China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Legion Again]

Quote

2020 CNY might be very tough.

Well, not wrong,

[Gavin Feng]

1917 in June.

[Jamiem]

Is a June reopening still looking likely?

 

Getting close to seeing some numbers if it is. 

[john2000]

@Gavin Feng still looking like mid june ?

[john2000]

 

credit @Gavin Feng

[charlie Jatinder]

@Arendelle Legion asked a version of it, I wonder, where will non-Disney film hit $200mn pure FSS first. China or North America.

 

The current biggest non-Disney FSS is $190mn Jurassic World in NA & 2nd biggest is just $140mn (The Dark Knight iirc) while $173mn Furious 8 in China and 2nd biggest is Wandering Earth $170mn iirc. China I took without ticket booking charges gross.

 

 

Edited June 8, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Legion Again]

Gotta be China, right? US will take until like 2022/2023, some China local with a Fri release should get it before then even with growth slowed.

Edited June 8, 2020 by Arendelle Legion

[lorddemaxus]

13 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

 US will take until like 2022/2023

I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future.

Edited June 8, 2020 by lorddemaxus

[charlie Jatinder]

7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future.

Harry Potter 8 did only $125mn and that's sort of peak. It was at that time just 66% of The Avengers, 66% of Infinity War today will be 144mn approx, which will be roughly inflated adjusted.

[Legion Again]

18 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future.

Me neither really, almost put 2022-2024. If I had to pick a single film for it I guess I’d go for Batman sequel. I agree that concrete announced possibilities are a bit murky, but there’s also a background rate of unexpected breakout OWs to consider. At least as long as covid/streaming doesn’t leave a persistent scar.

Edited June 8, 2020 by Arendelle Legion

[lorddemaxus]

26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harry Potter 8 did only $125mn and that's sort of peak. It was at that time just 66% of The Avengers, 66% of Infinity War today will be 144mn approx, which will be roughly inflated adjusted.

66% of Endgame is 196 mil and with 6-10 years of inflation, it should be able to cross 200 mil FSS. I can also see The Batman sequel do it as @Arendelle Legion says.

Edited June 8, 2020 by lorddemaxus

[charlie Jatinder]

15 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

66% of Endgame is 196 mil and with 6-10 years of inflation, it should be able to cross 200 mil FSS. I can also see The Batman sequel do it as @Arendelle Legion says.

Endgame isn't even in picture for any sane comparison.

 

Infinity War is the comparison.

[Legion Again]

Eh, I wouldn’t totally exclude Endgame just ‘cause it’s too huge. Using the full 357M is gonna skew stuff a bit, but otoh it’s now crystal clear what I suspected at the time — IW’s record was rather slack. For trying to do historical comparisons with % of OW record, I might average them for ~307.

[charlie Jatinder]

27 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Eh, I wouldn’t totally exclude Endgame just ‘cause it’s too huge. Using the full 357M is gonna skew stuff a bit, but otoh it’s now crystal clear what I suspected at the time — IW’s record was rather slack. For trying to do historical comparisons with % of OW record, I might average them for ~307.

Ohh it is. Infinity War FSS was no small number. It's just that Endgame is next level.

 

IW FSS was $219mn which was $25mn or 13% bigger than TFA.

[john2000]

@Gavin Feng hey when we will know when cinemas will reopen ? june ? july ? you said that the message that theaters need to play movies would be given soon any update on that ?

[Gavin Feng]

28 minutes ago, john2000 said:

@Gavin Feng hey when we will know when cinemas will reopen ? june ? july ? you said that the message that theaters need to play movies would be given soon any update on that ?

no exact word after June reopen almost impossible

[john2000]

21 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

no exact word after June reopen almost impossible

so not reopen in june ? ok  maybe july idk what they are waiting for though

 

still have you heard when they will announce something officially though ? from the momment that they spoke about cinemas last month, cinemas will probably open in summer

Edited June 12, 2020 by john2000

[Gavin Feng]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

so not reopen in june ? ok  maybe july idk what they are waiting for though

tiny industry. No person in power care about $9 billion box office.

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

tiny industry. No person in power care about $9 billion box office.

good point there in your opinion when do you think that they will announce something ?

[Gavin Feng]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

good point there in your opinion when do you think that they will announce something ?

when president Xi want to go cinema