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Weekday Numbers [Jun 17-20, 2024] | Thursday | 19.63M INSIDE OUT II | 2.85M BAD BOYS: RIDE OR DIE

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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 90m is bit too high. 80m would be a better target for 2nd weekend. Weekdays are so inflated that weekend holds wont be that amazing. Otherwise its going for 4x plus legs which is nuts for a mega opener. 

Also I think that the 19th of june might deflate the weekend jump isnt it? It is like another sunday. Or am I wrong?

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5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 90m is bit too high. 80m would be a better target for 2nd weekend. Weekdays are so inflated that weekend holds wont be that amazing. Otherwise its going for 4x plus legs which is nuts for a mega opener. 

yeah now that I actually looked at how Incredibles 2 did, with a larger OW, it still had a $80m second weekend. So I guess that's right.

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My projections for the rest of the week for IO2 :

 

22,4

24,6 (+10%)

23,4 (-5%)

18,7 (-20%)

 

25,2 (+35%)

32,8 (+30%)

25,6 (-22% , around the same as last week)

 

Total after 10 days : 326,2M , 2nd Weekend : 83,6M

 

PS : Edit with Monday Actuals

Edited by Grand Cine
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Wow @ 22, great Monday hold for "ISO2".  I guess we are hoping for a 50% or less drop which would be over 80 Million 2nd weekend.   BB's over 45% drop from last Monday.   The NBA Finals last game was last night could have had an impact.  We'll see how it holds but hoping for over 20 Million 3rd Weekend.     

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2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 90m is bit too high. 80m would be a better target for 2nd weekend. Weekdays are so inflated that weekend holds wont be that amazing. Otherwise its going for 4x plus legs which is nuts for a mega opener. 

Yeah if it follows Dory it will do 82.8m. I’d be pretty happy if it does anywhere near 85m+. If it does close to Dory’s 2nd weekend though (<75m) that’s cause for a little concern legs wise.

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Might see a big bump today because of Tuesday discounts and the holiday tomorrow

 

Skimming through Canton, definitely looks like a weekend-level of seats sold for IO2

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

Man I have to wonder how well Luca, Soul, and Turning Red would've done if released in theaters.

 

Obviously less than IO2 but still.

Assuming same release date:

 

Luca: 40m OW/ 165m DOM

Turning Red: 45m OW/ 145m DOM

Soul: 25m OW/ 115m DOM

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1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

Man I have to wonder how well Luca, Soul, and Turning Red would've done if released in theaters.

 

Obviously less than IO2 but still.

We've discussed this many times but... this would require a non-covid world because Soul had to be released in 2020 and you can't really have theater releases then.

 

Luca would be in the shadow of COVID in 2021. Turning Red would be in the clear for the most part in early 2022.

 

I believe all three movies would have made at least $500m WW if given that chance but who knows. Elemental is a good guide. It did about as well on streaming as Luca and Turning Red and made almost $500m WW.

 

So yeah similar to Elemental's take of $150m Dom or so.

Edited by cannastop
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7 minutes ago, Flip said:

Soul: 25m OW/ 115m DOM

Basically going up against Wonder Woman 1984 then? But no streaming release concurrently? I guess that could work in an alternate timeline of Christmas 2020.

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