JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[rhfqkddl45]

NOTE: Toho Monday Admissions

 

Wk-2--- 19,967

Wk-3--- 28,363 (Spring Break)

Wk-4--- 40,807 (Spring Break)

Wk-5--- 22,202

Wk-6--- 20,665

Wk-7--- 14,202

Wk-8--- 26,157 (Golden Week)

Wk-9-- 117,472 (Golden Week)

Wk-10-- 12,496

Wk-11-- 14,312

Today-- 22,227

[Rsyu]

So this is just a massive monday bump because of the schools that rested right? Tuesday will be back to normal?

[LABAS]

So this is just a massive monday bump because of the schools that rested right? Tuesday will be back to normal?[/quote

sure. tomorrow back to normal

[Incarnadine]

So, the weekend was down about 500k more than most of us were hoping for, likely due to that "sports day" messing with the numbers, but Monday looks to be up 500k thanks to Monday being a school holiday thanks to the same sports day. It looks like the 3 day total is a wash, the numbers just got shifted around a bit.

[rhfqkddl45]

 

Compare Weekend Admissions (4 chains total)

 

10th Weekend (5/17-18) - 206,541

 

Last Weekend (5/24-25) - 180,574 -12.6%

 

 

Compare Weekend+Monday Admissions (4 chains total)

 

10th Weekend+Mon (5/17-19) - 232,689

 

Last Weekend+Mon (5/24-26) - 221,848 -4.7%

Edited May 26, 2014 by Hans13

[mfantin65]

                                             Ski Trail to 300+
                                    $350,000,000  
 
This projection is with 10% average drops which has yet to materialize in the run. 
Spirited Away starts comparing to Frozen at week three due to its big midweeks it had during 7weeks of summer. This comparrison is for the long leg battle. SA numbers have been converted to current exchange rate.
 
With the way Frozen has performed I see it keeping pace with SA and I'm calling it a lock, I just don't see it fading hard with the post GW hold.
 
Old school! E.T was the last entry into the top for admission pre VCR. It is the number one straight runner upon initial release. Star Wars had expansion help the following summer. One can argue this is the all time #1 movie stateside. Lets see how frozen holds its weekend drops compared to E.T. and if it can catch up. It had 12 weeks summer boost to start and ran for 52 weeks without major a re-expansion
 
#        E.T.             Spirited Away                       Frozen
     WE    %   TOT       WE    %  Week TOT   MW WE      Week   TOT
1  11.800     11.800                                        7.531     9.731   9.731
2  12.400 +6  34.400                                11.300  8.550+13 19.800 29.535
3  13.700 +9  58.500   10.000 10.000 10.000   13.400  8.569 +1 22.000 51.579
4  12.700 -7  82.500    9.500 -5 32.000 42.000   15.300  8.238 -5 23.500 75.100
5  12.800 +0 106.900    8.700 -8 29.500 71.500    7.800  8.286 +1 16.000 90.600
6  13.000 +2 129.400  9.200 +6 34.500  106.000    5.900 8.046 -3 14.000  104.800
7  11.300-13 150.500    8.700 -5 24.500  130.500     5.900  7.558 -6 13.400  118.400
8  10.400 -7 169.500    8.800 +1 16.200  146.700   14.100 11.100+48 24.900 144.400 GW Bump
9   9.500 -9 186.700    6.700-24 22.200  167.100 15.800  7.200-36 23.000  167.400 Summer/GW-Over
10  8.400-11 202.000    6.800 +1 15.100  182.200     6.000  7.900+10 13.900  181.300 Leg battle!
11  7.700 -9 215.700    6.400 -6 13.100 195.300     6.150  6.850-13 13.100  194.300 Actual #
12  6.600-14 227.400    5.000-20 12.500  207.800     5.500  6.400    11.800  206.100 estimate
13  6.000 -9 237.000    4.300-14 11.000  218.800     4.800  5.700    10.500  217.600 Oct/June
14  4.600-24 244.700    3.900 -9  6.500  225.300     4.300  5.100     9.400  227.000
15  4.303 -7 250.600    2.600-33  4.400  229.700     3.700  4.600     8.300  235.300
16  4.000 -4 256.000    2.600 -0  4.700  234.400     3.300  4.200     7.500  242.500
17  3.700 -9 261.100    3.200+22  5.900  240.300  2.900  3.800     6.700  249.200 Nov/July
18  3.800 +1 266.000    2.900-10  5.900  242.200     2.600  3.400     6.000  255.200
19  3.300-12 270.600    1.900-34  3.900  250.100 4.500  3.100     6.600  262.800 Summer Bump FR
20  3.200 -2 274.800    1.800 -6 3.200  253.300     4.100  2.800     6.900  269.700 
21  2.800-15 278.600    2.500+35  3.800  257.100 3.700  2.500     6.200  275.900 December SA
22  3.099+10 282.600    1.500-40  3.200 260.200     3.400  2.200     5.600  280.500
23  2.940 -3 286.700    1.100-27  2.100 262.300     4.500  3.000     7.500  288.000 Obon Bump FR
24  2.880 -2 290.300                               2.700  1.800     4.500  292.500  
25  4.000+38 296.000                                 2.400  1.600     4.000  296.500
26  2.400-40 299.000                                 2.200  1.500     3.700  300.200
27  2.000-14 301.500                                 1.900  1.400     3.300  303.500
28  2.600+27 305.000                                 1.700  1.200     2.900  306.400 Summer Over
42  Ext Run  359.000     Extended Run    294.000     Extended Run            330.000+ ???  
 
