charlie Jatinder Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 If like China, OD is 34% of total pre-sales, it will be 790k in pre-sales only. Including Midnights in OD, makes 57% i.e. 1311k. A mid point is 1050k. Now that I typed, thinking how useless it is. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 2,321,735 tickets, $18.2m ---- Full comparisons: South Korea Spreadsheet So, in the end Endgame passed not only 2.3m tickets presold, but also 2x Infinity War final. Meaning it just over doubled the record for final presales! With over 2900 screens too, Endgame has 350+ more than Infinity War's record of ~2550. Truly historic presale run, which will likely be unbeaten for many years to come. In about half an hour I'll have an estimate for what we can expect from Opening Day and Opening Weekend (5-day). 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Good news, presales will continue to increase for another 7 hrs when the show starts. It has increased another 5k. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) Top 5 OD (2005-: admissions)01. 1,246,603 Along with the gods: The last 49 days (2018) 02. 1,183,496 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018) 03. 980,093 The Avengers: Infinity War (2018) 04. 972,161 The Battleship Island (2017) 05. 873,117 The Mummy (2017) Top 6 Biggest Opening Weekend (3 day OW: Admissions) 01. 3,847,390 Along with the gods: The last 49 days (2018) 02. 3,357,346 Roaring Currents (2014) 03. 3,216,109 Train to Busan (2016) 04. 3,188,161 Avengers: Infinity War (2018) 05. 2,924,467 A Taxi Driver (2017) 06. 2,811,554 The Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) Definitely podium finish for OD, with good chance at first place. Personally I'd say 2nd place locked for 3D-OW, with a damn good chance of 1st place. Edited April 23, 2019 by feasby007 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, druv10 said: Good news, presales will continue to increase for another 7 hrs when the show starts. It has increased another 5k. Technically yes, but number will decrease from 5 am. On KOBIS the presales for shows within 2 hours are removed. So the 7 am shows will have their presales removed at 5 am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Hmmm, for some reason presales for CGV that should've turned up have not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Okey great, now we have the PS number. I will do an educated guess. Probably a bit optimistic (or not because you never know) @feasby007 will probably give more conservative estimated than I do but hey thats how we rolle EG: PS 2.322m OD 1340k Thu: 810k Fri: 1020k Sat: 1510k Sun: 1290k OW: 5970k admission => with average ticket price of $7.7 that would give it $46m USD. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) IMO in $ 9 6 8 13 11 47 Edited April 23, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, pepsa said: @feasby007 will probably give more conservative estimated than I do but hey thats how we roll I think you'll be surprised I'll put mine next to yours: Day / pepsa / me OD: 1340k - 1280k Thu: 810k - 860k Fri: 1020k - 1025k Sat: 1510k - 1505k Sun: 1290k - 1260k OW: 5970k / 5930k Agree with $46m, shame we don't have IW's ER. Basically I think OD won't quite go that high due to workday, then Thursday will pickup the slack 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: I think you'll be surprised I'll put mine next to yours: Day / pepsa / me OD: 1340k - 1280k Thu: 810k - 860k Fri: 1020k - 1025k Sat: 1510k - 1505k Sun: 1290k - 1260k OW: 5970k / 5930k Agree with $46m, shame we don't have IW's ER. Basically I think OD won't quite go that high due to workday, then Thursday will pickup the slack I agree, now the only thing left to do is EG blowing or Predictions out of the water and we are good 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, feasby007 said: I think you'll be surprised I'll put mine next to yours: Day / pepsa / me OD: 1340k - 1280k Thu: 810k - 860k Fri: 1020k - 1025k Sat: 1510k - 1505k Sun: 1290k - 1260k OW: 5970k / 5930k Agree with $46m, shame we don't have IW's ER. Basically I think OD won't quite go that high due to workday, then Thursday will pickup the slack 12 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: IMO in $ 8.1 5.6 7.5 12.8 10.8 44.8 My prediction/Feasby in $ $10.3m /$9.9m $6.2m / $6.6m $7.8m / $7.9m $11.6m / $11.6m $9.95m / $9.7m TOT: $45.9m / $45.7m Edited April 23, 2019 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 22 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Hmmm, for some reason presales for CGV that should've turned up have not Still nothing? @Olive What are you thinking for the weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, pepsa said: My prediction/Feasby in $ $10.3m /$9.9m $6.2m / $6.6m $7.8m / $7.9m $11.6m / $11.6m $9.95m / $9.7m TOT: $45.9m / $45.7m Wait, why I am less. I am also expecting 1.3mn OD admissions and IW ATP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, pepsa said: Still nothing? Sadly yes. Updates every hour at 20 minutes past, so hoping that it's just the first one doesn't work. For CM I had to retroactively guess presales, because I thought I missed them. Perhaps they never showed! Am refreshing every 10 minutes, so we'll know soon enough. Otherwise will have to wait till 7:20 am when first showings are logged. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Wait, why I am less. I am also expecting 1.3mn OD admissions and IW ATP. Because the ATP was $6.2 on OD for IW. @feasby007 @Olive @Fish&chips Is the OD wednesday for EG an day with ticket promototion (with low average ticket price)? Because if so, I should not use the 7.7 but the 6.2 like you used. Also the other days were 7.6 / 8.2 /8.05 /8.05 as ATP And I just averaged that out to 7.7 for the full weekend. But if EG is more frontloaded that would mean a lower Ticket price if Wed is indeed a discount day. Edited April 23, 2019 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) 8 minutes ago, pepsa said: Because the ATP was $6.2 on OD for IW. @feasby007 @Olive @Fish&chips Is the OD wednesday for EG an day with ticket promototion (with low average ticket price)? Because if so, I should not use the 7.7 but the 6.2 like you used. Also the other days were 7.6 / 8.2 /8.05 /8.05 as ATP And I just averaged that out to 7.7 for the full weekend. But if EG is more frontloaded that would mean a lower Ticket price if Wed is indeed a discount day. Don't think so. Pretty sure Culture Day is 3rd wednesday of each month, which would've been last week. Ignore me, my uncultured soul was wrong. Edited April 23, 2019 by feasby007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fish&chips Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Tomorrow is culture day, last wednesday of the month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 I love it when the S. Korea thread is busy and popping. I ran out of reactions to give but hats off to all of y’all doing the best work providing numbers and predictions in this thread 😘 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 One thing I've noticed in recent MCU OS numbers is that SK and UK are always competing as the #2 market and the grosses are really close to each other. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, Fish&chips said: Tomorrow is culture day, last wednesday of the month. It seems you were right. Thought there was 31 days in April (i.e. 5 wednesdays this month) and thought it was 3rd wednesday. I was wrong on so many levels! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
