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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

By Shawn Robbins, in Box Office Discussion

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Posted by katnisscinnaplex,

Presales Tracking Information   I guess this is as good of a time as any to share this sheet I've been putting together for the past few weeks.  It's a table of movies from the past few years with relevant pre-sales information (release date, sales date, sales window, previews gross, etc.)  @datpepper and I will try to keep it updated when ticket sales dates are announced for upcoming films to make those easier to find.     There are a few gaps in the sheet where I couldn't f

Pre Sale Data Google Doc

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Posted by XXR & Friends,

I’m sure I’ve done enough “reminding” at this point that this is the tracking thread and not a discussion thread. Take your predictions and commentary elsewhere. No more warnings on this subject.
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 2120 2657 79.79%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 2052 2741 74.86%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
10688 101 22056 48.46% 13 146

 

2.116 Thor L&T T-11 61.36M
1.380 Doctor Strange MoM T-11 49.69M
1.036 Barbie T-0 23.11M
0.696 Doctor Strange MoM T-0 25.04M
0.462 NWH T-0 23.08M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 2122 2657 79.86%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 2054 2741 74.94%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
10734 46 22056 48.67% 13 146

 

2.032 Thor L&T T-10 58.93M
1.353 Doctor Strange MoM T-10 48.72M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

T-11 Friday 101 Showings 10680 +206 15938 ATP: 22.36
0.861 Thor L&T Thurs T-11 24.97M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Thurs T-11 37.24M
0.635 Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-11 22.85M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-11 33.97M
0.330 Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0 11.87M
0.275 NWH Thurs T-0 13.76M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0 17.65M
  Adjusted NWH Thurs T-0 20.45M

 

T-12 Saturday 185 Showings 14318 +380 27616 ATP: 22.08
1.407 Thor L&T Fri T-12 57.04M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Fri T-12 85.58M
0.959 Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-12 52.49M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-12 79.13M
0.385 Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0 21.06M
0.336 NWH Fri T-0 24.15M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0 31.75M
  Adjusted NWH Fri T-0 36.40M

 

T-13 Sunday 162 Showings 11482 +397 24071 ATP: 21.95
1.188 Thor L&T Sat T-13 50.04M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Sat T-13 76.70M
0.733 Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-13 42.37M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-13 65.53M
0.261 Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0 15.09M
0.228 NWH Sat T-0 16.88M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0 23.34M
  Adjusted NWH Sat T-0 26.11M

 

Probably gonna get rid of the T-0 comps from hereon out

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-10 Friday 109 Showings 10743 +63 16930 ATP: 22.35
0.843 Thor L&T Thurs T-10 24.45M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Thurs T-10 36.47M
0.625 Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-10 22.50M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-10 33.44M

 

T-11 Saturday 198 Showings 14432 +114 29108 ATP: 22.08
1.358 Thor L&T Fri T-11 55.07M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Fri T-11 82.61M
0.939 Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-11 51.40M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-11 77.47M

 

T-12 Sunday 171 Showings 11497 +15 24965 ATP: 21.94
1.140 Thor L&T Sat T-12 48.02M
  Adjusted Thor L&T Sat T-12 73.59M
0.712 Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-12 41.18M
  Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-12 63.69M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment [+2 days of sales]

T-11 Friday 130 Showings 9875 +275 20074
0.688 Barbie T-0 Thursday 15.34M

 

T-12 Saturday 234 Showings 6823 +296 36976
0.265 Barbie T-0 Friday 12.68M

 

T-13 Sunday 232 Showings 4139 +225 36391
0.175 Barbie T-0 Saturday 7.63M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-10 Friday 131 Showings 10032 +157 20220

 

T-11 Saturday 237 Showings 6968 +145 37303

 

T-12 Sunday 229 Showings 4290 +151 36012
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Five Nights at Freddy's Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 84 310 27.10%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 55 279 19.71%

 

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
530 N/A 6321 8.38% 12 38

 

Not sure what comps to add here... I'll just do it tomorrow

Five Nights at Freddy's Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 103 310 33.23%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 57 279 20.43%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
554 24 6552 8.46% 12 38

 

0.949 The Flash Day 3 9.20M
0.295 Guardians 3 T-23 5.16M
1.592 Black Adam Day 3 12.10M
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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted

Its interesting Disney choose to start ticket sales this close to Eras opening. I would have thought they would wait for Monday after next or open sales this week before final week buzz. Should be really interesting to track. I have already mentioned my opinion on this movie and so I would not pollute this thread(or anywhere else). Should be interesting Day 1 to track. 

