The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Joyous Legion]

Didn’t necessarily want to comment but I guess it’s unavoidable now. Very strong “IO2 80M” vibes for me with that 150 expectation.   
 

And I would be very careful using Sacto as your primary market for this — I know we like to joke about black magic but it is still just one city at the end of the day that will occasionally have idiosyncratic behavior, and it’s under indexing there massively right now just as it has since D1. I would guess that Sacto will come into line with more national picture by D-1 or whenever but until then… we’ll it’s a gap worth minding is all

[charlie Jatinder]

MTC 1 is at T-17 level of Thor 4
MTC 2 is at T-15 
MiniTC2 is at T-14.5 ish

[charlie Jatinder]

Desperate times, Desperate measures.

Edited Wednesday at 05:05 AM by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Friday is looking better but I may have to reduce expectations even with MTC1 expected to under index. 

With low ticket prices I wonder if MTC1 go below 20% on Friday, may be even 17-18%.

[Joyous Legion]

38 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MTC 1 is at T-17 level of Thor 4
MTC 2 is at T-15 
MiniTC2 is at T-14.5 ish

Even more stark diff with bp2. Sacto is at d-26 right now, mtc1 is at t-15

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/24/2024 at 7:13 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-31 Thursday: 25795/207557

T-32 Friday: 16161/271893

T-33 Saturday: 11694/284179

T-34 Sunday: 3800/282093

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-30 Thursday: 26014/207557

T-31 Friday: 16356/271893

T-32 Saturday: 11870/284179

T-33 Sunday: 3853/282093

 

Numbers are from a few hours ago

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/24/2024 at 7:14 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Despicable Me 4

T-9 Wednesday: 1978/230098

T-10 Thursday: 535/229845

T-11 Friday: 710/235194

T-12 Saturday: 1212/238202

MTC4 Despicable Me 4

T-8 Wednesday: 2526/230098

T-9 Thursday: 745/229845

T-10 Friday: 764/235194

T-11 Saturday: 1355/238202

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/24/2024 at 7:15 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 A Quiet Place Day One

T-3 Thursday: 1250/85461

T-4 Friday: 1687/142506

T-5 Saturday: 797/157746

T-6 Sunday: 395/156530

MTC4 A Quiet Place Day One

T-2 Thursday: 1732/85461

T-3 Friday: 2743/142506

T-4 Saturday: 1217/157746

T-5 Sunday: 573/156530

[charlie Jatinder]

23 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Despicable Me 4 MiniTC2 T-9 Days

 

Wednesday - 1417/104630 (404 showings)

 

Comps

Minions 2 ~ $41.25M

 

Inside Out 2 - $25.5M

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $29.5M

Despicable Me 4 MiniTC2 T-8 Days

 

Wednesday - 1627/101414 (392 showings)

 

Comps

Minions 2 - $40.2M

 

Inside Out 2 - $25M

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $29M

 

Edit: It seems some shows might have been missed.

Edited Wednesday at 08:05 AM by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/21/2024 at 3:19 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MiniTC2 T-35 Days (32 Days on sale)

 

Previews - 9611/84947 (322 showings) $140K

 

Comps

GoTG 3 (T-17 Days) - $31.4M

Black Panther 2 (T-17 Days) - $33M

Thor 4 (T-17 Days) - $30M

 

Black Panther 2 (T-35 Days, 4 days on sale) - $49M

Deadpool & Wolverine MiniTC2 T-30 Days (37 Days on sale)

 

Previews - 9906/84939 (322 showings) $143K

 

Comps

GoTG 3 (T-17 Days) - $32.4M

Black Panther 2 (T-17 Days) - $34.2M

Thor 4 (T-17 Days) - $34M

 

Black Panther 2 (T-30 Days, 9 days on sale) - $43M

Edited Wednesday at 08:12 AM by charlie Jatinder

[Issac Newton]

Kalki 2898 AD (T-0) 

 

$2,770,808 / 92,132 tix sold (982 Locs) ~ 3,806 Shows

 

$3.05M incl. Canada 

 

$3.6M Premiere+Day 1 ($4.15M Weekend)

[TomThomas]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Desperate times, Desperate measures.

200% walkups.

[Porthos]

On 6/25/2024 at 2:48 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-31 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28106	33625	5519	16.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

37

 

T-31 Comp

%

Sold T-31

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

BP2

113.68

237

4855

1/294

32167/37022

13.11%

16800

32.85%

31.83m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1173/12925  [9.08% sold]
Matinee:    301/4469  [6.74% | 5.45% of all tickets sold]
3D:            590/6801  [8.68% | 10.69% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2870/11535  [24.88% | 52.00% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        38 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    38 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
(yes the above is accurate, as a DBOX seat was refunded which weren't tracked for the above movies)

 

 

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-30 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28047	33625	5578	16.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

59

 

T-30 Comp

%

Sold T-30

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

BP2

111.20

161

5016

1/294

32006/37022

13.55%

16800

33.20%

31.14m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1192/12925  [9.22% sold]
Matinee:    302/4469  [6.76% | 5.41% of all tickets sold]
3D:             595/6801  [8.75% | 10.67% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        2913/11535  [25.25% | 52.22% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV       55 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    55 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

[Porthos]

Quick and Dirty A Quiet Place: Day One Sacramento Report [T-2]

1630/21885 (7.45% sold) 152 showtimes.

