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Is it tracking towards another "big" drop this weekend. That will endanger 300M for sure.

Can't tell yet and 3 movies are coming out. Probably will have to wait until presales.I think it holds above 90%. Either way 300m gets done. A large drop here and there is expected mixed with tight holds. Look at ET and SA. They had 20% drops but it did not accelerate like in SK. Accelerated drops dont happen to a movie like this in a market like this that is reminiscent of pre 1985 dom. Edited by T E Lawrence
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Tuesday 5/27 Admissions ( Wk10-Today [wk-12] )

 

*3 chains  

109......2461--1781 -27.7%

movix....4217--3335 -21%
Kinezo...2202--1748 -20.7% 
 
total....8880--6864 -22.7%
 
 
*Today estimate - 62.6m yen ($0.61m)
 
*Current Total estimate - 20.09b yen ($197m current exchange rate)
Edited by Hans13
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The weekend seats in movix for Frozen is increasing, despite the coming of 3 new movies.

 

  seats

Frozen  50,524 132 showtimes → 53,727 133回 12周目

 

X-MEN              29,447 117 showtimesMONSTER            29,153 113鉴定士Q             24,265 115

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Tuesday 5/27 Admissions ( Wk10-Today [wk-12] )

*3 chains

109......2461--1781 -27.7%

movix....4217--3335 -21%

Kinezo...2202--1740 -21% (*Estimate)

total....8880--6856 -22.8%

*Today estimate - 62.6m yen ($0.61m)

*Current Total estimate - 20.09b yen ($197m current exchange rate)

uff... -22%, it hurts...
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uff... -22%, it hurts...

Slightly low weekend followed my a massively inflated Monday and a low Tuesday. A bit of a roller coaster the last few days.

I suspect that the big Monday is in response to the low weekend and is also partially responsible for the low Tuesday. I bet the rest of the week normalizes with sub 10% drops as things settle down now.

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1.82m Mon +80% Schools were out.

0.72m Tue -20% Edumacated guess w/o toho

 

196.82m Total. Last weeks total 19.84b ÷ 102.12y(ave rate for run) = 194.30

 

20.75b yen 821.8m OS 193.7 sun studio estimate- 600k short

818.7 sun OS estimate

819.3 is then OS actual then. Lets see if we can get kosher w screendaily on thursday.

Edited by T E Lawrence
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NOTE: Wednesday Presales x 

 

*4 Theaters Total

-This Wed  5/28 ______      / 11023
 
-Wednesday 5/21 ______ 2324 / 11152 - 20.8% (toho 27983 x12.040) 
-Wednesday 5/14 ______ 3075 / 11585 - 26.5% (toho 35574 x11.568)
 
*Shibuya 
- 5/28_____           / 1485 - 
-Last Wed 5/21__  849 / 1485 - 57.1%
*Yurakucho/Hibiya 
-5/28_______           / 3270 -  
-Last Wed 5/21____ 445 / 3270 - 13.6%
 
*Roppongi Hills 
-5/28________           / 3378 - 
-Last Wed 5/21_____ 335 / 2813 - 11.9%
*Nihonbashi 
- 5/28 ______          / 2890 - 
-Last Wed 5/21____ 695 / 3584 - 19.3%
 
 
 
 
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Apparently the news about Frozen crossing 20b yen is everywhere (in Japan of course). In several days it will pass HP1 to be the 3rd highest grossing movie of all time, so it will become news again. I won't be surprised if it stays flat this weekend because of this. Sunday is a discount day too (1st of the month). Perfect timing.

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Apparently the news about Frozen crossing 20b yen is everywhere (in Japan of course). In several days it will pass HP1 to be the 3rd highest grossing movie of all time, so it will become news again. I won't be surprised if it stays flat this weekend because of this. Sunday is a discount day too (1st of the month). Perfect timing.

 

In light of this fact, a single-digit drop is a possibility. Even if that doesn't happen, I still think it will remain at #1.

Edited by Quigley
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Wednesday 5/28 Presales Numbers - Toho Some Theaters

 

 

*Shibuya 
-Today 5/28_____  841 / 1485 - 56.6%
-Last Wed 5/21__  849 / 1485 - 57.1%
 
*Yurakucho/Hibiya 
-Today 5/28_______ 385 / 3270 - 11.7% 
-Last Wed 5/21____ 445 / 3270 - 13.6%
 
*Roppongi Hills 
-Today 5/28________ 440 / 3378 - 13.4%
-Last Wed 5/21_____ 335 / 2813 - 11.9%
 
*Nihonbashi 
-Today 5/28 ______ 636 / 2890 - 22.0%
-Last Wed 5/21____ 695 / 3584 - 19.3%
 

*4 Theaters Total

-Today 5/28 __________ 2302 / 11023 - 20.88%
-Wednesday 5/21 ______ 2324 / 11152 - 20.83% (toho 27983 x12.040) 
 
-Wednesday 5/14 ______ 3075 / 11585 - 26.5%  (toho 35574 x11.568)
 
*Today Prediction (Toho Admissions)...25,500-30,000
Edited by Hans13
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Note: Last Week Wednesday 5/21 Admissions (2:30pm-00:25am)

 

*Wk-11 [4 Chains]

109....3309----6444 (x1.94)
kinezo.2526----5507 (x2.09)
movix..3512----8376 (x2.38)
toho...13644--27983 (x2.05)
 
total..22991--48331(actual) x2.10
 
 
*Toho
wk-7...14489--34536 (x2.38)
wk-9...12570--28995 (x2.30)
wk-10..15950--35574 (x2.23)
 
*109
wk-7...3416--7551
wk-9...2835--6441
wk-10..3519--6950 (x1.97)
 
*kinezo
wk-7...2839--7062
wk-9...2453--5919
wk-10..3101--6476 (x2.08)
 
*movix
wk-9...3170--9193
wk-10..3536--9165 (x2.59)
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Wednesday 5/28 2:30pm Admissions (Last Wk- Today )

 

*4chains
109....3309----3140 -5.1%
kinezo.2526----2874 +13.7%
movix..3512----3687 +4.9%
toho...13644--12817 -6%
 
total..22991--22518 -2%
 
 
 
Note: *3 chains 2:30pm admissions (109+toho+Kinezo)
wk-6....18557
wk-7....20744
wk-9....17858
wk-10...22570
LastWk..19479
Today...18831
 
* 4 chains 2:30pm admissions 
wk-9...21028
wk-10..26106
Lastwk.22991
Today..22518
Edited by Hans13
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Movix........3687 +5%

109.............3140 -5%

Kinezo. .....2622 +4%

Toho. ......12817 -6%

TMK1........22266 -3%

Bodes well for a flat weekend

 

*2279 15983 *44 アナと雪の女王 (日本語吹替版)

**297 *1002 **4 アナと雪の女王 (字幕版)

**252 *1924 **8 アナと雪の女王 (3D・日本語吹替版)

***46 **596 **3 アナと雪の女王 (3D・字幕版)

 

kinezo 2874 13.7% increasing.  :D very strong wednesday !!

Edited by Hans13
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