Weekday Numbers [Jun 17-20, 2024] | Thursday | 19.63M INSIDE OUT II | 2.85M BAD BOYS: RIDE OR DIE

[Migs20242]

1 minute ago, Mojoguy said:

No Jurassic World to hold back Inside Out like the last time. 3 free weeks of barely any competition until DM4.

yeah Inside Out 2 is definitely going to go 3 weeks at number one with the second weekend having 85-100+ million domestic

[Mojoguy]

6 minutes ago, Migs20242 said:

yeah Inside Out 2 is definitely going to go 3 weeks at number one with the second weekend having 85-100+ million domestic

Yeah, that's why Pixar keeps releasing movies on Father's day weekend. Prime June weekdays which IO2 is going to take full advantage of.

 

The lack of any big May movies this year meant something was going to blow up eventually and make a ton of cash, and that's turning out to be IO2.

Edited June 19 by Mojoguy

[Joyous Legion]

Something like 80 ->50 would be perfectly solid holds and give AQP a shot to top the wknd

[keysersoze123]

I think Quiet Place would hit 50m OW. So Inside Out has to do something crazy to win that weekend. Let us 1st wait for 2nd weekend number before looking that far. That said IO2 is going for 500m+ domestic finish and so either way it does not matter. 

 

1st what would folks think would be a good number for number. I am thinking 27m ish for Wednesday. 20% up from Monday. 

[Insomnia]

29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think Quiet Place would hit 50m OW. So Inside Out has to do something crazy to win that weekend. Let us 1st wait for 2nd weekend number before looking that far. That said IO2 is going for 500m+ domestic finish and so either way it does not matter. 

 

1st what would folks think would be a good number for number. I am thinking 27m ish for Wednesday. 20% up from Monday. 

Well of course that would be a really good number but Charlie just reported $28.5M+ (EC $29M+). That's not written in stone obviously, just saying it could be even higher than the 27 number you're suggesting. Or is 27 what you're seeing?

 

Nevermind, just realized you're talking about Wednesday. Yeah 27 would be outright insane! I honestly didn't know Juneteenth was that big, at least as far as how it impacts the box office.

Edited June 19 by Insomnia

[Joyous Legion]

We don’t really have much to go off in terms of Juneteenth effect since the last two were Mon, Sun, and before that it wasn’t as much of a major holiday (still medium rather than major major). That said, based on this

30 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1 Juneteenth - 157131/1248739 2375927.38 7128 shows

 

Can it hit high 20s tomorrow? 

I would think low 30s should be possible. Holiday walk ups can be wonky/weak though, mid-high 20s is probably the safer expectation 

[Joyous Legion]

Here’s last Juneteenth (Mon): 

1	(1)	The Flash	Warner Bros.	$6,160,801	-60%		4,234	$1,455	$61,204,480	4
2	(2)	Spider-Man: Across the Sp…	Sony Pictures	$6,101,912	-31%	-10%	3,873	$1,576	$285,686,032	18
3	(3)	Elemental	Walt Disney	$5,304,256	-34%		4,035	$1,315	$34,906,685	4
4	(4)	Transformers: Rise of the…	Paramount Pi…	$3,321,458	-58%	-36%	3,680	$903	$104,630,240	11
5	(5)	The Little Mermaid	Walt Disney	$2,705,927	-6%	-14%	3,480	$778	$255,716,600	25
6	(-)	The Blackening	Lionsgate	$1,177,967	-26%		1,775	$664	$7,191,098	4
-	(6)	Guardians of the Galaxy V…	Walt Disney	$1,012,324	-54%	+10%	2,260	$448	$345,660,056	46
-	(-)	The Boogeyman	20th Century…	$767,270	-26%	-24%	2,140	$359	$33,380,097	18

 

 

Spiderverse is roughly +50% from what would be expected on a normal Monday (looking at the rest of the week’s weekdays). Flash ~+60%, ele ~+50%, Transformers +50, TLm +40%, Gotg +60

 

The earlier year it was Father’s Sun, so even harder to read. 

1	(1)	Jurassic World: Dominion	Universal	$21,081,560	-5%	-45%	4,697	$4,488	$250,286,865	10
2	(3)	Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pi…	$17,711,506	+12%	+1%	4,035	$4,389	$466,822,620	24
3	(2)	Lightyear	Walt Disney	$13,776,341	-14%		4,255	$3,238	$50,577,961	3
4	(4)	Doctor Strange in the Mul…	Walt Disney	$1,602,729	-3%	-5%	2,465	$650	$405,333,340	45
5	(5)	The Bob’s Burgers Movie	20th Century…	$374,769	-17%	-53%	1,350	$278	$29,835,670	24
6	(7)	Everything Everywhere All…	A24	$323,455	-10%	-27%	679	$476	$64,902,714	87

 

Impact is more subdued here since it was already a nonworkday.

