peludo Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, rickfox said: sorry to bother you. TF4 got away with $320m in 2014, you mean TF5 will get $90m less in china? (when the run is over) Yes. It could even go lower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 China Box Office Transformers: Age of Extinction Day Date Rank Gross % - YD % - LW Gross-to-Date Day # Weekly Gross % - Change RMB / M USD / M USD / M USD / M Thu Jun. 26 1 ¥20.85 $3.35 - - $3.35 0 $101.59 - Fri Jun. 27 1 ¥174.41 $28.05 - - $31.40 1 Sat Jun. 28 1 ¥223.10 $35.88 14.25% - $67.28 2 Sun Jun. 29 1 ¥213.35 $34.31 -4.37% - $101.59 3 Mon Jun. 30 1 ¥123.43 $19.85 -42.15% - $121.45 4 $120.68 18.79% Tue Jul. 1 1 ¥112.42 $18.08 -8.92% - $139.52 5 Wed Jul. 2 1 ¥94.72 $15.23 -15.75% - $154.76 6 Thu Jul. 3 1 ¥84.38 $13.57 -10.91% - $168.33 7 Fri Jul. 4 1 ¥87.40 $14.06 3.57% -55.24% $182.38 8 Sat Jul. 5 1 ¥129.92 $20.89 48.65% -41.76% $203.28 9 Sun Jul. 6 1 ¥118.14 $19.00 -9.06% -44.63% $222.28 10 Mon Jul. 7 1 ¥53.84 $8.66 -54.43% -56.38% $230.94 11 $56.60 -53.10% Tue Jul. 8 1 ¥52.72 $8.48 -2.09% -53.11% $239.42 12 Wed Jul. 9 1 ¥43.88 $7.06 -16.76% -53.67% $246.47 13 Thu Jul. 10 1 ¥39.24 $6.31 -10.57% -53.49% $252.79 14 Fri Jul. 11 1 ¥41.88 $6.74 6.73% -52.08% $259.52 15 Sat Jul. 12 1 ¥62.44 $10.04 49.09% -51.94% $269.56 16 Sun Jul. 13 1 ¥57.90 $9.31 -7.27% -50.99% $278.88 17 Mon Jul. 14 1 ¥25.86 $4.16 -55.35% -51.98% $283.03 18 $26.23 -53.65% Tue Jul. 15 1 ¥27.87 $4.48 7.77% -47.14% $287.52 19 Wed Jul. 16 1 ¥23.24 $3.74 -16.59% -47.04% $291.25 20 Thu Jul. 17 2 ¥18.30 $2.94 -21.25% -53.36% $294.20 21 Fri Jul. 18 3 ¥16.81 $2.70 -8.16% -59.87% $296.90 22 Sat Jul. 19 2 ¥25.62 $4.12 52.44% -58.97% $301.02 23 Sun Jul. 20 2 ¥25.42 $4.09 -0.80% -56.10% $305.11 24 Mon Jul. 21 3 ¥12.36 $1.99 -51.40% -52.21% $307.10 25 $12.76 -51.36% Tue Jul. 22 3 ¥13.10 $2.11 6.01% -53.00% $309.20 26 Wed Jul. 23 3 ¥11.10 $1.79 -15.24% -52.23% $310.99 27 Thu Jul. 24 4 ¥8.02 $1.29 -27.77% -56.19% $312.28 28 Fri Jul. 25 4 ¥8.03 $1.29 0.10% -52.25% $313.57 29 Sat Jul. 26 4 ¥13.41 $2.16 67.04% -47.68% $315.72 30 Sun Jul. 27 4 ¥13.34 $2.14 -0.52% -47.53% $317.87 31 $317.87 3.13 $1=¥6.218 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 1 hour ago, rickfox said: sorry to bother you. TF4 got away with $320m in 2014, you mean TF5 will get $90m less in china? (when the run is over) yes. 1.8-1.85 multiple for this case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 MON before service charges TF5 - 81.8m / 894.2m after service charges TF5 - 86.5m / 948.8m(-60.6%) bad MON drop. It might be surpassed by TF4 on THU in USD if -15% or worse on TUE. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said: MON before service charges TF5 - 81.8m / 894.2m after service charges TF5 - 86.5m / 948.8m(-60.6%) bad MON drop. It might be surpassed by TF4 on THU in USD if -15% or worse on TUE. Needs 1.7x the 4-day to do ~235m USD total. Can't see how it gets there. Sub-230m USD is very real. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 ‘War for the Planet of the Apes’ Review: One of the Most Significant Blockbusters of the Decade It would be so surprising if it is not Pirates 5, but TF5, that ends up to be the third biggest HLW film of the year. Apes beats them both. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 PS down 20% at 12.5m for tomorrow. Dangal is going to get real close to 1300m. P5 dailies have died at 1178m Mummy to finish close to 620m WW to 606m AC will clear 300m and not much more. DM3 have not picked up. Not a lot of theater assigned and family films take a while to pick up 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 9 minutes ago, POTUS said: PS down 20% at 12.5m for tomorrow. Dangal is going to get real close to 1300m. P5 dailies have died at 1178m Mummy to finish close to 620m WW to 606m AC will clear 300m and not much more. DM3 have not picked up. Not a lot of theater assigned and family films take a while to pick up Any predictions for DM3? It's a tricky one everytime because animated films aren't predictable in China. Thoughts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 1 hour ago, MinaTakla said: Any predictions for DM3? It's a tricky one everytime because animated films aren't predictable in China. Thoughts? ¥500M-600M It's summer vocation.Family Audience will eat it up 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 10 minutes ago, bangbingchan said: ¥500M-600M It's summer vocation.Family Audience will eat it up Thanks! When does the summer school vacation officially start and end in China? Just for my info. