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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Frozen wins saturday, -21,6% past week

 

*1 28476 143939 507 *78.4% アナと雪の女王 (19,7% saturation)

*2 21951 *74115 411 *85.9% 超高速!参勤交代

*3 20456 121812 519 ****** オール・ユー・ニード・イズ・キル

*4 18753 170641 659 ****** トランセンデンス

*5 16794 171430 610 ****** 渇き。

Not bad, but I was really liking that -6.7% from the early  number. So, somewhere between 2.8 and 2.9m if that % holds against last weekend?

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Well, one thing's almost for sure, Frozen has remained for 16 weekends at #1, tying Spirited Away's record (for films since 1998, of course, according to Corpse). That is still breath-takingly amazing and I think it can still surpass Titanic (more like what I'm hoping for but at least there's still hope). I'm sure The Avengers 2 will be even more spectacular (although not necessarily - or even likely - in Japan).

Edited by Quigley
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So whats your prediction on opening weekend?

In his weekend prediction post, Corpse said:

 

">Edge of Tomorrow also has several preview locations this weekend, which will likely determine how it does when it opens next weekend.  If it translates well with those that see it, I expect a strong performance.  And if it doesn't, well, probably Oblivion numbers.  Having the previews shows confidence in the product, but it's also risky.

 

Previews are no longer counted towards opening weekends, so its opening weekend might be a little deflated next week, too."

 

Oblivion grossed 3,45M$ in OW. EoT could be in a 3,5 - 4,5 range.

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Corpse

 

Dragon 2

 

It has a movie page and Fox is listed as the distributor (distributor listed is important), but no release date or frame has been announced yet. Just "2014". But as I mentioned, 2-4 months is the general waiting period for a film to make its way to Japan theaters. And 6+ months isn't unusual for smaller films, and considering its performance will be small in Japan, a release date in December or in 2015 is possible.Just hope it gets released at all though because a number of DreamWorks/Blu Sky, etc. films haven't been receiving theatrical releases in Japan for a few years now due to their very underwhelming success in the market.Megamind, Ice Age 4, Rio, Rio 2, ParaNorman, Rise of the Guardians, Turbo, The Croods, The Nut Job, Free Birds, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, Epic, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, and maybe others didn't receive theatrical releases in Japan. Dragon 2 could have the same fate now that it's disappointing in the US. But hopefully the goodwill of the original (it's the only non-Disney/off-brand CGI animated film on various movie sites' Top 100 films) and its significant increases so far in non-US markets help it out.

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Weekend Estimates [06/28-29]
 
01 (01) ¥268 million ($2.6 million), -27%, ¥24.27 billion ($238.1 million), Frozen (Disney) Week 16
02 (02) ¥165 million ($1.6 million), -18%, ¥580 million ($5.7 million), Mission Impossible: Samurai (Shochiku) Week 2
03 (--) ¥111 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥111 million ($1.1 million), Transcendence (Shochiku/Pony Canyon) DEBUT
04 (03) ¥99 million ($980,000), -48%, ¥1.10 billion ($10.8 million), Noah (Paramount) Week 3
05 (--) ¥97 million ($960,000), 0, ¥135 million ($1.3 million), Thirst (Gaga) DEBUT
06 (--) ¥90 million ($890,000), 0, ¥90 million ($890,000), The Grudge: End of the Beginning (Showgate) DEBUT
07 (04) ¥48 million ($470,000), -50%, ¥500 million ($4.9 million), Climbing to Spring (Toho) Week 3
08 (06) ¥39 million ($380,000), -52%, ¥185 million ($1.8 million), Saint Seiya: Legend of Sanctuary (Toei) Week 2
09 (05) ¥32 million ($310,000), -63%, ¥220 million ($2.1 million), 300: Rise of an Empire (Warner Bros.) Week 2
10 (07) ¥24 million ($230,000), -53%, ¥880 million ($8.7 million), Monsterz (Warner Bros.) Week 5
11 (08) ¥21 million ($200,000), -55%, ¥1.01 billion ($10.0 million), X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox) Week 5
12 (09) ¥16 million ($150,000), -63%, ¥1.08 billion ($10.6 million), A Bolt from the Blue (Toho) Week 6
 
Pretty rough weekend.  It almost looks like last weekend was a holiday or discount day weekend, but that's not the case.  
 
