pepsa Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 (edited) SK update: at 16.20pm sk time Sterwart and me are expecting today's admission to be aroun 540k that's a 62.3% from Yesterday and down 35.1% from Thursday. Wednesday is a Holiday so Tuesday evening should play better than mondays evening, thought Monday is inflated by spill over from the weekend so Tuesday might not jump/not jump big. PS are 904k atm down from 2.32m at OD last week but it's going up again. We can expect it to rise till Tuesday evening, drop on wednesday (because of holiday, so higher ps's) then rise again till Friday night and drop sat and sun. EDIT: 19.20 update had bad evening walk up so more looking like 515k. Edited April 29, 2019 by pepsa 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 (edited) Monday adm 478.575 ($3.6m)! Will go up a bit by next morning. Should go to around 515k. Gross should go up to $3.8m Edited April 29, 2019 by pepsa 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 Number is quite lower than expected, which means CGV portion was more than 50%. That's strange because today KOBIS mentioned nothing about calculation delay. Tomorrow morning we will see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 (edited) More information with the Adm estimated the CGV ratio would be 52.4% Captain Marvel didn't have any day over 50% and EG has been lower than CM every day in % so it's surly off. The 515k would be a CGV ratio of 48.7% (anything between 48.3% to 49.5% is reasonable). IW had a 495k monday, this because 1st may Holiday was on Tuesday so Monday played like a friday. We will get over this number. It's extremely good EG gets over the IW number, to compare it to IW on the first normal day (Wednesday) it "only" did 265k. Using the standard 15% daily drop from a normal movie a 265k would translate to a 366k monday for IW compared to the 500k EG monday. That said Sat + Sun where huge so spill over was going to happen and that has helped it's monday drop by a lot. What to expect to morrow? Okay PS are in for Tuesday. They are up 23.5%, great news. Walk ups will be strong than today, the evening will play more like a friday and we can expect a bit over 600k tomorrow. This is asuming CGV ratio at 48%. In gross with would mean $4.5m USD. Edited April 29, 2019 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, troyand said: Number is quite lower than expected, which means CGV portion was more than 50%. That's strange because today KOBIS mentioned nothing about calculation delay. Tomorrow morning we will see. If it adjusts to 515 as expected the CGV % is 48.7, highly aligned with previous linear trend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 6 minutes ago, troyand said: Number is quite lower than expected, which means CGV portion was more than 50%. That's strange because today KOBIS mentioned nothing about calculation delay. Tomorrow morning we will see. Don't worry CGV won't go as high as 52.4% the bottom this will do is a CGV ratio of 50% and that absolute worse case. That would give 502k. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, pepsa said: Don't worry CGV won't go as high as 52.4% the bottom this will do is a CGV ratio of 50% and that absolute worse case. That would give 502k. Saturday's delay was a surprising entertainment, but please, not again. I guess kobis is teasing us, with an evil intention. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 29, 2019 Share Posted April 29, 2019 Well I don't like to say it but I am almost off to bed an the adm count is only up to 482.7k and doens't seem to be moving anymore. This would mean CGV accounted for 52% of the market, witch is bad If tomorrow follows suit it's looking at 565k in total. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 Kobis cut down more than 10k admissions from monday number. They did it also on sunday number yesterday. What the heck are they doing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 38 minutes ago, troyand said: Kobis cut down more than 10k admissions from monday number. They did it also on sunday number yesterday. What the heck are they doing? I have no clue as it stands the CGV ratio from yesterday was 53.2%. Extremely high so I don't know what it will be today. Hopefully it gets better but I don't know anymore. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 Just for testing sake. Today would be 522k going with same % as yesterday. Hope it goes up to something over 550k 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 Will it have so-so legs in Korea? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 (edited) Endgame Tuesday 545,257 That number should go up more so 550K should happen. Edited April 30, 2019 by druv10 More explanation 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, UserHN said: Will it have so-so legs in Korea? To be honest for a Monday that 470k was a great number (IW did 485k with semi holiday) so it's was fine really. It's just strange that CGV went up to 53% whilst normaly it's a lot lower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, druv10 said: Endgame Tuesday 545,257 Okay this is good 15.6% up from yesterday. Wednesday will also go up atleast +40% I will update when we get the PS number. Also CGV now at 50.1% instead of yesterdays 53%. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troyand Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 1 minute ago, pepsa said: To be honest for a Monday that 470k was a great number (IW did 485k with semi holiday) so it's was fine really. It's just strange that CGV went up to 53% whilst normaly it's a lot lower. I thought there must have been something wrong with monday number, but the number rather decreased. so 53% on monday is still a mystery.... anyway I'm happy that today's number is better than expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, UserHN said: Will it have so-so legs in Korea? Considering presales are already over 1.1M, we're for a massive 5 days. 13-14M admissions finish, which is out of this world. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, druv10 said: Considering presales are already over 1.1M, we're for a massive 5 days. 13-14M admissions finish, which is out of this world. What is the $ equivalent of 13-14 mn adm? Edited April 30, 2019 by UserHN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 1 minute ago, UserHN said: What is the $ equivalent of 13-14 mn adm? 100-105M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted April 30, 2019 Share Posted April 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, UserHN said: What is the $ equivalent of 13-14 mn adm? $7.5 average ticket price or something around that I would guess. So that means $92.5m - $100m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
