China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[The GOAT]

12 hours ago, porginchina said:

Honestly… yeah, that tracks (saying this from my perspective here during day 49ish of Shanghai's never-ending lockdown where, regardless of the local government's pronouncements that things are opening up, the city remains very much not opened up).

You should personally go around your neighbourhood and start jabbing every elder person, you see, with the vaccine.  

[efialtes76]

Today was like Valentine's Day in China.

Big increases incoming...

[Issac Newton]

Friday Estimates

 

#1 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥23M / ¥349.2M [Re-release]

#2 Bad Guys : ¥9.7M / ¥148M (-1)

#3 Stay With Me : ¥6.1M / ¥146.5M (-1)

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥3.9M / ¥125.6M (-1)

#5 Downtown Abbey 2 : ¥2.5M 🆕

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥171.5M), The Batman (¥159.9M), Moonfall (¥149M), Uncharted (¥136.3M) Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥96M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥93.7M), Escape Room 2 (¥62.8M), Ambulance (¥15.5M) &Marry Me (¥3.3M)

 

Last Friday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥3.95M

#2 Stay With Me : ¥2.35M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.77M

 

Cinema Opened : 7955 / 11822 (65.9%)

Edited May 20, 2022 by Issac Newton
Underestimated #1

[Issac Newton]

Most Anticipated Imported Titles of 2022

347,734 : Fantastic Beast 3

250,471 : The Batman

176,372 : Matrix Resurrection

146,663 : Hotel Transylvania 4

143,238 : Moonfall

132,758 : Uncharted

131,389 : Jurassic World: Dominion*

x91,927 : Death On The Nile

x57,353 : A Rainy Day in New York

x55,894 : Encanto

x46,550 : Paw Patrol The Movie

x40,149 : Escape Room 2

x38,917 : We Made A Beautiful Bouquet

x25,245 : Bad Guys

x23,404 : Downtown Abbey 2

x18,233 : Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021*

x17,034 : Drishyam

x11,628 : Mon Inconnue

xx9,408 : Ambulance

xx7,465 : Kanaa

xx7,307 : Chhichhore

xx4,161 : 2018 Yokai Watch Movie

xx3,724 : Oops! The Adventure Continues

xx3,607 : Marry Me

 

*Still Counting

 

Note : Includes only recently released through out 2022 (Jan-June)

[Issac Newton]

6 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Friday Estimates

 

#1 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥23M / ¥349.2M [Re-release]

#2 Bad Guys : ¥9.7M / ¥148M (-1)

#3 Stay With Me : ¥6.1M / ¥146.5M (-1)

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥3.9M / ¥125.6M (-1)

#5 Downtown Abbey 2 : ¥2.5M 🆕

Actuals came higher

 

#1 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥24.14M / ¥350.36M [Re-release]

#2 Bad Guys : ¥10.02M / ¥148.27M (-1)

#3 Stay With Me : ¥6.35M / ¥144.69M (-1)

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥4.12M / ¥125.86M (-1)

#5 Downtown Abbey 2 : ¥2.41M 🆕

 

Rest of the numbers are okayish as estimate.

 

Universal's Bad Guys

Opening Day : ¥2.46M

2nd Friday : ¥2.63M

3rd Friday : ¥3.95M

4th Friday : ¥10.02M

[xieh tie]

 

[porginchina]

Will be interesting to see if Mozart from Space keeps that mid-July release… with some recognizable stars, what appears to be a decent budget, and the high-profile director of Detective Chinatown, it's clearly got sizable box office aspirations. Maybe China will be opened up enough by then to justify the risk of releasing a Chinese movie into Chinese theaters? Will be interesting to see.

[Gavin Feng]

16 minutes ago, porginchina said:

Will be interesting to see if Mozart from Space keeps that mid-July release… with some recognizable stars, what appears to be a decent budget, and the high-profile director of Detective Chinatown, it's clearly got sizable box office aspirations. Maybe China will be opened up enough by then to justify the risk of releasing a Chinese movie into Chinese theaters? Will be interesting to see.

 

the best release time for this movie, or more specific, a Chen's film, is early recovering period. His reputation has been very terrible since Detective Chinatown 3. Being one of the very first blockbusters is the best way for him and his movie in both business or fame.