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 (edited) 18 hours ago, MinaTakla said: Thanks! When does the summer school vacation officially start and end in China? Just for my info. Early July-early September Summer vocation starts this weekend DM3 will have a preview this Saturday Edited June 27, 2017 by bangbingchan 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 27, 2017 Share Posted June 27, 2017 15 hours ago, MinaTakla said: Any predictions for DM3? It's a tricky one everytime because animated films aren't predictable in China. Thoughts? I think DM2 did 310m/$50m. Minions did 435m/ $68m with a shitty mid sept sunday release date. I think 600m+ could happen $90-100m based on those numbers. I cant judge anything by PS just yet 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 27, 2017 Share Posted June 27, 2017 TUE before service charges TF5 - 65.8m / 957.9m 77 Heartbreaks - 5.51m / 23.9m Paths of the Soul - 4.96m / 24.43m Alien: Covenant - 3.61m / 272.2m The Mummy - 1.97m / 575.7m Dangal - 1.68m / 1,188m after service charges TF5 - 70m / 1,021m 77 Heartbreaks - 6m / 26.2m Paths of the Soul - 5.4m / 26.5m Alien: Covenant - 3.9m / 293.5m The Mummy - 2.1m / 615.5m Dangal - 1.82m / 1,288m 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 27, 2017 Share Posted June 27, 2017 13 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: TUE before service charges TF5 - 65.8m / 957.9m 77 Heartbreaks - 5.51m / 23.9m Paths of the Soul - 4.96m / 24.43m Alien: Covenant - 3.61m / 272.2m The Mummy - 1.97m / 575.7m Dangal - 1.68m / 1,188m after service charges TF5 - 70m / 1,021m 77 Heartbreaks - 6m / 26.2m Paths of the Soul - 5.4m / 26.5m Alien: Covenant - 3.9m / 293.5m The Mummy - 2.1m / 615.5m Dangal - 1.82m / 1,288m 17% drop from monday, awful..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted June 27, 2017 Share Posted June 27, 2017 10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: 17% drop from monday, awful..... 19.1%... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 WED before service charges TF5 - 56.4m / 1,013m 77 Heartbreaks - 5.78m / 29.6m Paths of the Soul - 5.73m / 30.1m Alien: Covenant - 3.64m / 276m The Mummy - 2.15m / 578m Dangal - 1.88m / 1,190m after service charges TF5 - 60.2m / 1,081m 77 Heartbreaks - 6.3m / 32.4m Paths of the Soul - 6.25m / 32.8m Alien: Covenant - 3.95m / 297.6m The Mummy - 2.3m / 617.9m Dangal - 2.05m / 1,290m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 transformers 5's drop....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 China Box Office Transformers: The Last Knight Day Date Rank Gross % - YD % - LW Gross-to-Date Day # Weekly Gross % - Change RMB / M USD / M USD / M USD / M Thu Jun. 22 1 ¥41.76 $6.11 - - $6.11 0 $125.83 - Fri Jun. 23 1 ¥285.95 $41.84 - - $47.95 1 Sat Jun. 24 1 ¥312.26 $45.69 -4.71% - $93.64 2 Sun Jun. 25 1 ¥220.01 $32.19 -29.54% - $125.83 3 Mon Jun. 26 1 ¥84.37 $12.34 -61.65% - $138.18 4 Tue Jun. 27 1 ¥68.08 $9.96 -19.31% - $148.14 5 Wed Jun. 28 1 ¥60.20 $8.81 -11.58% - $156.95 6 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cookson Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 Is it even going to get to 1.5 billion yuan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 5 hours ago, Cookson said: Is it even going to get to 1.5 billion yuan? It held -10% today and should have a decent hold on thursday with PS indicating mid 50s. With a 60m+ Friday and DM3 not a big threat next week it should get thru 1.5b comfortably. Its a big drop from TF4 but not as big as most other markets and will be the 4th largest HLWD all time in China behind FF8, FF7 and TF4. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...