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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

Posted
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Think big mfantin!! Think BIG!!!!  :P  :P  :P

"Think big" lol. He is telling me to think big. Thats funny. You do realize i locked 300m?
The 15.5 is low as explained above, but also i didnt have the time adjust all the numbers for following weeks to increase this week. Ill adjust after wed number.
Edited by mfantin65
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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

Posted
Posted

More than 700.000.000 yen in just 1 day. Mindblowing.

6M or so today would be more than satisfying.

 

Will we ever discover what's the current toho:actual ratio?

Its at least 60 for weekend or holiday right now. Sundays number was an estimate. They have raised it a few % in the past. We need to wait and see. Definitely 7m or higher for Mon. 
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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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That's not 'big'. That's just 'wrong'. :P

Your still thinking 10 weekend multiplier after coming weekend arent you? With sold out 7m day, that aint happening. its like a run on toilet paper when the whole country has digestive problems.  gonna be 20x and thats 300+
now beating domestic is another "wrong" thing all together.  We'll talk about that more later in the month if this pupp starts having 5% holds.
Edited by mfantin65
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chuck0 Box Office Gold

chuck0

Posted
Posted

 

Your still thinking 10 weekend multiplier after coming weekend arent you? With sold out 7m day, that aint happening. its like a run on toilet paper when the whole country has digestive problems.  gonna be 20x and thats 300+

 

 

the amount of crap similies in this thread is pretty staggering... and i love it :P

 

 

Think big mfantin!! Think BIG!!!!  :P  :P  :P

 

careful... the next thing he will lock is DH2 WW ;)

 

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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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careful... the next thing he will lock is DH2 WW ;)

 

 

 

 

 

Thats in the same ballpark. NBD But...

 

Domestic  :locked:   

:wtf:   J/K for now

 

All kidding aside. I locked 100m  after 2nd weekend, 200m after 4th when it was "absurd".  Its appropriate i lock 300 after 8th weekend. Maybe the 16th weekend domestic 400m gets locked, beginning of sommer. sounds about right!

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Hernan Gonzalez Box Office Gold

Hernan Gonzalez

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"Think big" lol. He is telling me to think big. Thats funny. You do realize i locked 300m?The 15.5 is low as explained above, but also i didnt have the time adjust all the numbers for following weeks to increase this week. Ill adjust after wed number.

I was just kidding. I am a fan of your posts ;-)
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Omni Box Office Gold

Omni

Posted
Posted

Your still thinking 10 weekend multiplier after coming weekend arent you? With sold out 7m day, that aint happening. its like a run on toilet paper when the whole country has digestive problems.  gonna be 20x and thats 300+

now beating domestic is another "wrong" thing all together.  We'll talk about that more later in the month if this pupp starts having 5% holds.

It's not wrong to think it can get to 300M, as the mark is potentially reachable.

The wrong thing is to take it as a lock ;)

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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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It's not wrong to think it can get to 300M, as the mark is potentially reachable.

The wrong thing is to take it as a lock ;)

As discussed a lock is not a certainty, just ones strong opinion and im willing to lay odds on it for it vs against it. Take your dinner out of the lavatory and into your hat with smelly socks and ill eat em all! I had conviction on this one this one since day 1 that it would be huge 75m boy.
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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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I bumped up weekend 7 due to 3D and sing along release. This projection is with 15% average drops after GW which has yet to materialize in the run. At 10% or less and a 100% hold here or there and it climbs to 300m. The 100% hold this week caused a major ripple effect in the size of numbers down the line.#...............Howl's MC..............................Ponyo.....................................Frozen...................WE......WkTot.......TOT...........WE.....WkTot......TOT..........MW.......WE.....WkTot.....TOT1..13.988...13.998.....13.998.......9.667.....9.667......9.667.....................7.531.....9.731......9.7312..11.680...20.400.....44.430.......7.591...20.700....30.416......11.300...8.550...19.800....29.5353....9.832...21.400.....65.878.......7.210...18.500....48.924......13.400...8.569...22.000....51.5794....9.165...15.400.....81.210.......7.012...18.000....66.966......15.300...8.200...23.500....75.1005....8.100...15.800.....97.000.......7.904...25.300....92.309........7.800...8.200...16.000....90.6006....7.400...15.000...112.000.......5.359...14.200..106.482........5.900...8.300...14.000..104.8007....6.866...13.700...125.703.......4.715.....9.700..116.169........5.800...9.200...15.000..119.800 Adds 3d screensTAMS2 opens.8....6.171...20.100...145.795.......3.496.....8.000..124.186......18.000.10.800...28.800..148.600 GW could triple wk7 tally over next 2 weeks.9....3.367.....8.800...154.556.......2.406.....4.400..128.568........9.000...7.500...16.500..165.10010..3.323.....5.300...159.840.......1.433.....3.800..132.326........5.000...6.600...11.600..176.700 GW over11..2.464.....3.500...163.425.......0.913.....2.500..134.862........4.500...6.000...10.500..187.200 Legs, baby, legs!!12..1.817.....2.800...166.170.......0.750.....4.700..139.589........4.000...5.300.....9.300..196.500 June13..1.812.....4.000...170.218.......0.642.....1.200..140.710........3.200...4.300.....7.500..204.00014..1.219.....2.300...172.561.......0.394.....1.100..141.808........2.900...3.800.....6.700..210.700 Run Forest Run!15..1.090.....1.500...174.104.......0.388.....0.600..142.486........2.500...3.200.....5.700..216.400Extended Run.........190.000........Extended Run...154.000.........Extended Run.............250.000+ !!!!Ponyo and Howl's MC had extended runs like Avatar and Titanic. Maybe Frozen extends well into summer!

