POTUS 2020 Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: @POTUS, are you taking into account the may day weekend effect during its 3rd weekend. It will still be grossing big money. if it can stay ahead of all other movies by the time Guardians 2 opens, it will continue to keep few thousand screens beyond that as well. May day should be a big help. Held -27% last time. FF7 made 1.4b from the start of the second weekend on after a 115m Thursday. If FF8 drops 15% daily Thursday will be 96m at 1.84b total. If it mirrored % holds going forward it would just make it to 3b by making 1.17b more. However there has been more demand burn with FF8 having a full OW and it may not hold as well by may day as FF7 did.. 12% average daily holds this week would lock up 3b no problem Edited April 18, 2017 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 85 mill at 7pm. Big drop coming up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) @ChinaBoxOffice FURIOUS 8 earned est. ¥118M/¥112M ($17.1M/$16.3M) on Tuesday incl/wo ticket fees. China's total is now ¥1.615B/¥1.524B ($234.6M/$221.4M) Edited April 18, 2017 by jiangsen 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) Tuesday Estimates before service chargesFate of the Furious - 112.35m / 1.524b (-26% from Monday actuals of 150.9m)A Chinese Odyssey Part Two - 7.89m / 117.3mKong: Skull Island - 0.71m / 1.092bGhost in the Shell - 0.65m / 186.3m after service charges Fate of the Furious - 118m / 1.615b (-26% from Monday actuals of 158.6m)A Chinese Odyssey Part Two - 8.5m / 127.3mKong: Skull Island - 0.75m / 1.156bGhost in the Shell - 0.69m / 197.8m Edited April 18, 2017 by jiangsen 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 1 minute ago, jiangsen said: Tuesday Estimates before service chargesFate of the Furious - 112.35m / 1.524bA Chinese Odyssey Part Two - 7.89m / 117.3mKong: Skull Island - 0.71m / 1.092bGhost in the Shell - 0.65m / 186.3m after service charges Fate of the Furious - 118m / 1.615bA Chinese Odyssey Part Two - 8.5m / 127.3mKong: Skull Island - 0.75m / 1.156bGhost in the Shell - 0.69m / 197.8m Huge drop today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) 26% drop from Monday... Quite high. Hopefully it shores up its numbers soon. I guess when you're in uncharted territory in terms of monies, we have to throw out assumptions. Edit: What's up with the Maoyan number for Tuesday? Its notably higher than these estimates, as its at 123m with 30 minutes left of tracking. Edited April 18, 2017 by Mrstickball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Is that the biggest Monday to Tuesday drop ever (outside of holiday Mondays)? FF8 seems to be more front loaded than Warcraft so far, despite having good WOM. Monday however benefitted from spillover so no conclusion can be made from that number alone. If Tuesday drops by another 20%, then that could put beating FF7 (sans service charge) in jeopardy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Maoyan is predicting 110 million for tomorrow which would be a much softer 7% decline from today if 118 million holds up as accurate. Interestingly, they are still predicting a total of 3.148 billion despite Monday's larger-than-expected drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-sets-release-dates-pirates-5-transformers-5-wonder-woman-more-995020?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thr%2Ffilm+(The+Hollywood+Reporter+-+Movies)#filmmaking so looks like GOTG, Pirates, Wonder Woman and TF will release same release date as US Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoobSaibot Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 21 minutes ago, John Marston said: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-sets-release-dates-pirates-5-transformers-5-wonder-woman-more-995020?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thr%2Ffilm+(The+Hollywood+Reporter+-+Movies)#filmmaking so looks like GOTG, Pirates, Wonder Woman and TF will release same release date as US That's absolutely nuts. I know TF will be king on that day, but I'm curious to see how much the other movies will suffer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Just now, NoobSaibot said: That's absolutely nuts. I know TF will be king on that day, but I'm curious to see how much the other movies will suffer. no what I mean is that they will have the same release date as the US release date. Not that they are all releasing the same day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoobSaibot Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 32 minutes ago, John Marston said: no what I mean is that they will have the same release date as the US release date. Not that they are all releasing the same day Oh, I completely misread that. Oops. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HesAPooka Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Alien, Pirates, Mummy, Wonder Woman, Transformers secure release dates in China. https://www.comicbookmovie.com/wonder_woman/wonder-woman-the-mummy-potc-5-alien-covenant-transformers-5-secure-day-and-date-china-release-dates-a150429?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=facebook Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momo Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) Wow, May going to be brutual. I feel bad for GOTG. Going to be hard for it to have long staying power with movies following it weeks later. Edited April 18, 2017 by Momo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 I think with the Chinese rushing to see the new movie out, more so than DOM and the complete opposite of Japan, and the over build of soon to be 50k screens we may see a one week market shaping up. Less likely to have -40-60% WoW holds with the amount of seats a big release gets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 FF7 skewed older, it bumped less than 30/60% on fri/sat unlike SH movies at 40/80% FF8 FF7 Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Fri 415 474 69 Sat 481 15.9% 955 139 50 Sun 380 -21.0% 1335 194 348 398 64 Mon 159 -58.2% 1494 217 185 -46.8% 583 94 Tues 116 -27.0% 1610 234 167 -9.7% 750 121 Wed 137 -18.0% 887 143 Thur 115 -16.1% 1002 162 Fri 142 23.8% 1144 185 Sat 226 59.0% 1371 221 Sun 185 -18.1% -46.7% 1556 251 Mon 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 Tue 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 Wed 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 Thu 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 Fri 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 Sat 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 Sun 69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324 Mon 27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329 Tue 26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 333 Wed 24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337 Thu 31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342 . Fri 67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353 Sat 67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364 Sun 39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370 2426 390.7 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 15 hours ago, jiangsen said: Maoyan is predicting 110 million for tomorrow which would be a much softer 7% decline from today if 118 million holds up as accurate. Interestingly, they are still predicting a total of 3.148 billion despite Monday's larger-than-expected drop. Looks like 116 mill was the number for tuesday according to maoyan.. Big drop coming today again. Its running almost 25% behind yesterday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 I think the weekend will show where you can run to end FF8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, abra said: I think the weekend will show where you can run to end FF8 Maybe. But signs are saying OW*2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, fmpro said: Maybe. But signs are saying OW*2 Yeah, even with great score on Maoyan holds have been pretty mediocre. I guess movies have an upper limit in China as well. It has burned off too much demand over the first 4 days to maintain normal drops, I was hoping for 3B. At this point, I don't see that happening, more like 2.7-2.8B. Edited April 19, 2017 by druv10 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...