Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[Carlangonz]

Working some things around. Mario is been lagging below Woody on weekdays from first Monday but has had way better weekends. 

 

Let's see how next weekend goes but even if Mon-Thu remains below TS4, as long as weekend remains stronger we may be locking $1.5B and expecting an ending closer to NWH.

[Purple Minion]

300 pages!

 

 

Evil Dead Rises $1.9M OW. #1 intl market.

[Carlangonz]

3 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

Evil Dead Rises $1.9M OW. #1 intl market.

Absolutely mental considering it got a C-rating. Warner's streak of recovery starts now. 

[Flamengo81]

2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

300 pages!

 

 

Evil Dead Rises $1.9M OW. #1 intl market.

Mexico is absolutely on fire since last year. It's the most interesting international market to follow these days.

 

And am I crazy to think that Mario has a shot at surpassing NWH in lc?

[Carlangonz]

18 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

And am I crazy to think that Mario has a shot at surpassing NWH in lc?

Nah, the chance is reaching the table

[Carlangonz]

First days of sales for Guardians have been ok for Wed night previews but yeah much closer to Quantumania range. However regular sales for the rest of the weekend are meh-ish.

 

Wakanda started weak but ramped up as days went by and had amazing walk-ups in 2nd and 3rd tier cities. Quantumania just like in US had a wonderful start but then it collapsed.

 

I'll do counting right on Wednesday but I think the lack of connection with sci-fi and less affection for the characters compared to Strange or Panther may do it struggle in walk-ups even with good reception.

[MG10]

On 4/21/2023 at 2:38 PM, Purple Minion said:

THE BILLION CLUB

 

Gross in Mexican pesos

01 1,618,295,627    Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

02 1,474,211,950    Avengers: Endgame (2019)

03 1,375,619,677    Toy Story 4 (2019)

04 1,141,128,769    Avengers: Infinity War (2018)
05 1,132,277,291    Coco (2017)

06 1,084,937,871    Avatar: The Way of Water (2022)

07 1,039,000,000    The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)

 

 

Thank to Mario now over the billion there are 3 superhero movies and 3 animated (plus Avatar), perfectly balanced as all things should be

 

And just a curiosity if anyone knows it, how many tickets did Titanic sell in total in Mexico?

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, MG10 said:

And just a curiosity if anyone knows it, how many tickets did Titanic sell in total in Mexico?

Without 2022 Re-release, it's - 11,926,364 admits

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, MG10 said:

And just a curiosity if anyone knows it, how many tickets did Titanic sell in total in Mexico?

Around 13.2M incl 2012 and 2022. 11.9M from original run as @Issac Newton pointed out

[Carlangonz]

Little below estimates Mario is at $1.186B. With next weekend's holiday ahead Endgame and $80M are very likely done deal. No Way Home would just be an extra but anything within $1.5B range is a thing.

Edited April 24, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

All Time Top Movies, Admissions

 

05    21,530,855    Avengers: Infinity War (2018)

06    18,045,128    The Lion King (2019)

07    17,000,000    The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023)
08    16,145,794    Minions (2015)
09    15,944,900    The Avengers (2012)

 

Mario should become the 6th movie to sell 20 million tickets.

[Purple Minion]

Weekend BO.

 

 

[Carlangonz]

APRIL 20TH-23RD

 

1. Super Mario Bros - $146.3M/$1,186M

2. Evil Dead Rise - $34.3M/$34.3M

3. Pope's Exorcist - $19M/$131.3M

4. The Three Musketeers: D'Artagnan - $13M/$13M

5. John Wick 4 - $8.3M/$246.7M

6. Suzume - $4.5M/$21.4M

7. Air - $4.2M/$39M

8. Coldplay: Music of the Spheres - $2.9M/$5.7M

9. Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves - $2.5M/$95M

10. Back to the Future (Re-issue) - $2.3M/$2.3M

 

Superb for Evil Dead which is just on par with Pope's Exorcist despite a harsher rating. Double of 2013's Evil Dead.

 

Incredible for Pope's Exorcist which shall get an impressive 4x multi from its 5-Day holiday weekend. May be a bigger hit for Sony than Morbius and only below Bullet Train in the post-No Way Home era.

 

Baba Yaga is now at a whopping 77% ahead of Parabellum's total in lc and 48% ahead in admissions. It's now coming to an end but is very impressive for an entry which barely grew from Chapter 3 in US/CAN.

 

Suzume becomes the first original Japanese title to cross $20M and $1M USD. In admissions, is also now the highest grossing original in admissions surpassing Spirited Away so let's see how Miyazaki's comeback does.

[Carlangonz]

I ran a small count just for fun and Guardians actually ran better across weekend, I think it could catch Wakanda Forever if keeps pace.

My concern is how incredibly underwhelming are sales for regular Thu. At least one comp is at 25% of what Wed night sales are which is even lower than Love & Thunder's 30%.

