hw64 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 6 minutes ago, jiangsen said: Monday Estimates Star Wars TFA: 9.3M/761M Boonie Bears III: 8.3M/225M The Walk: 8.1M/52.4M Last Witch Hunter: 6.05M/133M Detective Chinatown: 5.25M/783M All releases seem to be holding up well, with all except TFA and Boonie Bears having a less than 50% drop from Sun. Are university students still off? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 30 minutes ago, hw64 said: All releases seem to be holding up well, with all except TFA and Boonie Bears having a less than 50% drop from Sun. Are university students still off? Yes. Primary school students out for winter break as well beginning this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Article about the 3hour release of the Kung Fu panda 3 title (and a remark about Saturday's SW 7 = 2.9m) http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-box-office-kung-fu-858877 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 46 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: How on earth will KFP3 have 3x multi for its 3 day OW with having just 10 days of open run. I think 2x would be more likely. Still don't know whether Panda can survive after Feb.8 or not.How further panda can go？Situation changes every week.Some films moved out from Feb.8.Some former local tops may underperform.Good luck to Panda. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 17 minutes ago, bangbingchan said: Still don't know whether Panda can survive after Feb.8 or not.How further panda can go？Situation changes every week.Some films moved out from Feb.8.Some former local tops may underperform.Good luck to Panda. It's not like it will drop to......i dunno.....12th or 10th place when those locals open on Feb 8. That would be a catastrophic drop if that happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 (edited) 22 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: It's not like it will drop to......i dunno.....12th or 10th place when those locals open on Feb 8. That would be a catastrophic drop if that happens. I mean how many screens can Panda keep on Feb 8？No one can predict it now.Showtimes is very crucial.If KFP3 can keep 10% showtimes,Panda will still fight more than expect. Edited January 25, 2016 by bangbingchan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 (edited) 2 hours ago, jiangsen said: Monday Estimates Star Wars TFA: 9.3M/761M Boonie Bears III: 8.3M/225M The Walk: 8.1M/52.4M Last Witch Hunter: 6.05M/133M Detective Chinatown: 5.25M/783M Good number, late legs have been good for SW7. 120-125M finish for it. Edited January 25, 2016 by druv10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 China Film Insider @china_film Legal Victory for Dreamworks on “Kung Fu Panda” Trademark - by @chinalawblog http://goo.gl/x0pPa7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 6 hours ago, The Good Olive said: Presales for KFP3 not looking record-breaking movie, we may over predicted it big time! 500M OW, 1500M total? Star Wars 7 MADE 9.3m on Monday, total stands at 761M, 800M still possible, but may very well stuck at 790M An overpredicted movie in the chinese BO marked 2015/2016 Nooooooooooo . What a shock 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 21 minutes ago, fmpro said: An overpredicted movie in the chinese BO marked 2015/2016 Nooooooooooo . What a shock To be fair, I think that's partly a bit based on the wow-factor of JW and Furious,... growing percentages... and also ER changes in the other direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 7 minutes ago, terrestrial said: To be fair, I think that's partly a bit based on the wow-factor of JW and Furious,... growing percentages... and also ER changes in the other direction. It was based on doing $96m 5 years ago with market at 1/5 the size while other toons were doing 25m. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 both China Film Insider @china_film Will Wanda’s acquisition of Legendary end up proving a loss-leader or a payoff? @jslandreth http://goo.gl/b1WY4h Bona Film Group to delist from NASDAQ stock exchange http://goo.gl/OBZ6KF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 5 hours ago, MonstersandRoy said: Does TFA totally disappear from China this weekend? It may have 3% of shows down from 15%. Will drop 80%+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 (edited) 13 minutes ago, No Prisoners said: It was based on doing $96m 5 years ago with market at 1/5 the size while other toons were doing 25m. edit: hence the growing percentages (more more more cinemas, tickets,...) I think the Chinese market doesn't grow regulary/even, means e.g. new cities / newly getting a modern cinema / more spread out,.... might not pick up on already introduced foreign franchises with the same percentages like they do with locals, especially the last 2 - 3 years. Not only for reasons of less knowing, but also for reasons of another kind / style / fashion is wrong, I do not know the term, a slightly other POV... of urban youth and older than youth audience in middle sized cities to big cities devloping IMHO a taste for e.g. local movies too,... I think 5 years back isn't the same as 2015/16 also in a few other little details Edited January 25, 2016 by terrestrial Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 (edited) 22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: So based on the previews can we extrapolate the OD for KFP3? What is the reasonable final gross considering the competition ahead? Pre-sales so far are indicating much lower than SW7. 125-150m. It should play 80% bigger on Saturday though. Got to wait for WOM. Could be $150m or $250m+ total. It's numbers have to be strong on the 2nd weekend to hold 7-10% of shows. Otherwise it will have less than 5% and fade fast during CNY. Pre-sales climbed 50% to 8m. Should start to pop soon Edited January 25, 2016 by No Prisoners 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 24 minutes ago, terrestrial said: edit: hence the growing percentages (more more more cinemas, tickets,...) I think the Chinese market doesn't grow regulary/even, means e.g. new cities / newly getting a modern cinema / more spread out,.... might not pick up on already introduced foreign franchises with the same percentages like they do with locals, especially the last 2 - 3 years. Not only for reasons of less knowing, but also for reasons of another kind / style / fashion is wrong, I do not know the term, a slightly other POV... of urban youth and older than youth audience in middle sized cities to big cities devloping IMHO a taste for e.g. local movies too,... I think 5 years back isn't the same as 2015/16 also in a few other little details I agree with that. That's why I don't expect 500m like some were saying months ago based solely on market growth. KFP2 was a phenomenon so if this follows thru it could get close to FF7 and MH but the presales are not reflecting that thus far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 China Film Insider @china_film Kung Fu Panda 3 sets box office record in nationwide preview - via ecns http://goo.gl/mV9sjN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 (edited) Latest On Screen China: ‘Panda’ Preview a Warm Spot in Cold Weekend by @ChinaBoxOffice https://t.co/GCntNXrHAh pic.twitter.com/JYoaM7lLin — China Film Insider (@china_film) January 25, 2016 Edited January 26, 2016 by jiangsen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgchn40 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 3 hours ago, No Prisoners said: I agree with that. That's why I don't expect 500m like some were saying months ago based solely on market growth. KFP2 was a phenomenon so if this follows thru it could get close to FF7 and MH but the presales are not reflecting that thus far. I wonder if there is a trend whereby family moviess "underperform" in terms of presales. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, sgchn40 said: I wonder if there is a trend whereby family moviess "underperform" in terms of presales. I don't think they sell as many a few days out like an AOU type release. Maybe it will pop in the last 24 hours like SW7 However, local films tend to have more presales when it comes to the morning of opening day. The multiplier is about 2.25xPS in the morning for local/family. SW7 was 2.7, close to the HLWD norm. It should start a parabolic trend starting tomorrow into Thursday nite. Looks like the year is going to start off up 55%-60% for January going to have to clear 6bY to be up 50% next month. Edited January 26, 2016 by No Prisoners 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
