China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Lihongkim]

So KFP3 won't beat Minions OD record? So disappointed )-:

[marveldcfox]

That sucks. And we thought Chinese love pandas. But then again if the rumors I have heard are true about state of pandas in China then this shouldnt surprise me.

[Olive]

Maoyan realtime crashed.

[Fake]

I would be satisfied with anything over 100M OD.

[Fake]

As of 2:30PM KFP3 has crossed 65M. Seems it will easily go over 100M.

[keysersoze123]

At 9:02PM

 

Maoyan has it at 102.4m while cbooo has it at 90.6m. Wonder which site is closer. Didn't firedeep or Olive said saturday increase would be closer ot 60% because of certain schools are already on a break? So 110-120m OD and 400-450m OW likely. Let us see how the weekdays go. I would say 1.2b finish if it has a good run.

[MinaTakla]

27 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

At 9:02PM

 

Maoyan has it at 102.4m while cbooo has it at 90.6m. Wonder which site is closer. Didn't firedeep or Olive said saturday increase would be closer ot 60% because of certain schools are already on a break? So 110-120m OD and 400-450m OW likely. Let us see how the weekdays go. I would say 1.2b finish if it has a good run.

So a $180-190m USD finish?

Edited January 29, 2016 by MinaTakla

[bangbingchan]

7 hours ago, Fake said:

As of 2:30PM KFP3 has crossed 65M. Seems it will easily go over 100M.

OD around 100~110M

http://111.205.151.7/movies/2016-01-29

[Olive]

Friday estimates

KFP3 OD 107M, TOTAL including previews 152M($23.1M)

 

SW7 3.6M /792M  will pass 800M on Sunday.

 

KFP3 made 2nd biggest OD for animated movies, only under Minions' Sunday OD 116.6M(not counting 4.5M midnights)

Will it pass Monkey King: Hero is Back(958m)?It's not locked.

Dreamworks is really dumb to slot the movie this weekend, people are busy finishing their year-end work only students have time to visit cinemas.

Edited January 29, 2016 by The Good Olive

[MinaTakla]

KFP3 OD less than Minions? Didn't expect that...

[keysersoze123]

Was Minions OD a sunday or a friday? that also is a factor. I think KFP3 OW could beat Minions total or will come close. So this does not matter.

 

But KFP3 total wont be close to expectations. Even I expected 200m and I am among the most conservative.

[MinaTakla]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Was Minions OD a sunday or a friday? that also is a factor. I think KFP3 OW could beat Minions total or will come close. So this does not matter.

 

But KFP3 total wont be close to expectations. Even I expected 200m and I am among the most conservative.

How much do you see it making in total? 190m?

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, MinaTakla said:

How much do you see it making in total? 190m?

 

Cant say until tuesday/wednesday. extrapolating legs will require few days of data. Plus dont know how many screens it will have after next weekend. Irony was folks were expecting 300m+(there was even a 500m thread !!!!).

 

Same story with Avatar. I am not buying 700m-1000m expectations. Even with it not being a animation movie. Also expecting some SH movie cracking 500m. Not happening. Think F7's was a freak run. Might stay on top(for HW flicks) for a while until next WOM blockbuster with a huge start as well.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, MinaTakla said:

So a $180-190m USD finish?

Can't make a call. 150m should be the floor. Anything above is just a guess. Need to see if Tuesday holds close to flat to determine weekend then see how many screens the following monday.

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

At 9:02PM

 

Maoyan has it at 102.4m while cbooo has it at 90.6m. Wonder which site is closer. Didn't firedeep or Olive said saturday increase would be closer ot 60% because of certain schools are already on a break? So 110-120m OD and 400-450m OW likely. Let us see how the weekdays go. I would say 1.2b finish if it has a good run.

Families with small children will see it on sat/sun. I could see it bump 80-100%. And hold tight on sunday. I think it could 450-500m

 

Edit: Presales at just 24m for saturday. Maybe not a big bump. The Kung fu mystery carries on.....

It shall be an interesting run. Many variables on this one

Edited January 29, 2016 by No Prisoners

[bangbingchan]

dreamworks choose the coldest days of boxoffice to open.Normally,the week before CNY is the lowest week of whole year.People are busy or on the road to come home.They should settle the date early or two weeks later.If they put off two weeks later,Panda will miss the CNY，but winter holiday isn't over then.imported films cant open on CNY. it's a hard case to choose a proper release date.Good luck to Panda.

[bangbingchan]

59 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Cant say until tuesday/wednesday. extrapolating legs will require few days of data. Plus dont know how many screens it will have after next weekend. Irony was folks were expecting 300m+(there was even a 500m thread !!!!).

 

Same story with Avatar. I am not buying 700m-1000m expectations. Even with it not being a animation movie. Also expecting some SH movie cracking 500m. Not happening. Think F7's was a freak run. Might stay on top(for HW flicks) for a while until next WOM blockbuster with a huge start as well.

From minions to Panda,I can say animated films still have a limit in China.KFP2 is a wonder.Avatar is a another situation.Avatar2 is too far away from now.Nothing is settled yet.But most people think Avatar is a much bigger franchise than TF films in China.The expectation is growing up after years and years.No matter which year Avatar2 is coming out,it will at least more than the least TF film.how much larger？it's hard to say now.

Edited January 29, 2016 by bangbingchan

[druv10]

1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

Friday estimates

KFP3 OD 107M, TOTAL including previews 152M($23.1M)

 

SW7 3.6M /792M  will pass 800M on Sunday.

Pretty good. Hopefully WOM is good and it can push 1500M.

[Olive]

6 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Pretty good. Hopefully WOM is good and it can push 1500M.

No way.

[Mojoguy]

China... the destroyer of dreams since TFA.

[bangbingchan]

15 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Pretty good. Hopefully WOM is good and it can push 1500M.

1bn is not locked yet.