terrestrial Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 is that good for ANTMAN Last (opening weekend) Saturday = CNY108, good/normal for CBM seems to be -50% = expected/hoped for was seemingly ~ CNY54 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 The Little Prince is showing some decent longevity despite the cut in showings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 $100m for AM has been locked since that opening Friday. It's now heading to $110m or so. To put how good AM is performing in perspective: China will more than 4x UK, its second biggest international market. China will also produce more than 20% of its worldwide gross, 20%, the highest China/Worldwide percentage for any superhero movie in history. CA2 was just under 17%, DOFP just above 16%, GOTG 11%. (As for the China/NA ratio: AM 61%, CA2 46%, DOFP 51%, GOTG 26%.) China has undoubtedly become the fruitful backyard gardon of Marvel. Probably as soon as in two years, North America will no longer be its biggest box office market. Eventually, we will see China become the biggest market, and not just box office wise, of most of those uniformed superheroes, Marvel or DC. So Dr Strange and all other new Marvel IPs should make minimum of $100M+ ? Do you think Infinity Wars could make more in China than Domestic? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Saturday estimatesANT-MAN 61M/475M GML 32M/1320MDetective Conan 25.2m/40.5mTHE LITTLE PRINCE 15.6M/118MPAN 7.3M/16.7M Awesome jump. 20% drop on Sunday and weekend is 143.3M (-47%) and with 25% drop gets 140.25M(-48%) weekend. After Sunday total will be over 520M, about 115M away from $100M. Ant-man should finish with $105-110M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 So Dr Strange and all other new Marvel IPs should make minimum of $100M+ ? Do you think Infinity Wars could make more in China than Domestic? I think it still depends on the general quality and if the movies genre-mix is liked in the country or the humor,... and translation, and even e.g. who looks nice / appealing to whom? Not a common thing worldwide I am neral in geagainst general expectations, even more so in the case of the MCU movies, they are quite different and the new installments still unproven to a degree Ant-Man seemingly was well liked in other Asian markets with a - to a degree - similar 'taste' as China seems to have, doesn't mean that will count for all MCU movies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 (edited) I thought AOU being a mediocre movie and having poor WOM in China could have hurt their brand but it looks like it didn't. Maybe it will impact Avengers: Infinity War a bit but the market will have grown so much by then that it will be hard to tell. Edited October 24, 2015 by Cynosure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Two Infinity War movies combined should easily make 5B yuan 3-4 years from now. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Two Infinity War movies combined should easily make 5B yuan 3-4 years from now. So roughly $400M on average for both movies. Hey what is your SW7 prediction? 150M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted October 24, 2015 Author Share Posted October 24, 2015 Dr Strange will be big here. It stars Cumberbatch. $100m should certainly be the floor. AM can do $110m. So Dr Strange, coming one year later, has no reason to do less than that, unless it were truly bad quality. By Infinity War comes, no one will remember TA2 .... it's 2018, so it making more in China than Domestic shouldnot be surprising at all. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted October 24, 2015 Author Share Posted October 24, 2015 The bar was set pretty low anyway... haha, true. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Cumberbatch is most popular English actor in China, Sherlock fangirls can rival MCU fanboys. Haha.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Happy brithday Olive and thank you for your work here 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Happy Birthday Olive! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seduh Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Great numbers for Antman, $100 is a lock Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Infinity war 1 500m Infinity War 2 600m And happy birthday Olive!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted October 25, 2015 Author Share Posted October 25, 2015 Cumberbatch is the most popular foreign actor under 40 years old in China fixed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgchn40 Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Happy brithday Olive and thank you for your work here happy birthday Good Olive! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Infinity war 1 500m Infinity War 2 600m And happy birthday Olive!! And btw these numbers may be looking big but even with just 30% growths till 2019 Avengers 2's 240m total here, and it wasn't even liked much leading to a worse than should-have-been multiplier, would convert to 527m in 2018 and and 685m in 2019. Plus the marvel brand is getting stronger. Plus those will be the finale movies with all the heroes. Plus Infinity War 2 would be the finale of this so-long saga. So yeah, I think these numbers shouldn't be tough. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Well....if $600M or higher, happens in China for IW2.....it could maybe beat Titanic, WW-wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 (edited) Sunday estimatesANT-MAN 48.5M/522M GML 26M/1346MDetective Conan 17.6m/56.6mTHE LITTLE PRINCE 14.1M/132MPAN 5.6M/22M INSIDE OUT 0.7M/96.3M Edited October 25, 2015 by The Good Olive 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...