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Five Nights at Freddy's Alamo Drafthouse

T-24 Thursday 84 Showings 1813 +1813 9993 ATP: 17.10

 

T-25 Friday 92 Showings 1173 +1173 10249 ATP: 15.95

 

T-26 Saturday 91 Showings 507 +507 9920 ATP: 14.94

 

T-27 Sunday 81 Showings 175 +175 9102 ATP: 13.73

Five Nights at Freddy's Alamo Drafthouse

T-23 Thursday 84 Showings 2138 +325 9996 ATP: 16.74
1.306 The Flash Day 3 12.67M
0.285 Guardians 3 T-23 4.99M
2.551 Black Adam Day 3 19.39M

 

T-24 Friday 92 Showings 1455 +282 10254 ATP: 15.56
1.545 The Flash Day 3 22.86M
0.264 Guardians 3 T-24 8.08M
2.370 Black Adam Day 3 45.24M

 

T-25 Saturday 91 Showings 797 +290 9924 ATP: 14.79
0.977 The Flash Day 3 15.33M
0.128 Guardians 3 T-25 4.96M
1.172 Black Adam Day 3 27.79M

 

T-26 Sunday 81 Showings 222 +47 8965 ATP: 13.49
0.655 The Flash Day 3 10.15M
0.075 Guardians 3 T-26 2.34M
1.116 Black Adam Day 3 18.52M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Five Nights at Freddy's Emagine Entertainment

T-24 Thursday 83 Showings 431 +431 10738

 

T-25 Friday 123 Showings 722 +722 15422

 

T-26 Saturday 121 Showings 182 +182 14885

 

T-27 Sunday 114 Showings 74 +74 13984

Five Nights at Freddy's Emagine Entertainment

T-23 Thursday 84 Showings 565 +134 10934
0.821 The Flash Day 3 7.97M

 

T-24 Friday 123 Showings 998 +276 15323
3.052 The Flash Day 3 45.17M

 

T-25 Saturday 121 Showings 225 +43 14885
1.190 The Flash Day 3 18.69M

 

T-26 Sunday 114 Showings 95 +21 13984
1.203 The Flash Day 3 18.64M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 10/2/2023 at 4:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 87 1203 7.23%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 35 1256 2.79%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
466 N/A 10533 4.42% 12 51

 

0.0644 Taylor Swift 25 hours

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 110 1203 9.14%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 42 1258 3.34%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
560 94 11026 5.08% 12 51

 

0.0686 Taylor Swift Day 2
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-59 Thursday 55 Showings 1648 +1648 8559 ATP: 24.47
0.393 Taylor Swift Friday Day 1

 

T-60 Friday 95 Showings 1868 +1868 15400 ATP: 24.90
0.492 Taylor Swift Saturday Day 1

 

T-61 Saturday 97 Showings 1699 +1699 15835 ATP: 24.47
0.601 Taylor Swift Sunday Day 1

 

T-62 Sunday 85 Showings 930 +930 13169 ATP: 23.70

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-58 Thursday 56 Showings 2026 +378 8687 ATP: 24.44
0.331 Taylor Swift Friday Day 2

 

T-59 Friday 97 Showings 2409 +541 15656 ATP: 24.88
0.389 Taylor Swift Saturday Day 2

 

T-60 Saturday 97 Showings 2223 +524 15835 ATP: 24.61
0.504 Taylor Swift Sunday Day 2

 

T-61 Sunday 85 Showings 1305 +375 13169 ATP: 23.85
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-59 Thursday 60 Showings 254 +254 10321
0.052 Taylor Swift Friday Day 1

 

T-60 Friday 141 Showings 155 +155 25272
0.076 Taylor Swift Saturday Day 1

 

T-61 Saturday 142 Showings 125 +125 25145
0.107 Taylor Swift Sunday Day 1

 

T-62 Sunday 136 Showings 26 +26 24214

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-58 Thursday 60 Showings 394 +140 10322
0.068 Taylor Swift Friday Day 2

 

T-59 Friday 141 Showings 330 +175 25272
0.113 Taylor Swift Saturday Day 2

 

