2015 Discussion Thread: Universal wins the calendar year | SW: TFA - biggest film domestic, 3rd biggest film worldwide

[Shaldun]

As to the question of the thread, I don't think AoU is locked to win in all fronts. It has the most chances but DOM, Star Wars is a true competitor with 3D, inflation, the "return of the franchise and of the OT characters" effect. AoU could decrease a little from the first too (as often with sequels to massive successes). OS and WW, Star Wars isn't as big so Avengers has probably more chances to win there but Star Wars is kind of untested with the new internationnal markets  and it can be huge there too.

[Neo]

[Burgess]

Not really the ultimate 2015 movie preview when its missing Spectre, MI:5, Mockingjay Part 2, The Fantastic Four and Ant Man. Still, pretty cool.

Edited December 15, 2014 by Burgess

[Neo]

Not really the ultimate 2015 movie preview when its missing Spectre, MI:5, Mockingjay Part 2, The Fantastic Four and Ant Man. Still, pretty cool.

Is there footage of those movies?

[Darth Homer]

On 8/12/2014 at 9:58 AM, jessie said:

Avengers is certainly not locked to win domestically. It has a good chance, but using the word lock is basically saying Star Wars is guaranteed to atleast be the 2nd lowest ticket seller for a Star Wars movie. It only needs to sell as many tickets as ROTS and with 3d that would give it a total of around 550-560m, which Avengers may even struggle to reach.

Edited May 3, 2016 by Darth Homer

[Jessie]

There's no guarantee that TFA can sell as many tickets as ROTS domestically. The Hobbit couldn't match the box office of LOTR even with 10 years of inflation and 3D. Granted, the hype for TFA will be much higher (and hopefully it'll be a better movie, too) but I think OS is where you'll see a huge jump from the prequels, not domestic.

 

Except The Hobbit was about a bunch of dwarfs wanting to find some gold, the trailers showed no action and didn't give a single character for us to give a shit about. The teaser for SW has already shown that there is more fun to be had, not to mention SW has already proven itself to perform well when re-inventing itself. Sure, there is no guarantee it will sell as many tickets, but to say its locked for TA to beat it is just ridiculous.

[kayumanggi]

1	Fifty Shades of Grey	Uni.	$149,235,915	3,655	$85,171,450	3,646	2/13	-
2	The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water	Par.	$141,074,823	3,680	$55,365,012	3,641	2/6	-
3	Taken 3	Fox	$88,071,079	3,594	$39,201,657	3,594	1/9	-
4	Kingsman: The Secret Service	Fox	$87,937,887	3,282	$36,206,331	3,204	2/13	-
5	Paddington	W/Dim.	$70,512,217	3,355	$18,966,676	3,303	1/16	-
6	The Wedding Ringer	SGem	$63,088,349	3,003	$20,649,306	3,003	1/16	-
7	Jupiter Ascending	WB	$43,559,088	3,181	$18,372,372	3,181	2/6	-
8	The Boy Next Door	Uni.	$35,278,705	2,615	$14,910,105	2,602	1/23	-
9	The Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death	Rela.	$26,464,157	2,602	$15,027,415	2,602	1/2	-
10	McFarland, USA	BV	$23,132,935	2,765	$11,020,798	2,755	2/20	-
11	Focus (2015)	WB	$22,063,793	3,323	$18,685,137	3,323	2/27	-
12	Project Almanac	Par.	$21,937,575	2,900	$8,310,252	2,893	1/30	-
13	Black or White	Rela.	$20,708,504	1,823	$6,213,362	1,823	1/30	-
14	The DUFF	LGF	$20,574,434	2,622	$10,809,149	2,575	2/20	-
15	Seventh Son	Uni.	$16,786,380	2,875	$7,217,640	2,875	2/6	-

 

[Neo]

AOU - 555M

JW - 295M

IO - 275M

Minions - 240M

Mi5 - 195M

http://www.ew.com/article/2015/04/15/summer-box-office-predictions-2015/3

[PDC1987]

Nothing is ever locked before release.

[kayumanggi]

1	Furious 7	Uni.	$294,410,000	4,022	$147,187,040	4,004	4/3	-
2	Cinderella (2015)	BV	$186,324,000	3,848	$67,877,361	3,845	3/13	-
3	Fifty Shades of Grey	Uni.	$165,955,200	3,655	$85,171,450	3,646	2/13	-
4	The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water	Par.	$161,702,000	3,680	$55,365,012	3,641	2/6	-
5	Home (2015)	Fox	$142,609,000	3,801	$52,107,731	3,708	3/27	-
6	Kingsman: The Secret Service	Fox	$125,630,000	3,282	$36,206,331	3,204	2/13	-
7	The Divergent Series: Insurgent	LG/S	$120,605,000	3,875	$52,263,680	3,875	3/20	-
8	Taken 3	Fox	$89,144,280	3,594	$39,201,657	3,594	1/9	-
9	Get Hard	WB	$78,279,000	3,212	$33,803,253	3,175	3/27	-
10	Paddington	W/Dim.	$75,474,500	3,355	$18,966,676	3,303	1/16	-
11	The Wedding Ringer	SGem	$64,460,211	3,003	$20,649,306	3,003	1/16	-
12	Focus (2015)	WB	$53,477,545	3,323	$18,685,137	3,323	2/27	-
13	Jupiter Ascending	WB	$47,159,541	3,181	$18,372,372	3,181	2/6	-
14	McFarland, USA	BV	$42,953,000	2,792	$11,020,798	2,755	2/20	-
15	The Boy Next Door	Uni.	$35,423,380	2,615	$14,910,105	2,602	1/23	3/12

 

[Avatree]

AOU - 555M

JW - 295M

IO - 275M

Minions - 240M

Mi5 - 195M

http://www.ew.com/article/2015/04/15/summer-box-office-predictions-2015/3

These are poor predictions, they just give a figure then a plot synopsis. No explanation for how they reached that figure.