 

1.05229x Nope at T-2               [6.73m]

0.91522x Scream VI at T-2      [5.21m]

1.03822x Bad Boys 4 at T-2    [6.13m]

 

====

 

Doing monster IO2 and DP3 tracks side-by-side gave me a minor case of burnout so I let both AQPD1 and Twisters fall by the wayside on my home sheets but literally (lit-er-a-ly) at the last moment tonight decided to revive my AQPD1 track.  No info from yesterday, but... yeah, this is doing very well. 

 

Threw comps together, again at the last moment, so might have better ones tomorrow when I have time to collect them/think them over.

[THUNDER BIRD]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MiniTC2 T-30 Days (37 Days on sale)

 

Previews - 9906/84939 (322 showings) $143K

 

Comps

GoTG 3 (T-17 Days) - $32.4M

Black Panther 2 (T-17 Days) - $34.2M

Thor 4 (T-17 Days) - $34M

 

Black Panther 2 (T-30 Days, 9 days on sale) - $43M

43 million, nice.

[katnisscinnaplex]

18 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Its not on sale in MiniTC2. Wonder if missing others too. @katnisscinnaplex would have helped but he is busy irl

Yeah, this is a weird one.  

 

Alamo EA on 6/26

A few MTC1 and MTC3 shows on 7/1

~1,400 early shows on 7/3 across all chains

Only seeing five theaters with previews on the 4th

Back to around 1,400 theaters on Friday (so far)

[vafrow]

On 6/25/2024 at 6:49 AM, vafrow said:

 

Despicable Me 4, T-9 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 155

New Sales: 8

Growth: 5%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 38

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 4.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 26/8

Early Afternoon: 29/8

Late Afternoon: 22/8

Early Evening: 74/7

Late Evening: 4/7

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 12/7

Regular 3D: 6/5

Dolby: 106/14

Dolby 3D: 7/2

IMAX: 24/10

 

Comps

2.279x Inside Out 2 for $29.6M

1.802x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $8.7M

2.672x GB:FE for $9.9M

3.523x Wonka for $12.3M

25.833x IF for $45.2M

Average: $21.1M

 

It's the closest thing it's had to a bad day. I'm not sure the cause, but not too worried about falling off pace for one day when it's been si consistent.

 

Despicable Me 4, T-8 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 187

New Sales: 32

Growth: 21%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 63

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.0

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 27/13

Early Afternoon: 36/13

Late Afternoon: 25/13

Early Evening: 95/12

Late Evening: 4/13

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 12/18

Regular 3D: 11/15

Dolby: 127/17

Dolby 3D: 7/3

IMAX: 30/10

 

Comps

2.338x Inside Out 2 for $30.4M

2.055x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $9.9M

2.968x GB:FE for $11.0M

4.065x Wonka for $14.2M

23.375x IF for $40.9M

Average: $21.3M

 

Full showtimes have been added, making this update a bit of a mess. They're really going hard on this one. It's surprising, as Inside Out will still be going strong. Thats a lot of screens for animated films, but it's also full school closures from this Friday.

[TheFlatLannister]

I should have Deadpool numbers up late tonight since it’s T-30 

[vafrow]

On 6/25/2024 at 6:44 AM, vafrow said:

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-3, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 91

New Sales: 14

Growth: 18%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 6.5

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 2/2

Early Evening: 62/6

Late Evening: 27/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 33/7

IMAX: 36/5

4DX: 22/2

 

Comps

0.679x KOTPOTA for $3.4M

 0.591x Furiosa for $2.1M

0.319x KFP4 for $1.2M

 

Average: $2.3M

 

Not horrible, but still not breaking out.

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-2, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 110

New Sales: 19

Growth: 21%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 6.5

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 2/2

Early Evening: 62/6

Late Evening: 27/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 33/7

IMAX: 36/5

4DX: 22/2

 

Comps

0.655x KOTPOTA for $3.3M

 0.573x Furiosa for $2.0M

0.331x KFP4 for $1.3M

 

Average: $2.3M

 

A couple of noteworthy trends. This is staying flat/falling against comps when I thought it would be increasing, which is not great.

 

However, it's also losing pace against @Inceptionzqchain wide track, indicating that it might be more of a local issue. I'm hard pressed to come up with a theory why though.

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Horizon	T-1	Jax	5	15	-	117	1,403	8.34%
		Phx	6	17	-	68	1,921	3.54%
		Ral	8	18	-	89	1,428	6.23%
	Total		19	50	-	274	4,752	5.77%
Quiet Place 3	T-1	Jax	6	58	389	459	9,722	4.72%
		Phx	7	53	386	486	8,309	5.85%
		Ral	9	59	311	353	7,967	4.43%
	Total		22	170	1,086	1,298	25,998	4.99%

*AQP3 new since T-24

 

Horizon T-1 adjusted comps

 - Civil War - .54x (1.28m)

 - Stillwater - 5.83x (1.73m)

 - Arthur the King - 2.54x (2.1m)

 - Uncharted - .293x (911k)

 - Monkey Man - 1.06x (1.24m)

 - Last Night in Soho - 1.39x (929k)

 

Size adjusted comp average - 1.24m

 

(Never heard of this movie so I'm not sure if any of these comps are good.)

 

Quiet Place 3 T-1 adjusted comps

 - Nope - .95x (6.23m)

 - Halloween Ends - 1.218x (6.73m)

 - Halloween Kills - .919x (4.91m)

 - Scream VI - .862x (5.21m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1x (6.6m)

 - Ghostbusters: FE - 1.16x (5.09m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 5.72m