The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Ryan C]

On 9/17/2024 at 1:36 AM, Ryan C said:

 

Joker Folie a Deux

 

T-13 and T-16

 

Monday, September 30 - Fan Event Showings: 1,602 Seats Sold (10.9% Increase From Last Time)

Thursday, October 3 - Traditional Thursday Previews: 3,231 Seats Sold (33.3% Increase From Last Time)

= 4,833 Seats Sold (24.9% Increase From Last Time)

 

Taken as of 1:30AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: It's good that the pace isn't just staying static from last week when tickets when on sale, but I don't think this is strong enough to not be concerned if this is headed for a low opening. 

 

Almost all of the EA showings are sold out (I wouldn't be surprised if 100% capacity is reached within the next week), but the Thursday showings are still lagging. Showings that should be sold out or at least really close to selling out just aren't. 

 

Like I said last week, the hope is that this doesn't play like a traditional fan-driven comic-book movie and has stronger walk-up business as we get closer to the release date. We shouldn't rule that out, but this is gonna have to work real hard within the next two-and-a-half weeks to make up for a weak pre-sales start. 

 

Joker: Folie à Deux

 

T-9 and T-6

 

Monday, September 30 - Fan Event Showings: 1,693 Seats Sold (5.6% Increase From Last Time)

Thursday, October 3 - Traditional Thursday Previews: 4,013 Seats Sold (24.2% Increase From Last Time)

= 5,706 Seats Sold (18% Increase From Last Time)

 

Taken as of 2:00AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: Still not seeing much that's pointing towards this overcoming a disappointing opening. 

 

Warner Bros. really needs to hope this plays like a non traditional comic-book movie in the final week of pre-sales. 

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Wild Robot, T-4, Western GTA (southern Ontario), Thursday Previews

 

Total Sales: 56

New Sales : 16

Growth: 40%

Theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Tickets per Showtime: 2.9

Chains tracked: MTC4

Ticket Premium in effect: N

 

Sales by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 17/5

Early Evening: 33/7

Late Evening: 6/5

 

Preview Sales by Format

Regular:  7/1

Regular 3D: 0/1

Dolby: 8/2

Dolby 3D: 34/8

IMAX: 7/4

 

Comps 

0.276x KFP4 for $1.3M

0.357x IO2 for $4.6M

14.000x Garfield for $27.0M

1.867x TFOne for $5.2M

4.667x IF for $8.2M

0.778x Wonka for $2.7M

 

Average: $8.2M

 

A couple of big group sales made this jump up quite a bit. We're at the point where the comps started accelerating as well around now, so it'll probably regress a bit over the next few days. Or it won't. We'll see.

 

The Wild Robot, T-3, Western GTA (southern Ontario), Thursday Previews

 

Total Sales: 74

New Sales : 18

Growth: 32%

Theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Tickets per Showtime: 3.9

Chains tracked: MTC4

Ticket Premium in effect: N

 

Sales by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 17/5

Early Evening: 48/7

Late Evening: 9/5

 

Preview Sales by Format

Regular:  7/1

Regular 3D: 0/1

Dolby: 8/2

Dolby 3D: 50/8

IMAX: 9/4

 

Comps 

0.260x KFP4 for $1.2M

0.374x IO2 for $4.9M

6.727x Garfield for $13.0M

2.387x TFOne for $6.7M

3.895x IF for $6.8M

0.822x Wonka for $2.9M

 

Average: $5.9M

 

Still going strong. Comp average is only going down due to outliers regressing, but it's showing strong steady growth.

 

I still can't give a solid prediction though. Nothing really serves as a good direct comp. But, I think we can expect ~30-40% growth to continue to T-1, and probably decent walk ups. It feels like $4-5M is the range, but that's more on gut.

[AniNate]

4/5 would be awesome, but flyover country seems to be slacking so don't want to get that excited just yet

[filmlover]

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

[PrinceRico]

15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

Gross