmm)

#6: Blair Witch - 75k, I had hoped for nearly 100k but still ok

#7: TM7 - 70k (-40%, will die a quick death)

 

Tschick's increase in face of strong openers and generally not-so-good holds seems optimistic but must be based on some numbers, of course the arthouse appeal makes it far more stable than comedy or family stuff - if this estimate holds then 1mil total are easily within grasp, nice success. Peregrine's otoh seems a bit high going from yesterday's number, as mentioned I can't see it doing that well during the daytime, and evenings alone won't push it that far. Of course I'd love it to become a success, too! It's just that for the 6 shows at my theater today, there's only a bit over 30 seats sold atm

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The actual Thursday numbers were partly much better (that's why I post them not as an edit):

Dory (whole day): almost 70k - so it lost only 13% against last Thursday, the shows in the daytime must have been very crowded
Miss Peregrine's: 25k - so more than twice as much as posted yesterday but that explains the 175k admission estimate in the first trend
Bad Moms: 22k
Sausage Party: 19k
Blair Witch: 10k
(Source: Blickpunkt Film)
 

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1 hour ago, el sid said:

The actual Thursday numbers were partly much better (that's why I post them not as an edit):

Dory (whole day): almost 70k - so it lost only 13% against last Thursday, the shows in the daytime must have been very crowded
Miss Peregrine's: 25k - so more than twice as much as posted yesterday but that explains the 175k admission estimate in the first trend
Bad Moms: 22k
Sausage Party: 19k
Blair Witch: 10k
(Source: Blickpunkt Film)
 

So they believe in 650k and 2M on Sunday (which would only be -26%) This will play good over the holidays :) This has to hold really bad not to reach 4M...

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Looking at the start dates, I really wonder what led Disney to release Moana (or Vaiana in Germany) one week after Rogue One. It really makes no sense to put two of your movies that close together. The last big release prior to Rogue One is the Harry Potter spinoff on November 17th. Moana opens on the 23rd in the US, if you don't want to run into the HP-spinoff, you could always start it December the 1st instead of November 24th. That way you have two weeks space in every direction.

 

Yes it does have the holidays to boost it now, but you still end up competing with your own movie. The audiences might be a bit different, especially with Rogue One supposedly being darker than a usual Star Wars movie, but there still will be quite a bit of an overlap. Not to mention that you'll have quite a hard time getting the necessary attention while starting right after a Star Wars movie, even if it's just a spinoff.

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