JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[edroger3]

Me too. I actually created an account on this website because of Frozen

Me too

[alee7915]

Me too

 

 you too

[paressa]

corpse any update on the mid-week box office?

[John Marston]

nm

Edited August 22, 2014 by John Marston

[Corpse]

corpse any update on the mid-week box office?

I haven't been able to access the forums here for a few days.  

 

Most of the Top 10 is down 40-50% compared to last week, which is expected post-Obon.  Doraemon held the best throughout the week (sub-40%), while Transformers 4 saw the biggest decline (almost 60%).  

 

I'll have my weekend forecast (which will included estimated new totals) up soon. 

Edited August 22, 2014 by Corpse

[Corpse]

Weekend Forecast (08/23-24)

 

01 (01) ¥468 million ($4.5 million), -33%, ¥4.55 billion ($44.5 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 3

02 (02) ¥230 million ($2.2 million), -41%, ¥1.10 billion ($10.6 million), Hot Road (Shochiku) Week 2

03 (03) ¥221 million ($2.1 million), -38%, ¥3.80 billion ($37.0 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) Week 4

04 (04) ¥196 million ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥2.30 billion ($22.7 million), Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) Week 3

05 (--) ¥130 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥160 million ($1.4 million), Into the Storm (Warner Bros.) NEW

06 (05) ¥114 million ($1.0 million), -35%, ¥6.20 billion ($60.6 million), Maleficent (Disney) Week 8

07 (07) ¥113 million ($1.0 million), -31%, ¥2.95 billion ($28.9 million), Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 6

08 (06) ¥94 million ($0.9 million), -46%, ¥2.90 billion ($28.4 million), Godzilla (Toho) Week 5

09 (08) ¥80 million ($0.7 million), -32%, ¥2.55 billion ($24.9 million), Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 6

10 (--) ¥45 million ($0.4 million), 0, ¥45 million ($0.4 million), Over Your Dead Body (Toei) NEW 

 

Drops should be a bit on the steep side this weekend since it's post-Obon Week, but since Obon fell primarily on the weekdays last week rather than on the weekend, the drops shouldn't be too bad compared to some recent years.  This weekend last year is probably the best comparison.

 

Generally films that target males or older audiences fall the hardest after Obon, so I expect Transformers and Godzilla will see the biggest drops unless Hot Road plunges in its second weekend (its dailies were pretty weak).  And films appealing to children/families usually have the better post-Obon holds.

 

>Into the Storm looks like it did around 25/30 million ($250/300,000) to me on Friday, so it should be able to debut above ¥100 million.  ¥150 million ($1.5 million) or higher will be difficult though.  

[Cynosure]

Looks like the entire top 10 will be doing ¥4+ billion this year. A great increase compared to 2013 where the 10th movie did ¥3.20 billion.

[Corpse]

Toho, Movix, 109, Kinezo Cinema Chains' Saturday Admissions (08/23)

 

51,793 (-44%) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 3

26,632 (-55%) - Hot Road (Shochiku) Week 2

24,767 (-49%) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros) Week 4

17,889 (-58%) - Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) Week 3

17,039 (--) - Into the Storm (Warner Bros.) NEW

10,980 (-58%) - Maleficent (Disney) Week 8

10,975 (-53%) - Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 6

9,696 (-61%) - Godzilla (Toho) Week 5

7,060 (--) - New Initial D the Movie: Legend 1 - The Awakening (Avex Entertainment) NEW

6,888 (-52%) - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie

 

Rough drops from last Saturday, but last Saturday was also stronger than last Sunday meaning it was still receiving some of that Obon crowd boost.  Tomorrow should improve all of these drops by 5/10% for the weekend.

 

Not bad for Into the Storm.  Japan could be its best market overseas pending a China release.  

 

New Initial D probably isn't in the Top 10 when all the other chains are factored in, and even if it is, it'll fall out tomorrow and for the weekend itself.  It's still impressive to have shown up here, though, on just 30 screens.  

[paressa]

So maleficent took only 3 million the entire week? Corpse, do you think that next week drops will be biggers?