Frozen earns itself a 16th-consecutive week on top, sharing the record for Most-Consecutive Weeks at #1 with Spirited Away now.  
 
The openers all did fine (most June releases are dumped there), and I'm actually surprised Transcendence is estimated above ¥100 million ($1 million).  Depp is the only reason it managed to do this "well".  And I forgot to include the new Grudge in the weekend forecast (my bad), but it only opened at 122 locations, and these near limited releases often change a lot from estimates.  Thirst is the most-impressive of the openers.  A weekend near ¥100 million is very strong considering the few films that open early on Friday with stage greetings tend to collapse over the weekend itself.
 
But now that another dull June is over, we can begin to see the many major titles July and August have to offer.  Beginning with Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow this upcoming weekend.
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Malf would need 50/60 million from what I'm looking at to get to 700m WW. Is it realistic at all? Been checking other Hollywood movies released this year and all their numbers are 10-30 million :wacko: except Frozen obviously but that's a once in a decade fluke

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Weekend Estimates [06/28-29]
 
01 (01) ¥268 million ($2.6 million), -27%, ¥24.27 billion ($238.1 million), Frozen (Disney) Week 16
02 (02) ¥165 million ($1.6 million), -18%, ¥580 million ($5.7 million), Mission Impossible: Samurai (Shochiku) Week 2
03 (--) ¥111 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥111 million ($1.1 million), Transcendence (Shochiku/Pony Canyon) DEBUT
04 (03) ¥99 million ($980,000), -48%, ¥1.10 billion ($10.8 million), Noah (Paramount) Week 3
05 (--) ¥97 million ($960,000), 0, ¥135 million ($1.3 million), Thirst (Gaga) DEBUT
06 (--) ¥90 million ($890,000), 0, ¥90 million ($890,000), The Grudge: End of the Beginning (Showgate) DEBUT
07 (04) ¥48 million ($470,000), -50%, ¥500 million ($4.9 million), Climbing to Spring (Toho) Week 3
08 (06) ¥39 million ($380,000), -52%, ¥185 million ($1.8 million), Saint Seiya: Legend of Sanctuary (Toei) Week 2
09 (05) ¥32 million ($310,000), -63%, ¥220 million ($2.1 million), 300: Rise of an Empire (Warner Bros.) Week 2
10 (07) ¥24 million ($230,000), -53%, ¥880 million ($8.7 million), Monsterz (Warner Bros.) Week 5
11 (08) ¥21 million ($200,000), -55%, ¥1.01 billion ($10.0 million), X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox) Week 5
12 (09) ¥16 million ($150,000), -63%, ¥1.08 billion ($10.6 million), A Bolt from the Blue (Toho) Week 6
 
Pretty rough weekend.  It almost looks like last weekend was a holiday or discount day weekend, but that's not the case.  
 
Frozen earns itself a 16th-consecutive week on top, sharing the record for Most-Consecutive Weeks at #1 with Spirited Away now.  
 
The openers all did fine (most June releases are dumped there), and I'm actually surprised Transcendence is estimated above ¥100 million ($1 million).  Depp is the only reason it managed to do this "well".  And I forgot to include the new Grudge in the weekend forecast (my bad), but it only opened at 122 locations, and these near limited releases often change a lot from estimates.  Thirst is the most-impressive of the openers.  A weekend near ¥100 million is very strong considering the few films that open early on Friday with stage greetings tend to collapse over the weekend itself.
 
But now that another dull June is over, we can begin to see the many major titles July and August have to offer.  Beginning with Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow this upcoming weekend.

 

EoT preview numbers???

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