[Issac Newton]

Saturday Estimates

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥13.5M / ¥161.8M (+1)

#2 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥10M / ¥360.1M [Re-release] (-1)

#3 Stay With Me : ¥5M / ¥151.7M

#4 Man On The Edge : ¥3.3M / ¥129.2M

#5 Hotel Transylvania 4 : ¥2.5M / ¥98.5M (+5)

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥173.9M), The Batman (¥160.3M), Moonfall (¥150M), Uncharted (¥137.7M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥94.1M), Escape Room 2 (¥63.8M), Downtown Abbey 2 (¥4.2M) &Marry Me (¥3.4M)

 

Warner Bros's "The Batman" is down, Universal's "Bad Guys" should take the 2022 No.1 Imported Title from Warner Bros's "Fantastic Beasts 3" by Tue/Wed. On the other hand, "Downtown Abbey 2" projecting to gross more than ¥5M OW (which is a way down then it's prequel (¥11.7M), ending at ¥22.6M)

 

Last Saturday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥12.21M

#2 Stay With Me : ¥5.17M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥3.36M

#5 Hotel Transylvania 4 : ¥2.45M

 

Universal's Bad Guys

1st Saturday : ¥8.76M (National Holiday)

2nd Saturday : ¥5.23M (Work-day)

3rd Saturday : ¥12.21M

4th Saturday : ~¥13.50M 

 

Cinema Opened : 8782 / 11822 (72.7%)

[Issac Newton]

Sunday Estimates

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥9.9M / ¥171.6M

#2 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥4.8M / ¥365.2M [Re-release]

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥2.7M / ¥131.7M (+1)

#4 Stay With Me : ¥2.5M / ¥154M (-1)

#5 Hotel Transylvania 4 : ¥2.2M / ¥100.5M

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥175.5M), The Batman (¥160.6M), Moonfall (¥150.6M), Uncharted (¥138.7M), Escape Room 2 (¥64.7M), Downtown Abbey 2 (¥5.8M) &Marry Me (¥3.5M)

 

Last Sunday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥10.30M

#2 Stay With Me : ¥4.07M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥3.32M

#5 Hotel Transylvania 4 : ¥2.27M

 

Universal's Bad Guys

1st Sunday : ¥18.74M (National Holiday)

2nd Sunday : ¥9.52M

3rd Sunday : ¥10.30M

4th Sunday : ~¥9.9M

 

Cinema Opened : 8721 / 11822 (72.2%)

[Issac Newton]

Most Anticipated Imported Titles of 2022

347,734 : Fantastic Beast 3

250,471 : The Batman

176,372 : Matrix Resurrection

154,512 : Jurassic World: Dominion*

146,663 : Hotel Transylvania 4

143,238 : Moonfall

132,758 : Uncharted

x91,927 : Death On The Nile

x57,353 : A Rainy Day in New York

x55,894 : Encanto

x46,550 : Paw Patrol The Movie

x40,149 : Escape Room 2

x38,917 : We Made A Beautiful Bouquet

x27,201 : Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021*

x25,245 : Bad Guys

x23,404 : Downton Abbey 2

x17,034 : Drishyam

x11,628 : Mon Inconnue

xx9,408 : Ambulance

xx7,465 : Kanaa

xx7,307 : Chhichhore

xx4,161 : 2018 Yokai Watch Movie

xx3,724 : Oops! The Adventure Continues

xx3,607 : Marry Me

 

*Still Counting

Note : Includes only recently released through out 2022 (Jan-June)

 

COMPS:

With admits

5,065,640 : Bad Guys*

4,823,248 : Fantastic Beasts 3*

4,329,752 : Moonfall*

4,276,237 : The Batman*

3,994,122 : Uncharted*

3,146,853 : Hotel Transylvania 4*

2,745,582 : We Made A Beautiful Bouquet*

2,504,134 : Paw Patrol The Movie

2,253,779 : Matrix Resurrection

2,029,606 : Encanto

1,986,958 : Escape Room 2*

1,711,808 : Death On The Nile

x982,990 : Drishyam

x571,787 : Chhichhore

x453,400 : Ambulance*

x330,646 : A Rainy Day in New York

x272,396 : Mon Inconnue*

x175,643 : Downton Abbey 2

x109,097 : Marry Me*

xx97,473 : Kanna

 

*Still Running

 

With Gross

¥175.50M : Fantastic Beasts 3*

¥170.60M : Bad Guys*

¥160.60M : The Batman*

¥150.60M : Moonfall*

¥138.70M : Uncharted*

¥100.50M : Hotel Transylvania 4*

¥x94.09M : We Made A Beautiful Bouquet*

¥x85.75M : Matrix Resurrection

¥x82.50M : Paw Patrol The Movie

¥x76.68M : Encanto

¥x68.50M : Death On The Nile

¥x64.70M : Escape Room 2*

¥x31.49M : Drishyam

¥x19.14M : Chhichhore

¥x15.57M : Ambulance*

¥x12.70M : A Rainy Day in New York

¥xx9.00M : Mon Inconnue*

¥xx5.80M : Downton Abbey 2*

¥xx3.50M : Marry Me*

¥xx3.19M : Kanaa

¥xx1.59M : Oops! The Adventure Continues*

¥xxx.83M : 2018 Yokai Watch Movie

 

*Still Running

[xieh tie]

latest news

 

nezha 2 is going to happen, the script of movie is accepted and is already being produced

[porginchina]

50 minutes ago, xieh tie said:

latest news

 

nezha 2 is going to happen, the script of movie is accepted and is already being produced

After such triumphant sequels to Chinese mega-hits like Detective Chinatown 3 and Monster Hunt 2, I think I'll just start lowering my expectations for Nezha 2's future audience reception whenever the movie gets around to releasing (assuming Chinese theaters are functional enough for a big release at that point).

