Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Still no CGV, however I was able to inspect element and found this hidden: I believe this is age ranges of tickets purchased. For comparison here is Infinity War's FINAL ratios: Not sure there's a whole lot we can gather from this, remarkably similar, though presales a little more localised around 20-39 year olds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) Thanks @feasby007 and @pepsa and all others for all the tracking. Tomorrow begins the real fun and hopefully I will be a more active participant Edited April 23, 2019 by ZeeSoh 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, ZeeSoh said: Thanks @feasby007 and @pepsa and all others for all the tracking. Tomorrow begins the real fun and hopefully I will be a more active participant Hopefully the CGV works, because it isn't so far! I've already got my sweeper ready though, so even if somebody misses an update, I'll have a record of them all Gonna be insane when that first number comes in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Thanks @feasby007 and @pepsa and all others for all the tracking. Tomorrow begins the real fun and hopefully I will be a more active participant Yeah it will be fun ! And don't beat urself up if you can't be super active. I do remember it was a lot of fun with you and feasby last year (and for Jurasic world 2) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, pepsa said: Yeah it will be fun ! And don't beat urself up if you can't be super active. I do remember it was a lot of fun with you and feasby last year (and for Jurasic world 2) Ah yes, the joys of JW2 trying to figure out what was actually going on Now we know what we're doing, and I have my sweeper so we'll never miss an update Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, feasby007 said: Ah yes, the joys of JW2 trying to figure out what was actually going on Now we know what we're doing, and I have my sweeper so we'll never miss an update Nice because if though I don't want to I will be sleeping the first few hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, pepsa said: Nice because if though I don't want to I will be sleeping the first few hours It'll catch every update from 9:20 am through to final 11:20 pm and then again the presales at 00:20 am. Essentially every space I have available in my charts on my spreadsheet Captain Marvel was the trial run, and it worked rather well. Now for the big boys game 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 SHIT WE HAVE NUMBERS Presales at CGV for OD: 431k Estimated 850k presales for OD.... HUUGE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ledmonkey96 Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: SHIT WE HAVE NUMBERS Presales at CGV for OD: 431k Estimated 850k presales for OD.... HUUGE Comps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, Ledmonkey96 said: Comps? Only have one, Captain Marvel had 105k presales for OD at CGV, made 229k at CGV OD and 461k real OD. Obviously Endgame will be more presale heavy though. Essentially, I'd expect a presales multiplier of anywhere from 1.3 to 1.7 based on current occupancy at a random selection of theatres. Giving OD range 1.1 to 1.45m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: Only have one, Captain Marvel had 105k presales for OD at CGV, made 229k at CGV OD and 461k real OD. Obviously Endgame will be more presale heavy though. Essentially, I'd expect a presales multiplier of anywhere from 1.3 to 1.7 based on current occupancy at a random selection of theatres. Giving OD range 1.1 to 1.45m. So yeah a little over 1.3m should be done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, pepsa said: So yeah a little over 1.3m should be done Yeah probably. I mean Captain Marvel directly is saying 1.892m, which is obviously waaaaaay too high and unrealistic. But I believe pushing 1.5m could be possible. If it hits 1.5m OD, I genuinely feel we could see all 5 days over 1m. Obviously Thursday is the one day that could ruin this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 10 minutes ago, feasby007 said: SHIT WE HAVE NUMBERS Presales at CGV for OD: 431k Estimated 850k presales for OD.... HUUGE Wow, that lock up 1M+ opening day admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, druv10 said: Wow, that lock up 1M+ opening day admissions. I mean, I think IW (1.15m) was the floor for OD Whoops! Got confused with presales and OD, still IW was just shy with around 950k, so getting 1m was the easy bit Edited April 23, 2019 by feasby007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Just now, feasby007 said: Yeah probably. I mean Captain Marvel directly is saying 1.892m, which is obviously waaaaaay too high and unrealistic. But I believe pushing 1.5m could be possible. If it hits 1.5m OD, I genuinely feel we could see all 5 days over 1m. Obviously Thursday is the one day that could ruin this. I have a hard time seeing Thursday over 1m but hey if Wed is 1.5m and it's EG than I believe anything is possible. If it hit's 1.5m OD => $9.3m I do think 900k Thursday 1.1m Friday and 1.65m sat and 1.4m sun would be very likely. (Maybe I underestimated the frontloaded ness but hey 850k ps for OD thats still only 36.6% of the total at MN, in line whith other movies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, druv10 said: Wow, that lock up 1M+ opening day admissions. IW did 1m (almost so with double PS it was already locked But not it's 100% sure, lets aim for close to 1.5m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, pepsa said: I have a hard time seeing Thursday over 1m but hey if Wed is 1.5m and it's EG than I believe anything is possible. If it hit's 1.5m OD => $9.3m I do think 900k Thursday 1.1m Friday and 1.65m sat and 1.4m sun would be very likely. (Maybe I underestimated the frontloaded ness but hey 850k ps for OD thats still only 36.6% of the total at MN, in line whith other movies. I have a hard time seeing it over 1m too, but at the end of the day if EG can pull 1.5m on a weekday, then perhaps the spillover onto Thursday might just push it over. Is Avatar in trouble as highest HLWD here? I didn't think it was going to hit it, but this is just boggling. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, feasby007 said: I mean, I think IW (1.15m) was the floor for OD Another interesting thing, presales have only dropped to 2.283M so it may not be as presale heavy on OD as you think. My guess 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.5 7M admissions by Sunday. Avatar could be in jeopardy!!! Edited April 23, 2019 by druv10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: I have a hard time seeing it over 1m too, but at the end of the day if EG can pull 1.5m on a weekday, then perhaps the spillover onto Thursday might just push it over. Is Avatar in trouble as highest HLWD here? I didn't think it was going to hit it, but this is just boggling. Well we will know on thursday if OW is over 6.4m than yeah Avatar will get a run for it's money I think. Even with 6m it should have a shot if it has a good second weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 1 minute ago, druv10 said: Another interesting thing, presales have only dropped to 2.283M so it may not be as presale heavy on OD as you think. My guess 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.5 7M admissions by Sunday. Currently only presales for shows up to 9:20am are included, which is not a lot 1 minute ago, pepsa said: Well we will know on Thursday if OW is over 6.4m than yeah Avatar will get a run for it's money I think. Even with 6m it should have a shot if it has a good second weekend. Yes, especially if it has a good Labor Day increase next week too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