Hopefully a good reception helps to get over that disastrous L&T ratio which did translate in Thu actuals going below Wed actuals ($2M/$1.7M) but still that may be just tad above Quantumania and would put 4-Day OW + Previews within $180M-$190M.

Important to remember as well that Sat (6th) is going to deflate whatever advantage May 5th has due to Canelo's boxing match at night.

Edited April 25, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Mario is now also the #4 all-time movie in USD. Figures from Mojo, assuming they are official or as close as we can get.

 

$81,165,976 Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)
$77,594,843 Avengers: Endgame (2019)
$71,882,369 Toy Story 4 (2019)
$66,244,603 The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2022)
$61,748,523 The Avengers (2012)
$60,058,771 Avengers: Infinity War (2018)
$59,382,044 Toy Story 3 (2010)
$57,860,947 Coco (2017)
$55,957,611 Avatar: The Way of Water (2022)
$51,832,021 The Lion King (2019)
$51,682,039 Furious 7 (2015)
$50,940,433 Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)

 

Some interesting milestones.

 

First movie to reach $20M: Monsters, Inc (2001)
First movie to reach $30M: Spider-Man (2002)
First movie to reach $35M: Spider-Man 3 (2007)
First movie to reach $40M: Avatar (2009)
First movie to reach $50M: Toy Story 3 (2010)
First movie to reach $60M: The Avengers (2012)
First movie to reach $70M: Avengers: Endgame (2019)
First movie to reach $80M: Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

First movie to reach $20M: Monsters, Inc (2001)

If it's Mojo they lack 97-00 so Titanic ($24M)

[Carlangonz]

Perisur is at 782/5,592 and Buenavista at 877/6,525 across OD + Previews for Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3.

That's not good by any means. Allocation is well below L&T and MOM (10k seats in both locations) and on par with The Batman but with much less tickets sold. 

My only "fair" comp is MOM which was selling 5x more tickets with two extra days but pace isn't going to reduce that much. Thing is that even if double sales from here until Tue -which is quite hard- is still going below all Wakanda, Thor and Strange's... previews, not even full OD + Previews.

Even if WOM excells and walk-ups are out of this world this isn't going to be much stronger than Quantumania. I've been hoping this one to stay flat from Vol 2 in admissions (7M) but it seems may end closer to Vol 1 (5.2M)

Edited April 26, 2023 by Carlangonz

[thajdikt]

1 hour ago, Carlangonz said:

Perisur is at 782/5,592 and Buenavista at 877/6,525 across OD + Previews for Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3.

That's not good by any means. Allocation is well below L&T and MOM (10k seats in both locations) and on par with The Batman but with much less tickets sold. 

My only "fair" comp is MOM which was selling 5x more tickets with two extra days but pace isn't going to reduce that much. Thing is that even if double sales from here until Tue -which is quite hard- is still going below all Wakanda, Thor and Strange's... previews, not even full OD + Previews.

Even if WOM excells and walk-ups are out of this world this isn't going to be much stronger than Quantumania. I've been hoping this one to stay flat from Vol 2 in admissions (7M) but it seems may end closer to Vol 1 (5.2M)

Can it beat Vol 2 in gross? 

[LPLC]

5 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Mario is now also the #4 all-time movie in USD. Figures from Mojo, assuming they are official or as close as we can get.

 

$81,165,976 Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)
$77,594,843 Avengers: Endgame (2019)
$71,882,369 Toy Story 4 (2019)
$66,244,603 The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2022)
$61,748,523 The Avengers (2012)
$60,058,771 Avengers: Infinity War (2018)
$59,382,044 Toy Story 3 (2010)
$57,860,947 Coco (2017)
$55,957,611 Avatar: The Way of Water (2022)
$51,832,021 The Lion King (2019)
$51,682,039 Furious 7 (2015)
$50,940,433 Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)

 

Some interesting milestones.

 

First movie to reach $20M: Monsters, Inc (2001)
First movie to reach $30M: Spider-Man (2002)
First movie to reach $35M: Spider-Man 3 (2007)
First movie to reach $40M: Avatar (2009)
First movie to reach $50M: Toy Story 3 (2010)
First movie to reach $60M: The Avengers (2012)
First movie to reach $70M: Avengers: Endgame (2019)
First movie to reach $80M: Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021)

 

Surpassing NWH or even $90M is possible for Mario ?

[Carlangonz]

51 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

Can it beat Vol 2 in gross? 

Yeah, I'm thinking around $380M so well over $355M from Vol 2

37 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Surpassing NWH or even $90M is possible for Mario ?

NWH is likely but chances look slim atm. $90M seems less likely as ER may be shaking in coming days. If you meant beat NWH in USD then yeah, that's very likely.

Edited April 26, 2023 by Carlangonz