 

 

Following Dory wed/mon IO2 would be about 20.7, so with a 40-60% boost would be 29-33 — that said the Monday placement is more convenient for functioning as an extended weekend, so maybe boost will be muted here at more like 25-30% for 26-27ish

[Joyous Legion]

Top 10 non-opening Wed:

6

Dec 23, 2015

Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens

$38,022,183

4,134

$9,197

$363,460,329

6

 

8

Jul 3, 2013

Despicable Me 2

$35,010,665

3,956

$8,850

$35,010,665

2

10

Dec 25, 2019

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

$32,165,681

4,406

$7,300

$259,209,866

6

 

12

Jul 4, 2007

Transformers

$29,073,898

4,011

$7,249

$65,725,939

2

14

Dec 30, 2015

Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens

$28,085,057

4,134

$6,794

$629,034,583

13

 

15

Dec 22, 2021

Spider-Man: No Way Home

$27,846,311

4,336

$6,422

$356,531,855

6

16

Jul 3, 2019

Spider-Man: Far From Home

$27,508,094

4,634

$5,936

$66,763,722

2

 

19

May 1, 2019

Avengers: Endgame

$25,251,991

4,662

$5,417

$452,351,786

6

22

Nov 27, 2019

Frozen II

$24,080,546

4,440

$5,424

$187,906,890

6

 

23

Jul 4, 2012

The Amazing Spider-Man

$23,335,925

4,318

$5,404

$59,202,809

3

 

SW/Spider-man/2019 in da house

 

AEG and F2 only ones outside Xmas/july 4th

Edited June 19 by Legion Again

[Insomnia]

3 minutes ago, Legion Again said:

Top 10 non-opening Wed:

6

Dec 23, 2015

Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens

$38,022,183

4,134

$9,197

$363,460,329

6

 

8

Jul 3, 2013

Despicable Me 2

$35,010,665

3,956

$8,850

$35,010,665

2

10

Dec 25, 2019

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

$32,165,681

4,406

$7,300

$259,209,866

6

 

12

Jul 4, 2007

Transformers

$29,073,898

4,011

$7,249

$65,725,939

2

14

Dec 30, 2015

Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens

$28,085,057

4,134

$6,794

$629,034,583

13

 

15

Dec 22, 2021

Spider-Man: No Way Home

$27,846,311

4,336

$6,422

$356,531,855

6

16

Jul 3, 2019

Spider-Man: Far From Home

$27,508,094

4,634

$5,936

$66,763,722

2

 

19

May 1, 2019

Avengers: Endgame

$25,251,991

4,662

$5,417

$452,351,786

6

22

Nov 27, 2019

Frozen II

$24,080,546

4,440

$5,424

$187,906,890

6

 

23

Jul 4, 2012

The Amazing Spider-Man

$23,335,925

4,318

$5,404

$59,202,809

3

 

SW/Spider-man/2019 in da house

That Wednesday was opening day for DM2 was it not?

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, Insomnia said:

That Wednesday was opening day for DM2 was it not?

Hmm looks like. For some reason numbers has it down as a D2

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think Quiet Place would hit 50m OW. So Inside Out has to do something crazy to win that weekend. Let us 1st wait for 2nd weekend number before looking that far. That said IO2 is going for 500m+ domestic finish and so either way it does not matter. 

 

1st what would folks think would be a good number for number. I am thinking 27m ish for Wednesday. 20% up from Monday. 

Juneteenth seems like meh holiday. Last year it dropped 50% from Sunday I think vs say 55% a normal Monday would have. So I am expecting even with Monday, may be even some drop.

 

Edit: nvm. Flash dropped 60% while Elemental dropped 34%, so perhaps 25M may happen.

Edited June 19 by charlie Jatinder

[toutvabien]

Just woke up to these numbers. This movie is WILD.

[eddyxx]

28m 👀 god damn boyo this movie is making some dough. I need to buy more Disney shares.

Edited June 19 by eddyxx

[cannastop]

Well it's not $30m but that's still really really good for Inside Out 2. I guess it's breaking expectations a little. Wonder how it will do this holiday Wednesday.

 

Looks like it did make the top 10 Tuesdays! 

[justnumbers]

24 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Well it's not $30m but that's still really really good for Inside Out 2. I guess it's breaking expectations a little. Wonder how it will do this holiday Wednesday.

 

Looks like it did make the top 10 Tuesdays! 

No one was expecting 30M for Tuesday. But sure, I guess it could've happened.

 

It's not top10. It's Top5. Inflated but still.

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, justnumbers said:

No one was expecting 30M for Tuesday. But sure, I guess it could've happened.

 

It's not top10. It's Top5. Inflated but still.

distinction between opening and non-opening.  Some movies have opened on Tuesday and they push Inside Out 2 out of the top 5.

 

also there were some people here speculating for $30m

Edited June 19 by cannastop

[justnumbers]

5 minutes ago, cannastop said:

distinction between opening and non-opening.  Some movies have opened on Tuesday and they push Inside Out 2 out of the top 5.

Nevermind

Edited June 19 by justnumbers

[cannastop]

Just now, justnumbers said:

1st Tuesdays:

1- Force Awakens (37.3M)

2- Endgame (33.1M)

3- No Way Home (31.4M)

4- Lion King 2019 (30.3M)

5- The Incredibles 2 (27M)

You're missing Spider-Man Far From Home and The Amazing Spider-Man, which opened on Tuesdays.

[justnumbers]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

You're missing Spider-Man Far From Home and The Amazing Spider-Man, which opened on Tuesdays.

Yeah right. Then that makes sense. 

[Migs20242]

With Juneteenth holiday today, I could expect Inside Out 2 around $30-35 million.