cozmeesah Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 When`s THGhitting $360 mio?Sometime before midnight tonight Pacific Time. As long as it makes $780,981 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Sometime before midnight tonight Pacific Time. As long as it makes $780,981 today. OMG! It really is a boxoffice story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 So it looks like THG will make around 18.7M for its 5th week, give or take 0.1M (I prefer doing weeks instead of weekends). That's around a 30% week-to-week drop (the previous two week-to-week drops were around 42%). With the IMAX re-release, I think another 30% drop for the upcoming week is reasonable. Scenario 1: So if we extrapolate this forward (30% week-to-week drops from here on out), then it'll hit 400M some time during the 12th week and close around 405M. Scenario 2: If we make the TA opening week drop 40% (but keep all other weekly drops at 30%), then it'll hit 400M after week 18 and close just a wee bit over 400M. Scenario 3: If we make the TA opening week drop 40% and make all subsequent drops 35%, then it'll close a bit under 397M. Scenario 4: IMAX doesn't help much, and next week drops 35%. Avengers takes a big bite and THG drops 45% during the TA opening week, and all subsequent drops are 40%. In this case, THG will close around 390M. I used to be on the 400M-is-too-remote bandwagon, but now... I think you're being too conservative. A 20-25% drop is perfectly possible next week. May and June should have stronger weekdays compared to April. And don't forget about dollar theaters... The film can crawl its way to 415M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I think you're being too conservative. A 20-25% drop is perfectly possible next week. May and June should have stronger weekdays compared to April. And don't forget about dollar theaters...The film can crawl its way to 415M.415?? Now that's a bit too crazy, beating Spider-Man would be the highest I can see for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 So can BD 2 appraoch THG numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Spider Man was pulled out of theaters as soon as it crossed 400M. It had potential to do at least 410M.I assume Lionsgate will try to keep THG in theaters for as long as they can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I think you're being too conservative. A 20-25% drop is perfectly possible next week. May and June should have stronger weekdays compared to April. And don't forget about dollar theaters...The film can crawl its way to 415M.415m is too optimistic at this point. Spider-Man is gaining on THG with summer weekdays. They're pulling in similar weekends but Spider-Man is making around 1.5m daily during this set of weekdays compared to THG's 1m. Spider-Man's next set of weekdays are right around what THG is making now so it will presumably take the lead by next week. It will be up to THG to keep a steady pace and not give up too much ground.It can only pull this off if it doesn't take a huge theater loss hit. That is the main obstacle for THG right now; keeping theaters and screens. That will prevent it from getting 400m, not The Avengers or other opening films. I think 405m is its ceiling right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 THG's 1 million daily streak will end today. I am expecting a 950-960k Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 So THG is above DH2 in dailies!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I forget the exact amount, but he thinks it will make 310 or something I think it will make 195, so we meet in the middle. If it makes more than 257 or something he owes me a DVD of my choice, if it makes less, I owe him one. I forget the exact amount, but he thinks it will make 310 or something I think it will make 195, so we meet in the middle. If it makes more than 257 or something he owes me a DVD of my choice, if it makes less, I owe him one. Not only did you royally screw the pooch when describing our wager, but you posted it twice. I say 320, you said 198. If TASM makes less than 259, I owe you a DVD, if it makes more you owe me. It's OK, I understand though, I must have you all flustered. (But don't think I'm not saving your post, just in case...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I think you're being too conservative. A 20-25% drop is perfectly possible next week. May and June should have stronger weekdays compared to April. And don't forget about dollar theaters...The film can crawl its way to 415M.I'd love to see you break down how you came up with that number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 So can BD 2 appraoch THG numbers? :lol: :lol:Please, BD2 just needs to be concerned about approaching BD1 numbers. I wouldn't be surprised if it has another dropoff similar to Eclipse-BD1 and ends up around Prisoner of Azkaban's total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Boxoffice.com thinks it will make 12M this upcoming weekend for a total around 373M-374M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Boxoffice.com thinks it will make 12M this upcoming weekend for a total around 373M-374MAs much as I would just absolutely love that, I highly doubt it will only drop 15% this weekend. If it did though then we could officially count 400m as a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Boxoffice.com thinks it will make 12M this upcoming weekend for a total around 373M-374MThat would be an amazing hold!It would basically secure $400m! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Boxoffice.com thinks it will make 12M this upcoming weekend for a total around 373M-374MIt'd need a 200%+ increase to pull it off. Possible, but I'm seeing around 10.5-11m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 As much as I would just absolutely love that, I highly doubt it will only drop 15% this weekend. If it did though then we could officially count 400m as a lock.It's possible, but I think they're overestimating the IMAX effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12 million would be wonderful but I'm sticking with 10 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 It would be funny if THG beat The Lucky One this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12 million would be wonderful but I'm sticking with 10 million.Isnt that SIX weekends over $10m?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