[Corpse]

Edits

Edited August 23, 2014 by Corpse

[Corpse]

So maleficent took only 3 million the entire week? Corpse, do you think that next week drops will be biggers?

Its run is coming to an end soon.  It should finish around 6.6/6.7 billion ($64/65 million). 

Edited August 23, 2014 by Corpse

[Corpse]

Looks like the entire top 10 will be doing ¥4+ billion this year. A great increase compared to 2013 where the 10th movie did ¥3.20 billion.

Maybe.  There'll be at least 8, most likely 9 (the next Rurouni Kenshin).  I don't think Marnie is going to reach the mark, and 4 billion is always a difficult mark to reach for most films, so we'll see how the latter releases in the year do.

 

Here is my projected Top 10:

 

Projected Top 10 of 2014 (Dec.-Dec.)

 

01. ¥25.5 billion ($250 million) - Frozen (Disney)

02. ¥8.74 billion ($84.9 million) - The Eternal Zero (Toho)

03. ¥6.50-8.00 billion ($63-78 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho)

04. ¥6.60-6.80 billion ($64-66 million) - Maleficent (Disney)

05. ¥4.40-4.60 billion ($43-45 million) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.)

06. ¥4.43 billion ($43.5 million) - Thermae Romae II (Toho)

07. ¥4.25 billion ($41.2 million) - Lupin III vs Detective Conan (Toho)

08. ¥4.09 billion ($40.1 million) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)

09. ¥3.70-4.00 billion ($36-39 million) - Memories of Marnie (Toho)

10. ¥3.58 billion ($35.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) 

 

Stand By Me, Doraemon's range is quite wide because it's still pretty new, and with it appealing to an audience much broader outside the normal Doraemon film, it's hard to predict what will happen to it at the end of the month.  Children/family films usually fall apart when September begins, but it's appealing to a much broader audience.  Maleficent, Rurouni Kenshin 2, and Marnie are unlikely to land outside of their ranges, and other notable films in release (Godzilla, Transformers 4, and Pokemon XY) don't have enough left to make a run at the Top 10 for the year.  

 

Remaining 2014 Top 10 (¥3.5/4 billion+) Contenders:

Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) [09/13]

Interstellar (Warner Bros.) [11/22]

Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) [11/29]

 

Director Takashi Yamazaki could have 3 films in the Top 10 (The Eternal Zero, Stand By Me, Doraemon, and possibly Patasyte Part 1).  I don't think any director has ever accomplished this feat.

 

If 2014 can manage 10 films above ¥4 billion (locked for 8, 9/10 is possible), it'll be the first time the Top 10 have all been above the mark since 2010, and then 2007 before that.  Think of ¥4 billion as about the $225 million equivalent release in the US. 

Edited August 24, 2014 by Corpse

[OffTheHizzle]

 

Maybe.  There'll be at least 8, most likely 9 (the next Rurouni Kenshin).  I don't think Marnie is going to reach the mark, and 4 billion is always a difficult mark to reach for most films, so we'll see how the latter releases in the year do.

 

Here is my projected Top 10:

 

Projected Top 10 of 2014 (Dec.-Dec.)

 

01. ¥25.5 billion ($250 million) - Frozen (Disney)

02. ¥8.74 billion ($84.9 million) - The Eternal Zero (Toho)

03. ¥6.50-8.00 billion ($63-78 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho)

04. ¥6.60-6.80 billion ($64-66 million) - Maleficent (Disney)

05. ¥4.40-4.60 billion ($43-45 million) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.)

06. ¥4.43 billion ($43.5 million) - Thermae Romae II (Toho)

07. ¥4.25 billion ($41.2 million) - Lupin III vs Detective Conan (Toho)

08. ¥4.09 billion ($40.1 million) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)

09. ¥3.70-4.00 billion ($36-39 million) - Memories of Marnie (Toho)

10. ¥3.58 billion ($35.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) 

 

Stand By Me, Doraemon's range is quite wide because it's still pretty new, and with it appealing to an audience much broader outside the normal Doraemon film, it's hard to predict what will happen to it at the end of the month.  Children/family films usually fall apart when September begins, but it's appealing to a much broader audience.  Maleficent, Rurouni Kenshin 2, and Marnie are unlikely to land outside of their ranges, and other notable films in release (Godzilla, Transformers 4, and Pokemon XY) don't have enough left to make a run at the Top 10 for the year.  

