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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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3 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Not sure where they got that number. 

8.7m MN

125.5 ODER

 $= 6.51Y

$20.43m 

Looking for a 30% bump from Friday number 125.5/19.3 not including MN. Pre-sales are identical to yesterday but will have a larger multiplier. 

Thinking 160m-165m/25m

 

Ah ok. Thanks.

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1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

It's pacing just over 8m per hour. Should get close 140m. Up 20%. Not good, not awful. Some movies are flat after Friday OD. 

Zoo should get over 45m. Down close to 60% w/o/w

 

That puts 60 mill in clear and present danger

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2 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

BvS is Spectre in 3D.700M is very likely IMO

700m was dead with that OD.

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

It's pacing just over 8m per hour. Should get close 140m. Up 20%. Not good, not awful. Some movies are flat after Friday OD. 

Zoo should get over 45m. Down close to 60% w/o/w

Its Saturday increase is awful ...

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On ‎2016‎年‎3‎月‎24‎日 at 6:21 PM, firedeep said:

Finding a single person who is not a diehard DC fanboy but liked BVS seems not an easy job from the premiere screening ...

 

In the worst case, this could be how BVS will perform:

 

OW 410m (130m, 170m, 110m)

2nd W 192m (34m, 29m, 24m,19m,20m, 36m,31m) - 84% 2nd Friday drop, 79% 2nd weekend drop

3rd W 56m (21m, 7m, 6m,5m,4m,7m,6m) - 71% 3nd week drop

...

1.65x OW for a 680m $105 total, worse multiplier than Spectre, worst three-day mulitplier for a major quote release

 

 

I was wrong ... that is not the worst case.

 

Saturday will fall below 150m, Sunday below 100m.

 

700m officially dead. Now even 600m is lucky.

Edited by firedeep
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Revenant first Saturday increased 26% over opening Friday. It dropped 83% on 2nd Friday against BVS.

 

BVS first Saturday looks to increase over opening Friday even less than Revenant's ... next Friday, four new releases: Hot Pot + Bodyguard + My Bro + Boy apparenly > BVS, so ..

 

Yes, BVS will tank 80%+ next Friday. maybe even more.

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33 minutes ago, firedeep said:

700m was dead with that OD.

Its Saturday increase is awful ...

I beg to differ. Just looked at a number of Friday openers. Most are 20-30% sat increaaes. Tf4 was 28%. Bond 31%. Chinese titles i dont know, same thing. The bad ones are flat on sat.  Toons  of course are different.

20% is not great,  Lower end of the norm. Flat to up 10% would be awful.

If it does follow bond then sun should be 105m.

I wouldn't pull the sheet over 700 just yet. 

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1 minute ago, TommyA10 said:

Because "you" don't equal thousands of other people.

B)

 

Shit, you could've fooled me. You mind telling some people in the other threads that (including BKB and his one theater, which is apparently like the Nexus in AoU where all movie traffic flows from)?

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11 minutes ago, Ent said:

 

Final BO trajectory around Antman ?

Won't be  much higher considering competitions.

 

DC's trinity only equals to Marvel's tiniest hero.:jeb!:

Edited by Olive
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9 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Could end nearer to ASM2 and GOTG if it's doing a $55m opening w/e off that opening day.

 

Ouch !

 

Days ago, i thought that it will end in the vicinity of IM3 rather than around SW7 and now it could even miss hitting Antman ?

 

That's two false starts in a row for DC.  

 

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12 minutes ago, Olive said:

Won't be  much higher considering competitions.

 

DC's trinity only equals to Marvel's tiniest hero.:jeb!:

You mean the three icons equals the flavour of the month ? :ph34r:

 

:hellothere:

 

 

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