Its holding tighter than either of them. The only real drops were after bumps. only down 20% from week 2. ET down 41%. SA down 55% from weekend two. The weekly average drop is just 3% from week 5. The current week looks like its going to come in flat at 13.1m, not the 11.8 I estimated a few days ago.

Edited May 29, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[mfantin65]

Compare Weekend Admissions (4 chains total)

 

10th Weekend (5/17-18) - 206,541

 

Last Weekend (5/24-25) - 180,574 -12.6%

 

 

Compare Weekend+Monday Admissions (4 chains total)

 

10th Weekend+Mon (5/17-19) - 232,689

 

Last Weekend+Mon (5/24-26) - 221,848 -4.7%

correct. Omni, thats how you look at the numbers, if you want feel better and will you take a look at SA above. There were a couple of drops but mixed with strong holds. No downward parabolic curve. Thats all other movies all other markets. This run is old school. Like ET, back to the future and MBFGW. Look them up on BOM and eat a few dragon rolls!

Edited May 26, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Queen Elsa Arendelle]

wow! monday was pretty awesome! what I can see here is the frozens popularity is still badass in japan, if japan were on vacation right now  for a week, frozen would make tons of money. 

[mfantin65]

NOTE: Toho Monday Admissions

 

Wk-2--- 19,967

Wk-3--- 28,363 (Spring Break)

Wk-4--- 40,807 (Spring Break)

Wk-5--- 22,202 

week 5 was also a spring break day. Today matched it, no steam lost yet!

Edited May 26, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Omni]

Ok then, 6.4M next weekend.

Still hoping to see Toho above 100K one last time, though.

[mfantin65]

Ok then, 6.4M next weekend.

Still hoping to see Toho above 100K one last time, though.

That just for the table displaying 10% average drops. I put 6.4m in effect stating last weekend was 7.1m  w/o field day. The worst hold is 94% outside of the post bump weekends and that was with 2 new movies and seat loss. I say 95%+  hold, from the theoretical 7.1.

6.7- 7m, but lets see how the ladies do first before locking it. it girls!

Edited May 26, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Murgatroyd]

Actuals are out, so...

 

 

 

It continues to run about 2 weeks behind SA.  Catching up may be possible, but it's far from certain.

Week 13 will be critical in determining its chances of winning.

 

 

The direct competition, such as it is (or isn't):

 

And, just for fun...

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Awesome graphics Murgatroyd!!! Thanks for sharing ;-)

[Quigley]

I think this weekend will see a steeper than expected drop with Rio 2, X-Men: DOFP and All Around Appraiser Q opening. Could the latter be a threat for the #1 spot?

[LABAS]

I think this weekend will see a steeper than expected drop with Rio 2, X-Men: DOFP and All Around Appraiser Q opening. Could the latter be a threat for the #1 spot?

In my opinion, it is not likely to happen.Some big theaters have announced their weekend plan.The biggest screens still goes to Frozen.Frozen could earn at least 600m yen, while it is almost impossible for non Japanese animation, especially in May and June.

[Incarnadine]

From Corpse:

 

>Frozen makes it 11-in-a-row dropping 13% in its 11th weekend, earning ¥700,339,600 ($6.9 million) with 517,926 admissions. It has become the fourth Highest-Grossing Film of All-Time with a total of ¥19.85 billion ($194.6 million) and 15.59 million admissions.The only other film with a higher 11-week total is Spirited Away, so it's safe to say Frozen will be clearing ¥25 billion ($250 million) and likely overtake Titanic's ¥26.2 billion total. In admissions, Frozen is on track to possibly 20 million, which will make it the most-attended film imported-release, and only the second film to sell 20 million tickets after Spirited Away.

[Mojoguy]

In my opinion, it is not likely to happen.Some big theaters have announced their weekend plan.The biggest screens still goes to Frozen.Frozen could earn at least 600m yen, while it is almost impossible for non Japanese animation, especially in May and June.

I imagine all the Japanese theaters are completely in love with how well Frozen has been doing, and will want to keep showing it all the way up until the video release.

[Mojoguy]

I think this weekend will see a steeper than expected drop with Rio 2, X-Men: DOFP and All Around Appraiser Q opening. Could the latter be a threat for the #1 spot?

 

All Hollywood animated movies that isn't Disney or Pixar flop in JapanJapan hates superhero moviesI have no idea what All Around Appraiser Q is, but I doubt it is a threat to Frozen

Edited May 27, 2014 by Mojoguy

[BadAtGender]

All Hollywood animated movies that isn't Disney or Pixar flop in JapanJapan hates superhero moviesI have no idea what All Around Appraiser Q is, but I doubt it is a threat to Frozen

 

Looks like it's an artifact mystery movie, so something along the lines of The Da Vinci Code or National Treasure. http://asianwiki.com/All-Round_Appraiser_Q:_The_Eyes_of_Mona_Lisa

 

I think Corpse mentioned a while ago that it could challenge Frozen this weekend, although that may have been before the latest staying power of the last two weekends.

[Quigley]

Corpse said:  It has become the fourth Highest-Grossing Film of All-Time with a total of ¥19.85 billion ($194.6 million) and 15.59 million admissions.

 

I thought it was 5th (behind SA, Titanic, HMC and HP1).

What is the HMC total after all then?