charlie Jatinder Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 Jiang Ziya WOM seems to be in work. Looks like $50mn OD for now. Homeland will be close. Overall day perhaps 800mn yuan i.e. $117mn approx. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 With so many delayed movies to 2021. Do you guys think China will allow more imported films next year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Mau said: With so many delayed movies to 2021. Do you guys think China will allow more imported films next year? if they don't delay it to 2022? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 2 hours ago, Mau said: With so many delayed movies to 2021. Do you guys think China will allow more imported films next year? The 2021 films will delay to 2022. The balance will remain as it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 And Homeland has gained #1. National Day Releases + Leap should be able to do ¥5Bn during October. There are few medium films slated, so guess we can hit ¥6-6.5Bn in October, which will be 22-25% down from last year, unless something breakout. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 Homeland is looking at 1.89bn or $278mn 8 days with 160mn approx on 8th day i.e. Thursday. That compares really well with Country dailies. Day My Homeland My Country Ratio 30 Sep ¥290,247,000 0.00 01 Oct ¥274,085,100 ¥388,337,000 0.71 02 Oct ¥272,785,500 ¥365,022,400 0.75 03 Oct ¥274,218,900 ¥309,107,100 0.89 04 Oct ¥256,600,000 ¥262,053,600 0.98 05 Oct ¥232,700,000 ¥246,689,100 0.94 06 Oct ¥215,100,000 ¥225,441,400 0.95 07 Oct ¥201,100,000 ¥160,311,500 1.25 08 Oct ¥160,000,000 ¥54,894,300 2.82 Total ¥1,886,589,500 ¥2,302,103,400 0.82 The green cells are weekend. Country was under 100mn on its first weekday on 8th October and continued so, adding 1.16Bn more after 8th October. Homeland will have the weekend, which I expect shall be around 250mn Approx as compared to 180mn of Country. Country added 3.1x post its 2nd weekend to 3.17Bn full run, Homeland shall be able to do 3.5x easily, that will give it 3Bn full run. Ofcourse, there's a chance of better run too as we saw with 800 due to lack competition in late legs. 3Bn is locked, with shot at 3.15-3.2Bn which will be $463-470mn, making its biggest of 2020. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: Homeland is looking at 1.89bn or $278mn 8 days with 160mn approx on 8th day i.e. Thursday. That compares really well with Country dailies. Day My Homeland My Country Ratio 30 Sep ¥290,247,000 0.00 01 Oct ¥274,085,100 ¥388,337,000 0.71 02 Oct ¥272,785,500 ¥365,022,400 0.75 03 Oct ¥274,218,900 ¥309,107,100 0.89 04 Oct ¥256,600,000 ¥262,053,600 0.98 05 Oct ¥232,700,000 ¥246,689,100 0.94 06 Oct ¥215,100,000 ¥225,441,400 0.95 07 Oct ¥201,100,000 ¥160,311,500 1.25 08 Oct ¥160,000,000 ¥54,894,300 2.82 Total ¥1,886,589,500 ¥2,302,103,400 0.82 The green cells are weekend. Country was under 100mn on its first weekday on 8th October and continued so, adding 1.16Bn more after 8th October. Homeland will have the weekend, which I expect shall be around 250mn Approx as compared to 180mn of Country. Country added 3.1x post its 2nd weekend to 3.17Bn full run, Homeland shall be able to do 3.5x easily, that will give it 3Bn full run. Ofcourse, there's a chance of better run too as we saw with 800 due to lack competition in late legs. 3Bn is locked, with shot at 3.15-3.2Bn which will be $463-470mn, making its biggest of 2020. what about jiang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: Homeland is looking at 1.89bn or $278mn 8 days with 160mn approx on 8th day i.e. Thursday. That compares really well with Country dailies. Day My Homeland My Country Ratio 30 Sep ¥290,247,000 0.00 01 Oct ¥274,085,100 ¥388,337,000 0.71 02 Oct ¥272,785,500 ¥365,022,400 0.75 03 Oct ¥274,218,900 ¥309,107,100 0.89 04 Oct ¥256,600,000 ¥262,053,600 0.98 05 Oct ¥232,700,000 ¥246,689,100 0.94 06 Oct ¥215,100,000 ¥225,441,400 0.95 07 Oct ¥201,100,000 ¥160,311,500 1.25 08 Oct ¥160,000,000 ¥54,894,300 2.82 Total ¥1,886,589,500 ¥2,302,103,400 0.82 The green cells are weekend. Country was under 100mn on its first weekday on 8th October and continued so, adding 1.16Bn more after 8th October. Homeland will have the weekend, which I expect shall be around 250mn Approx as compared to 