 

Remaining 2014 Top 10 (¥3.5/4 billion+) Contenders:

Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) [09/13]

Interstellar (Warner Bros.) [11/22]

Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) [11/29]

 

Director Takashi Yamazaki could have 3 films in the Top 10 (The Eternal Zero, Stand By Me, Doraemon, and possibly Patasyte Part 1).  I don't think any director has ever accomplished this feat.

 

If 2014 can manage 10 films above ¥4 billion (locked for 8, 9/10 is possible), it'll be the first time the Top 10 have all been above the mark since 2010, and then 2007 before that.  Think of ¥4 billion as about the $225 million equivalent release in the US. 

 

 

Does that mean that the ¥25.5 billion ($250 million) for Frozen would be the equivalent of over $1.4 billion in the US?

[Corpse]

No, it doesn't work that way.  Frozen is about the equivalent of a $600 million film in the US. 

 

Here is a rough, revised equivalent chart:

 

Approx. Yen to Dollar Equivalent (Japan vs US)¥30.0 billion = $750 million¥25.0 billion = $600 million¥20.0 billion = $500 million¥17.5 billion = $475 million¥15.0 billion = $450 million¥12.5 billion = $400 million¥10.0 billion = $350 million¥9.0 billion = $325 million¥8.0 billion = $300 million¥7.0 billion = $275 million¥6.0 billion = $250 million¥5.0 billion = $225 million¥4.0 billion = $200 million¥3.0 billion = $150 million¥2.5 billion = $125 million¥2.0 billion = $100 million¥1.5 billion = $75 million¥1.0 billion = $50 million

Edited August 24, 2014 by Corpse

[kayumanggi]

MANILA - A new trailer for "Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends," the third film of the highly-successful live adaptation series, has been released on Friday.

 

The video was uploaded on both the movie's official Facebook account and the official YouTube channel of local distributor Warner Bros. Philippines.

 

The two-part sequel, which is based on the highly-popular Japanese manga series written by Watsuki Nobuhiro, tells the story of Kenshin Himura (Takeru Satoh) and his fight against Makoto Shishio (Tatsuya Fujiawara).

 

The first part, dubbed "Kyoto Inferno," was released in the country on Wednesday. It quickly scored P7.3 million, which is country's biggest opening day gross for both a Japanese film and a foreign language film.

 

In comparison, Rurouni Kenshin, the first of the film series released in 2012, made around P12 million for the whole of its opening weekend.

 

Directed by Keishi Otomo, the film also stars Fujiwara Tatsu, Emi Takei, Yusuke Iseya, Aoki Muneta, Kamiki Ryunosuke, and Fukuyama Masaharu.

 

The Legend Ends is scheduled to hits theaters in the country on September 24.

 

This had its Asian premier here and the cast were surprised by the huge support from Filipino fans. We love anime to death.

[Corpse]

Go Kenshin! Warner Bros. should release these films to a wide-scale international audience.  

[Corpse]

Weekend Estimates (08/23-24)

 

01 (01) ¥476 million ($4.6 million), -32%, ¥4.58 billion ($44.9 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 3

02 (03) ¥219 million ($2.1 million), -39%, ¥3.77 billion ($36.8 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) Week 4

03 (02) ¥218 million ($2.1 million), -46%, ¥1.07 billion ($10.4 million), Hot Road (Shochiku) Week 2

04 (04) ¥169 million ($1.6 million), -52%, ¥2.29 billion ($22.6 million), Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) Week 3

05 (--) ¥125 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥150 billion ($1.4 million), Into the Storm (Warner Bros.) DEBUT

06 (07) ¥90 million ($0.87 million), -45%, ¥2.93 billion ($28.7 million), Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 6

