pepsa Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 So that means that Wolverine holle run will be passed in OW of DOFP, that is great but I had hoped on more But I am greedy) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 23, 2014 Author Share Posted May 23, 2014 (edited) If the OD is indeed 68m yuan, then 600m is locked. $100m probably is, too. W1: 210m+ (68/80/65) W2: 250m (Overheard 3 opens on Thursday; Saturday is also a holiday; Sunday is Children's Day) W3: 100m (Monday is a holiday; Edge opens on Friday) W4: 30m (Godzilla opens on Friday) This is conservative .... Edited May 23, 2014 by firedeep 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 (edited) I'm just happy that Spidey 2 has been crushed. It's headed for 60% drop from its last OS weekend (which was $31.5M). I really hope it doesn't surpass Cap 2 in worldwide grosses. Probably it will get to $485M by Sunday ($24M from Monday to Sunday). This means it probably won't earn more than $510M by the end of its run (with Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow coming soon). Add in $200M in North America and it might only reach $710M. Cap 2 is at $705M but will earn more than $710M by the end of its run. It will be a photo-finish but let's hope Cap 2 stays on top. X-Men's big opening in China doesn't convince me it will do well in other countries. Also, it will be very front-loaded in China due to A LOT of competition. So, Godzilla and DOFP won't be a challenge for Cap 2's WW gross either. Of course, it doesn't stand a chance against Trans4mers and HtTYD2 but it's still funny that 3 movies in May all failed to out-gross an April release. Edited May 23, 2014 by Quigley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 I'm just happy that Spidey 2 has been crushed. It's headed for 60% drop from its last OS weekend (which was $31.5M). I really hope it doesn't surpass Cap 2 in worldwide grosses. Probably it will get to $485M by Sunday ($24M from Monday to Sunday). This means it probably won't earn more than $510M by the end of its run (with Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow coming soon). Add in $200M in North America and it might only reach $710M. Cap 2 is at $705M but will earn more than $710M by the end of its run. It will be a photo-finish but let's hope Cap 2 stays on top. X-Men's big opening in China doesn't convince me it will do well in other countries. Also, it will be very front-loaded in China due to A LOT of competition. So, Godzilla and DOFP won't be a challenge for Cap 2's WW gross either. Of course, it doesn't stand a chance against Trans4mers and HtTYD2 but it's still funny that 3 movies in May all failed to out-gross an April release. Folks at Marvel Studios must be laughing and pleased at speculations as yours, as early as the start of the year, nobody would have thought Cap would be where it is versus Spidey and X, the ones Marvel couldn't rein back in. Credit to Cap. Like you though, might pleased that Spidey's crushed. Go Avengers, Go X-Men! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The47th Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Folks at Marvel Studios must be laughing and pleased at speculations as yours, as early as the start of the year, nobody would have thought Cap would be where it is versus Spidey and X, the ones Marvel couldn't rein back in. Credit to Cap. Like you though, might pleased that Spidey's crushed. Go Avengers, Go X-Men! TASM2 has disappointed big time, but the X-Men have never reached the BO heights of Spider-Man and the MCU movies post-Avengers boost. If anything, the 'surprise' here (although that was the objective all along) is that DOFP has elevated the series to go neck-to-neck with the big super-hero properties. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 TASM2 has disappointed big time, but the X-Men have never reached the BO heights of Spider-Man and the MCU movies post-Avengers boost. If anything, the 'surprise' here (although that was the objective all along) is that DOFP has elevated the series to go neck-to-neck with the big super-hero properties. I agree that X-Men:DOFP's early performance is promising and in no way disappointing. I was never expecting it to top Cap 2 anyway. But as May release, people might have expected it to do better than it did (and might actually; it's very early to tell). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Friday ref. DOFP:........67.4M...... (67.4M) TASM2.......4.2M........(553M) Both were a bit over estimaded, DOFP only got a 0.6M drop so that isn't as bad as the drop of TASM2 3 weeks ago. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 I'm just happy that Spidey 2 has been crushed. It's headed for 60% drop from its last OS weekend (which was $31.5M). I really hope it doesn't surpass Cap 2 in worldwide grosses. Probably it will get to $485M by Sunday ($24M from Monday to Sunday). This means it probably won't earn more than $510M by the end of its run (with Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow coming soon). Add in $200M in North America and it might only reach $710M. Cap 2 is at $705M but will earn more than $710M by the end of its run. It will be a photo-finish but let's hope Cap 2 stays on top. X-Men's big opening in China doesn't convince me it will do well in other countries. Also, it will be very front-loaded in China due to A LOT of competition. So, Godzilla and DOFP won't be a challenge for Cap 2's WW gross either. Of course, it doesn't stand a chance against Trans4mers and HtTYD2 but it's still funny that 3 movies in May all failed to out-gross an April release. I just don't understand this post. Even if TASM ll ends up above or below CA: TWS I will still be completely happy with TWS's run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Any saturday number for DOFP? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 (edited) Saturday est DOFP 96.6M +45% 164M BIGGEST SAT of 2014 CH 21m +58% 187m Spidey 8.7M +100% 561M Edited May 24, 2014 by Olive Maximoff 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Awesome. So looking at around 240M OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 With good sunday hold we are looking at a 40M debut, more likely is 38M and 36M is almost the bottem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Wow, the China market is on fire lately. Cap, Spidey and now X-Men all around $100m, and the increases are very big over their first films. I wonder about the fate of Godzilla, are people expecting it to be another 100m grosser? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ent Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 Wow, the China market is on fire lately. Cap, Spidey and now X-Men all around $100m, and the increases are very big over their first films. I wonder about the fate of Godzilla, are people expecting it to be another 100m grosser? June is very crowded so it will be difficult. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 35M USD OW?Wow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 (edited) 35M USD OW?Wow... 35M USD OW is WORST CASE realy. (Only if sat is over est by more than 4M) Now we are looking at 38.2M USD Cause for a 35M opening we need a 45% drop on sunday and no way that happens XD Edited May 24, 2014 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted May 24, 2014 Share Posted May 24, 2014 (edited) I just don't understand this post. Even if TASM ll ends up above or below CA: TWS I will still be completely happy with TWS's run. I didn't say I'm not impressed by TWS. But remaining ahead of TASM 2 WW would just be icing on the cake. Edited May 24, 2014 by Quigley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 24, 2014 Author Share Posted May 24, 2014 Wow, huge Sat for X ... $100m is locked ... no way it misses it now .... $110m happening ... if next week is big, it could even match CA2 total of $118m ... Sunday drops are usually 20% for Hollywood titles. If Sat goes up a little , it could actually best CA2 OW, which was 242m $39m and boosted by holidays .... didnt think it would happen. $38m OW should happen with current Sat. And X does not have IMAX, which could boost 5~10% .... (maybe a little 5% because people want to see it would see it in 3D anyway) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 Wow, huge Sat for X ... $100m is locked ... no way it misses it now .... $110m happening ... if next week is big, it could even match CA2 total of $118m ... Sunday drops are usually 20% for Hollywood titles. If Sat goes up a little , it could actually best CA2 OW, which was 242m $39m and boosted by holidays .... didnt think it would happen. $38m OW should happen with current Sat. And X does not have IMAX, which could boost 5~10% .... (maybe a little 5% because people want to see it would see it in 3D anyway) Did you see it. How is WOM there? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 IRON MAN 3 DEMOTED! FROZEN #5 WORLD WIDE http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/uploads/emoticons/default_smiley-happy096.gif' alt=':bravo:'> China may have its first $300m movie soon., but Japan may beat them to it. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...