14 hours to make revisions. Hint: its going to be at 160-170m by the end of GW.mfantin .............314.800. 18 weekend multiplier after huge GW takes out HP7.2!!Boxx93..............260Kingslayer..........250Chucky ..............240Omni .................225Song of Iceroll. .222Ray.....................215Spizzer...............215Edroger..............210Queen Elsa........210Ball Lightning.....210Incaradine..........207Rsyu...................205Tong Kosong......203Murgatroyd.........200Keysersoze.........200rhfqkddl45........ .195DamienRoc.........193,435,058Catlover..............190Olive Max...........188.4Chasmmi............187Cynosure ...........185Ray subers.........175 "200 is absurd" email him, let'm know whatya think.rsubers@boxofficemojo.com careful, he's easily threatened corpse ...............170 "and will never break 244"Labas.................170‏@giteshpandya ..150Lab276 ..............147anyone else? Predictions due 90m before sat 1430 toho(12am ny). Saturday enters phase two w GW, 3d and sing-alongWinner is closest dollar amount away from final number. up or down. np penalty for going over. Aim high aim true!First prize is ray subers job♣Second place is Gitesh Pandya's jobThird place, a set of steak knives, (name the movie, was actually for second place)

Okay people. Time for another challenge. I projected 165m for the end of GW two weeks ago and there were a lot of non believers judging by so many 200m and below predictions. Mid 160s is going to happen by sunday. Now the question is what kind of hold this weekend and legs are to follow. Its very simple, yet not, to come up with a final number. Determine what the weekend will be, apply a multiplier and add to 165-168m.6m x 10?7m x 15?8m x 20?This is not a revision. The first round stays intact. Someone in the top 5 will win that one. Well, probably me :P or boxx if it fades.Take the week to contemplate it, due by 1200 Tokyo saturday, 11pm ny friday. This could be months before its decided, if you're all not too low. Aim high and stay in the game until autumn.mfantin...................???,???,???SanComedian........272,000,000chucky...................240,000,000 sticking with first prediction. Will it crash like Its HMC or soar like SA. Murgatroyd, your weekly cum chart is going to look like a jet fighter turning on the after burners going after the SA bogie. Post it.Its still a pipe regardless.. Whats your point son :) Edited by mfantin65
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FrozenFan626 Sleeper Hit

FrozenFan626

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Posted

Well my 19.7m week prediction just went out the door on the first day  :lol:  I was just hoping for a good post GW hold after a decent mon-tues but this is just incredible! OTOH my $250m final prediction is still looking pretty solid although as mfantin said at this point with good legs $300m+ could still happen and I could be way low  :D

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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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Well my 19.7m week prediction just went out the door on the first day  :lol:  I was just hoping for a good post GW hold after a decent mon-tues but this is just incredible! OTOH my $250m final prediction is still looking pretty solid although as mfantin said at this point with good legs $300m+ could still happen and I could be way low  :D

well your first number is still in play compared to most others. Do you have new number?
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chuck0 Box Office Gold

chuck0

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Posted (edited)

Just wanted to mention that i think my pre GW number is $240M... i upped from $190M after i saw that there were so many below $200M estimates :P (see http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/3478-japan-box-office-elsa-reigns/page-219#entry1358975 )

 

btwhttp://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14728-frozens-japanese-bo-gross-among-top-3-dom-summer-movies/

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chuck0 Box Office Gold

chuck0

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I think that Httyd 2 will pass Frozen Worldwide.

 

That would be a pretty steep increase from the first (that did not even break $500M WW)... while i really love HTTYD i doubt that it will come close to Frozens numbers...

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mfantin65 Box Office Gold

mfantin65

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Just wanted to mention that i think my pre GW number is $240M... i upped from $190M after i saw that there were so many below $200M estimates :P (see http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/3478-japan-box-office-elsa-reigns/page-219#entry1358975 )btwhttp://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14728-frozens-japanese-bo-gross-among-top-3-dom-summer-movies/

yup. I grabbed an earlier post. I cut and pasted the newer one in. You have a new number in mind? Edited by mfantin65
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