07 (05) ¥89 million ($0.86 million), -49%, ¥6.15 billion ($60.2 million), Maleficent (Disney) Week 8

08 (06) ¥82 million ($0.79 million), -53%, ¥2.88 billion ($28.2 million), Godzilla (Toho) Week 5

09 (08) ¥73 million ($0.71 million), -38%, ¥2.52 billion ($24.7 million), Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 6

 

 

>Stand By Me, Doraemon remains strong in the post-Obon Weekend and is on track to surpass Maleficent to become the #1 film this Summer.  It also become the highest-grossing Doraemon film of all-time over the weekend, easily beating the totals of all 34 annual films before it in just 3 weeks.  

 

>Transformers: Age of Extinction is suffering from post-Obon.  While its first week was impressive, opening just days before Obon (as well as New Year or Golden Week) can often lead to sharp declines for the remainder of a film's run.  Let's see if it can recover the same way The Amazing Spider-Man 2 did earlier this year by opening the weekend before Golden Week.

 

>Into the Storm had an alright debut.  I'd probably even call it a success for opening above ¥100 million ($1 million).  It should be able to reach about ¥600 million ($5/6 million) with this start. 

 

>Maleficent had a surprisingly bad hold this weekend.  It did have one of the better holds last weekend with Obon, so that may explain things, but it's still a little unusual to have drop near 50% based on its audience.  

 

>10th place is really open this weekend, so I'm going to leave it off.  I doubt it's New Initial D, and am leaning towards Over Your Dead Body since it's playing on a lot more screens despite ranking 11th at the usual locations.  There's also another Gundam film in very limited release that could make a play at 10th since its tickets were likely sky high.  We'll see tomorrow.

[Corpse]

Weekend Ranking (08/23-24)

 

01 (01) Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 3

02 (02) Hot Road (Shochiku) Week 2

03 (03) Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) Week 4

04 (04) Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) Week 3

05 (--) Into the Storm (Warner Bros.) DEBUT

06 (07) Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 6

07 (05) Maleficent (Disney) Week 9

08 (06) Godzilla (Toho) Week 5

09 (08) Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 6

10 (--) Over Your Dead Body (Toei) DEBUT 

 

>Stand By Me, Doraemon held strong in its third weekend.  It grossed ¥486,676,700 ($4.7 million) with 348,299 admissions, down just 31% in its post-Obon weekend.  After 17-days, it's earned a very impressive ¥4,580,302,400 ($44.9 million) with 3,446,629 admissions.  It, easily, became the highest-grossing Doraemon film ever over the weekend.

 

If all goes well when it hits September (its dailies are remaining very strong), it should be able to exceed ¥7 billion ($70 million) and 5 million admissions.  

 

>Hot Road maintained its second place position, taking in ¥232,656,100 ($2.2 million) with 176,750 admissions.  After 9-days, its earned ¥1,090,276,500 ($10.6 million) with 846,005 admissions.  Not a great second weekend, but it's good enough that reaching ¥2 billion ($20 million) should be doable.

 

>Into the Storm was the weekend's top opener, grossing ¥135,323,000 ($1.3 million) with 104,233 admissions on 371 screens.  Not bad, and shouldn't have a problem reaching ¥500 million ($5 million).

 

>Maleficent brings its 8-week total up to ¥6.17 billion ($60.4 million) and 4.7 million admissions.  It's really slowed down now that Obon is over and Summer is coming to an end, and doesn't look like it'll quite reach 5 million admissions.  

 

Regardless of that though, it has become the highest-grossing imported live-action film since Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 3 years ago.  

 

>Over Your Dead Body rounded out the Top 10, debuting to a very poor ¥43,142,500 ($420,000) with 31,853 admissions on 194 screens.  While not expected to do any serious business, Toei continues to have major problems lately distributing live-action films.

[Corpse]

Also, if Stand By Me, Doraemon breaks ¥7 billion, it'll be the only non-Studio Ghibli, non-Disney/Pixar animated film to ever do so.  

[Cynosure]

Didn't 'Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back' top the mark as well ?

Edited August 26, 2014 by Cynosure