South Korea Box Office

[XXR vs XXR]

The first showings should be happening now huh?

[Legion Again]

98k CGV. D1 always the hardest but I would certainly take under on 500k

[Legion Again]

Just now, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

The first showings should be happening now huh?

Generally midnights are negligible so it will take ~10 hrs or so.  
 

Kaybe first showings happening now as in like, Indonesia midnights?

[imbruglia]

first showing is 8AM so 8 hours later..

[JustLurking]

5 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

98k CGV. D1 always the hardest but I would certainly take under on 500k

Someone mentioned sat was already selling better than OD here a few days ago so things should be very spread out with little rush I guess. Probably having both sat and sun a good bit over OD.

Edited December 13, 2022 by JustLurking

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

first showing is 8AM so 8 hours later..

[Issac Newton]

So we should continue our pre-sales count until 8:00 KST

[Legion Again]

Ah heck, it’s the first big run I ill be tracking for ages, why not shoot my shot.
 

400k OD forecast (370-440) 

[Legion Again]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

So we should continue our pre-sales count until 8:00 KST

By convention we take final ps as midnight, anything else will be useless for historical comparison.   
 
Hourly tracking first data point recorded is 09:20

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

By convention we take final ps as midnight, anything else will be useless for historical comparison.   
 
Hourly tracking first data point recorded is 09:20

Okay I see the judgement but still I will record the final ps until the first show.. may just for fun or so..

[Legion Again]

Some links for those new to market (or casual followers (or rusty)):

hourly CGV sales for current day are here — https://m.cgv.co.kr/WebAPP/MovieV4/movieList.aspx?iPage=1&Seq=86072&mtype=now&morder=TicketRate&mnowflag=0 (updates ~XX20-XX25)

EOD all market figures posted here — https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyBoxOfficeList.do (updates 0000 but adjusts upward slightly as counts finalize with most of movement by 0100 or so)

sheet with historical comparisons, some stats of interest, and (often) hourly/daily projections here — https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit (updates whenever relevant people are conscious and get around to it)

 

Will keep sheet access among small pool for now but feel free to note any relevant values that don’t seem to be getting updated in the thread or in your own records and we can patch them in. If anyone shows a particular passion you can probably get access pretty fast if you want it.

Edited December 13, 2022 by Legion By Night

[JustLurking]

1 minute ago, Legion By Night said:

Some links for those new to market (or casual followers (or rusty)):

hourly CGV sales for current day are here — https://m.cgv.co.kr/WebAPP/MovieV4/movieList.aspx?iPage=1&Seq=86072&mtype=now&morder=TicketRate&mnowflag=0 (updates ~XX20-XX25)

EOD all market figures posted here — https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyBoxOfficeList.do (updates 0000 but adjusts upward slightly as counts finalize with most of movement by 0100 or so)

sheet with historical comparisons, some stats of interest, and (often) hourly/daily projections here — https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit (updates whenever relevant people are conscious and get around to it)

 

Will keep sheet access among small pool for now but feel free to note any relevant values that don’t seem to be getting updated in the thread or in your own records and we can patch them in. If anyone shows a particular passion you can probably get access pretty fast if you want it.

Thanks man, much appreciated!

[Olive]

CGV starts with 98k

TGM 46k with 188K final OD

with same pace/ratio, AWOW OD will be right around 400k

[XXR vs XXR]

5 minutes ago, Olive said:

CGV starts with 98k

TGM 46k with 188K final OD

with same pace/ratio, AWOW OD will be right around 400k

Olive says ATWOW will make double TGM in SK 

[interiorgatordecorator]

45 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

Generally midnights are negligible so it will take ~10 hrs or so.  
 

Kaybe first showings happening now as in like, Indonesia midnights?

 

but there are SOME midnight showings right?

will be naver and fanbox be unlocked within the next few hours?

[JustLurking]

A2 has the highest PS:Wed CGV ratio out of every film in the chart by far.

 

I'm trying to get a feel for what the distribution could be like off this, so does 800k sat sound too crazy/optimistic or is it plausible?

[Legion Again]

10 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

A2 has the highest PS:Wed CGV ratio out of every film in the chart by far.

 

I'm trying to get a feel for what the distribution could be like off this, so does 800k sat sound too crazy/optimistic or is it plausible?

Told Jat just yesterday that I thought sat could clear 2x OD.    
 

The level of ps backloading here is comparable to F2, though that was a kid animation Th opener so take the comp with a grain of salt. If OD indeed trends to ~400 that will be ~2/3 F2 and I would guess bit under 2/3rd FSS (F2 had 3.83M). Perhaps:

400

330

450

1000

950 // 2.4M, 3.13M

 

still a lot of baseball to be played however

Edited December 13, 2022 by Legion By Night

[JustLurking]

Just now, Legion By Night said:

Told Jat just yesterday that I thought sat could clear 2x OD.    
 

The level of ps backloading here is comparable to F2, though that was a kid animation Th opener so take the comp with a grain of salt. If OD indeed trends to ~400 that will be ~2/3 F2 and I would guess bit under 2/3rd FSS (F2 had 3.83M). Perhaps:

400

330

450

1000

950

Coolio. That'd be pretty great.

[pepsa]

I am guessing 98k, 185k CGV at midnight, 46% CGV ratio, good for a 402k OD

[stephanos13]

I am not familiar with Korean Box Office. What is CGV?