180mn of Country. Country added 3.1x post its 2nd weekend to 3.17Bn full run, Homeland shall be able to do 3.5x easily, that will give it 3Bn full run. Ofcourse, there's a chance of better run too as we saw with 800 due to lack competition in late legs. 3Bn is locked, with shot at 3.15-3.2Bn which will be $463-470mn, making its biggest of 2020. With that result, for the moment, the 2 biggest films of the year worldwide will be Chinese. Obviously this is tricky since it is an abnormal year, but still relevant. I do not know the Chinese schedule for upcoming films, but maybe in December we could see more local hits? or it is too much to expect? For example, Detective Chinatown 3 was expected to be the winner of the CNY period before covid destroyed everything. Will it be released anytime soon? maybe during next CNY? or before the end of 2020? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 8, 2020 Share Posted October 8, 2020 1 hour ago, john2000 said: what about jiang Around half of Homeland IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 9, 2020 Share Posted October 9, 2020 Detective Chinatown have 2.8 million want-to-see on Maoyan. It's higher than Endgame by one million. Astonishing buzz. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 9, 2020 Share Posted October 9, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: Detective Chinatown have 2.8 million want-to-see on Maoyan. It's higher than Endgame by one million. Astonishing buzz. When is it expected to be released? Edit: I have already seen it on Maoyan. CNY 2021. It will be fun to follow its run. Edited October 9, 2020 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted October 9, 2020 Share Posted October 9, 2020 2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: Detective Chinatown have 2.8 million want-to-see on Maoyan. It's higher than Endgame by one million. Astonishing buzz. What's your current box office expectations? Lets assume a relatively normal theater run for China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 6 hours ago, VenomXXR said: What's your current box office expectations? Lets assume a relatively normal theater run for China. Studios behind it expect ¥3 billion-plus. I expect ¥4 billion-plus. If COVID-19 didn't destroy everything, it could have make $100M opening day without any preview or midnight screening. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Is @A Marvel Fanboy fine? Been a while seeing him here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The GOAT Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 22 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: Studios behind it expect ¥3 billion-plus. I expect ¥4 billion-plus. If COVID-19 didn't destroy everything, it could have make $100M opening day without any preview or midnight screening. What is that? like 20 million people in one day? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 1 hour ago, The GOAT said: What is that? like 20 million people in one day? $100mn will be ¥675mn, so roughly 16.5mn people. That seems a bit too high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 100M without previews/midnight would be pretty nuts. Did it have an abnormally high ATP from demand back when it was preselling? That would definitely help. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamiem Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 23 minutes ago, WandaLegion said: 100M without previews/midnight would be pretty nuts. Did it have an abnormally high ATP from demand back when it was preselling? That would definitely help. I’m sure being shot for IMAX helped increase the ATP, especially compared to other local films. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 2 hours ago, Jamiem said: I’m sure being shot for IMAX helped increase the ATP, especially compared to other local films. I checked for that. 800 ATP is around 40, so not much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Detective Chinatown 3 could have ruled 2020 CNY. Other titles at same period are weak in both buzz & WOM. DC3 was bigger than them combined in pre-sale. CBO on the 1st day of 2019 CNY gained ¥1,458M($216M). It's not exaggerated to expect DC3 could have done 50% if 2020 is normal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...