T-60 Saturday 142 Showings 239 +114 25145
0.151 Taylor Swift Sunday Day 2

 

T-61 Sunday 134 Showings 51 +25 24180
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TheFlatLannister Box Office Gold

TheFlatLannister

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-25

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

148

1136

27239

4.2%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

201

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-25

 

(1.454x) of Mi7 ~$10.18M THUR Previews

(1.054x) of Oppenheimer ~$11.06M THUR Previews

(1.182x) of RoTB ~$10.40M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $10.55M

 

Just an exceptional day 2 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

154

1445

28366

5.1%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

309

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-24

 

(1.743x) of Mi7 ~$12.20M THUR Previews

(1.309x) of Oppenheimer ~$13.74M THUR Previews

(1.461x) of RoTB ~$12.86M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $12.93M

 

Day 3 was even better than day 2. Going to add Flash comp tmrw 

 

 Someone Cooked Here | Know Your Meme

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TheFlatLannister Box Office Gold

TheFlatLannister

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

145

439

24356

1.8%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-18

 

(0.365x) of Oppenheimer ~$3.83M THUR Previews

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

145

455

24356

1.9%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-17

 

(0.373x) of Oppenheimer ~$3.92M THUR Previews

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TheFlatLannister Box Office Gold

TheFlatLannister

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

RENAISSANCE: A FILM BY BEYONCÉ

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-59 *First few hours

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

158

1042

31688

3.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

First Few hours

 

0.133x behind TET first few hours 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

RENAISSANCE: A FILM BY BEYONCÉ

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-58

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

158

1221

31688

3.9%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

179

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Probably not going to dedicate a full track to this 

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Beyonce Renaissance Tour Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total 110 1203 9.14%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 42 1258 3.34%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
560 94 11026 5.08% 12 51

 

0.559 Taylor Swift Day 2

 

I’m a bit confused by this comp. What does “0.559 Taylor Swift Day 2” mean? 

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

0.559x of Taylor Swift Eras Tour during its second day of sales


I don’t think the math is mathing. Your day 2 Eras numbers for this comp 921 sold (or 654 sold, not sure which you’re using for this) but neither of those comp against 94 tickets @ 55.9%.

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TheFlatLannister Box Office Gold

TheFlatLannister

Posted
Posted
On 10/2/2023 at 6:53 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-3

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

154

862

27238

3.2%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

75

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-3

 

(4.009x) of Talk to me~$4.99M THUR Previews

(2.826x) of Boogeyman~$3.11M THUR Previews

(1.404x) of Nun II~$4.35M THUR Previews

(1.924x) of Saw X~$3.85M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $4.08M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-2

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

154

1009

27238

3.7%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

147

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-2

 

(3.086x) of Boogeyman~$3.39M THUR Previews

(1.512x) of Nun II~$4.69M THUR Previews

(2.014x) of Saw X~$4.03M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $4.04M

 

So a very nice increase locally. Maybe its just overindexing here 

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abracadabra1998 Box Office Gold

abracadabra1998

Posted
Posted
On 10/1/2023 at 6:29 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Exorcist: Believer (T-4):

Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 17 theaters 47 47 195 9144 2.13

 

Comps:

1.7x The Nun II: $5.26 Million

1.46x Saw X: $2.91 Million

1.21x Insidious Red Door: $6.06 Million

2.75x Talk To Me: $3.42 Million

3.25x Last Voyage of the Demeter: $2.44 Million

 

Comp Average: $4.02 Million

 

We'll see how this does this last week, this number is a bit deceiving because of such a large pre-sale window compared to most of these comps. It's at a good spot though.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Exorcist: Believer (T-2):

Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 20 theaters 76 78 273 13373 2.04

 

Comps:

1.28x The Nun II: $3.97 Million

1.11x Saw X: $2.23 Million

0.91x Insidious Red Door: $4.56 Million

1.51x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $1.87 Million

2.65x Last Voyage of the Demeter: $1.99 Million

 

Comp Average: $2.92 Million

 

Huuuge drop since last updates. 78 new seats over 2 days is not good, and while I understand this burnt out demand over the last few weeks, not ramping up at this point is a bad sign. Final comps and prediction tomorrow.

 

Joining the Bey party on Thursday, it's all I can handle at the moment!

 

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