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CJohn

M3GAN W33K3ND THR3AD | ACTUALS - DADDY CAM3RON'S MAGNUM OPUS 45.8M | DOCUM3NTARY ABOUT KILL3R DOLL 30.4M | ORANG3 PANTH3R 13.5M

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10 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:


Shit. The Cowboys vs Tom Brady will probably get 40-45M. The biggest brand in sports VS the greatest NFL player ever. 

yep..NFL gonna milk the heck out of this game and ratings will be through the roof...last year's Cowboys-49ers WildCard playoff game had 41M viewers...this should probably cross 40M+ viewers too

Edited by upriser7
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Upcoming Monday is MLK day, so what it loses at night from the TB/Dal game viewership can be (mostly) made up during the day. Shouldn’t be a big hit, relative to Sat & Sun deflation anyway, where the game times cut more into prime viewing range for a 3hr+ movie  

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29 minutes ago, M37 said:

Upcoming Monday is MLK day, so what it loses at night from the TB/Dal game viewership can be (mostly) made up during the day. Shouldn’t be a big hit, relative to Sat & Sun deflation anyway, where the game times cut more into prime viewing range for a 3hr+ movie  

 

Could Megan and Puss in Boots be less effected by the games? Theyre both much shorter movies than Avatar, that could be a deciding factor for people who mabye want to see a movie on Sat/Sun/Monday before watching a game in the evening.

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18 hours ago, StreamBO said:

Gooooood. 460 million budget plus 200 million Marketing means 660 total budget. 

 

Average studio take is 50% Domestic, 40 percent international (without China) plus 25% China.  50+40+25=115÷3= 38.3% The studio takes worldwide.

So Avatar 1724 x 38% means 660.2 million. 

 

Wich means Avatar 2 Breaks even ~today with Box Office Alone, the rest is just winning money with no debt from tomorrow onwards. 

 

Repeat Avatar 2 Breaks Even possibly today rest is winning

You can't just take the averages of the percentages, you need to take a weighted average, i.e.

50%*516M  (Domestic) 

40%*1000M (Int-China) 

25%*170M (China) 

 700M studio take as of today, which is well over the break-even point 

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5 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

That was why Monday was taken as Sunday and the drop was still around 35%, meaning the mid-week hold would be almost impossible to come better than this. 

Sure, it will be hard for better holds than that. But that is mainly because last week were still clearly boosted by holidays. This weekend to next weekend will see much lower drop (at least if it follows the same trend as it has had the past 2 weeks).

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If there’s really still a debate going on about whether or not A2s legs right now are incredible (c’mon people), I need to emphasize that A2 BEAT A1’s first post-holiday Tue-Sun gross. Considering that A1’s post holiday performance remains one of the craziest box office feats of the century, really let that sink in for a moment. Yes, you could say there was still some residual holiday boost from Tue onward bc of calendar config, but it wouldn’t have been anything major. It should be a non-talking point that A2 is doing extraordinary at this point. Needs to fall off of a cliff going forward before we can even start entertaining notions of “slightly above average” legs again: 

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