 

I wonder why they think Minions is going to gross so low.

[kayumanggi]

MAY

 

01 | AVENGERS: AGE OF ULTRON

 

08 | HOT PURSUIT

 

15 | PITCH PERFECT II | MAD MAX: FURY ROAD

 

22 | TOMORROWLAND | POLTERGEIST

 

29 | ALOHA | SAN ANDREAS

Edited April 20, 2015 by kayumanggi

[kayumanggi]

Avengers is certainly not locked to win domestically. It has a good chance, but using the word lock is basically saying Star Wars is guaranteed to atleast be the 2nd lowest ticket seller for a Star Wars movie. It only needs to sell as many tickets as ROTS and with 3d that would give it a total of around 550-560m, which Avengers may even struggle to reach.

 

Wowza!

[kayumanggi]

Avengers 2 will crush SW7

 

[Ethan Hunt]

OK, I'll revise that: The Avengers will edge out SW7 by just a bit

[kayumanggi]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOP 15 DOMESTIC

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

01 | 333.1 M | FURIOUS 7

02 | 235.7 M | AVENGERS: AGE OF ULTRON

03 | 194.6 M | CINDERELLA

04 | 166.2 M | FIFTY SHADES OF GREY

05 | 162.4 M | THE SPONGEBOB MOVIE: SPONGE OUT OF WATER

 

06 | 159.1 M | HOME

07 | 127.0 M | KINGSMAN: THE SECRET SERVICE

08 | 126.8 M | THE DIVERGENT SERIES: INSURGENT

09 | 089.2 M | TAKEN III

10 | 086.8 M | GET HARD

 

11 | 075.7 M | PADDINGTON

12 | 064.5 M | THE WEDDING RINGER

13 | 053.9 M | FOCUS

14 | 052.9 M | PAUL BLART: MALL COP II

15 | 047.4 M | JUPITER ASCENDING

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RELEASE SCHEDULE

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MAY

15 | PITCH PERFECT II | MAD MAX: FURY ROAD

22 | TOMORROWLAND | POLTERGEIST

29 | ALOHA | SAN ANDREAS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JUNE

05 | SPY | ENTOURAGE | INSIDIOUS CHAPTER III

12 | JURASSIC WORLD

19 | INSIDE OUT | DOPE

26 | TED II | MAX | THE OUTSKIRTS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JULY

03 | TERMINATOR: GENISYS | MAGIC MIKE XXL

10 | MINIONS | THE GALLOWS | SELF/LESS

17 | ANT-MAN | TRAINWRECK

24 | PAPER TOWNS | PIXELS | SOUTHPAW

31 | MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - ROGUE NATION | VACATION | THE GIFT

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUGUST

07 | FANT4STIC | RICKI AND THE FLASH | SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE | MASTERMINDS

14 | STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON | THE MAN FROM U.N.C.L.E. | UNDERDOGS

21 | HITMAN: AGENT 47 | AMERICAN ULTRA | SINISTER II

28 | WE ARE YOUR FRIENDS | REGRESSION

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEPTEMBER

04 | KITCHEN SINK | JANE GOT A GUN | NO ESCAPE | THE TRANSPORTER REFUELED

11 | PERFECT GUY | THE VISIT | TRIPLE NINE

18 | MAZE RUNNER: THE SCORCH TRIALS | CAPTIVE | EVEREST | BLACK MASS

25 | HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA II | THE INTERN | BEFORE I WAKE | THE DISAPPOINTMENTS ROOM

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OCTOBER

02 | VICTOR FRANKENSTEIN | THE WALK | LONDON HAS FALLEN | HILLSONG - LET HOPE RISE | ADAM JONES

09 | STEVE JOBS | PAN | KIDNAP

16 | BRIDGE OF SPIES | GOOSEBUMPS | CRIMSON PEAK

23 | PARANORMAL ACTIVITY: THE GHOST DIMENSION | JEM AND THE HOLOGRAMS | THE LAST WITCH HUNTER | THE SECRET IN THEIR EYES

30 | SCOUTS VS ZOMBIES | AUTOBAHN

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOVEMBER

06 | THE PEANUTS MOVIE | SPECTRE

13 | RINGS | BY THE SEA | THE 33 | ROCK THE KASBAH

20 | THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY II

27 | THE GOOD DINOSAUR | THE MARTIAN | UNTITLED SETH ROGEN/JOSEPH GORDON-LEVITT X-MAS MOVIE | MIDNIGHT SPECIAL | CREED

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DECEMBER

04 | KRAMPUS

11 | IN THE HEART OF THE SEA

18 | STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS | SISTERS

25 | ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP | JOY | CONCUSSION | POINT BREAK | SNOWDEN

Edited June 4, 2015 by kayumanggi

[kayumanggi]

Well...

[Avatree]

...well?

[kayumanggi]

...well?

 

It might not win anything.

[Avatree]

What might not win anything?

 

edit: Oh, avengers. No, won't win any of those three.

Edited June 4, 2015 by Treeth Simanton