 

These lowered expectations are admittedly exacerbated by Nezha follow-up Jiangziya debuting to super mixed word of mouth in 2019 (I'm in the extreme minority for enjoying that one more than Nezha, although in fairness, Jiangziya had much easier-for-a-stupid-foreigner-to-understand Chinese than Nezha, so that definitely helped).

[Issac Newton]

WK: May 20-22, 2022 (Fri-Sun)

 

#01 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥38.94M / ¥365.15M [Re-release]

#02 Bad Guys : ¥33.34M / ¥171.61M (-1) [26%]

#03 Stay With Me : ¥13.60M / ¥153.95M (-1) [17%]

#04 Man On The Edge : ¥9.99M / ¥131.72M (-1) [18%]

#05 Downton Abbey 2 : ¥5.69M (including ¥10K prev.] 🆕

#06 Fantastic Beast 3 : ¥5.37M / ¥175.32M (-2) [20%] 

#07 Hotel Transylvania 4 : ¥5.24M / ¥100.42M (-2)

#08 Uncharted : ¥3.44M / ¥138.72M (-2) [25%]

#09 Monster : ¥3.39M 🆕

#10 Escape Room 2 : ¥2.61M / ¥64.61M (-3) [5%]

 

Others:

Moonfall (¥2.17M / ¥150.58M), Boonie Bear: Back To Earth (¥1.29M / ¥973.63M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥1.15M / ¥94.12M), The Batman (¥919K / ¥160.56M), 0.1% World (¥699K / ¥109.20M), Marry Me (¥323K / ¥3.48M), Water Gate Bridge (¥306K / ¥4065.57M), Too Cool To Kill (¥275K / ¥2625.80M), Nice View (¥191K / ¥1378,50M) &Lethal Gold (¥181K / ¥802K)

[Issac Newton]

Monday Estimates

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥2.1M / ¥173.7M

#2 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥1.7M / ¥366.9M [Re-release]

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.3M / ¥133M 

#4 Stay With Me : ¥1M / ¥154.9M

#5 Downton Abbey 2 : ¥0.6M / ¥6.3M (+2)

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥175.8M), The Batman (¥160.6M), Moonfall (¥150.8M), Uncharted (¥139.1M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥100.7M), Escape Room 2 (¥64.9M), &Marry Me (¥3.5M)

 

Last Monday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥2.25M

#2 Stay With Me : ¥1.69M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.55M

 

Cinema Opened : 8641 / 11822 (71.5%)

[XXR vs XXR]

What’re the odds that JWD opens higher in China than domestically?

[keysersoze123]

10 minutes ago, MessiahXXR said:

What’re the odds that JWD opens higher in China than domestically?

0%. No way BO would be back normal in next 2 weeks plus that's endgame level opening in China to beat domestic. 

[XXR vs XXR]

36 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

0%. No way BO would be back normal in next 2 weeks plus that's endgame level opening in China to beat domestic. 

1)I forgot they’re just coming out of lockdowns.

2) Endgame opened to $330M in China so I’m not sure what you mean. JWD isn’t opening to $330M DOM, Brainbug….

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, MessiahXXR said:

1)I forgot they’re just coming out of lockdowns.

2) Endgame opened to $330M in China so I’m not sure what you mean. JWD isn’t opening to $330M DOM, Brainbug….

 

[Issac Newton]

Tuesday Estimates

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥1.9M / ¥175.6M

#2 Love Will Tear Us Apart : ¥1.4M / ¥368.3M [Re-release]

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.3M / ¥134.3M 

#4 Stay With Me : ¥0.8M / ¥155.7M

#5 Downton Abbey 2 : ¥0.5M / ¥6.7M

 

Others (Total)

Fantastic Beasts 3 (¥176.2M), The Batman (¥160.7M), Moonfall (¥151.1M), Uncharted (¥139.5M), Hotel Transylvania 4 (¥100.9M), We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥94.2M) Escape Room 2 (¥65.3M), &Marry Me (¥3.5M)

 

Last Tuesday

 

#1 Bad Guys : ¥2.12M

#2 Stay With Me : ¥1.49M

#3 Man On The Edge : ¥1.42M

 

Cinema Opened : 8122 / 11822 (67.2%)