China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

Valentine’s day estimates 590M

Mermaid 310M/1792M 

TMK2 98.5M/760M

Macau 3: 86.5M/778M

Run for Love: 35.6M/37.8M

Mr. Highheels:28.8M/31.1M

KFP3:20.4M/833M

 

Edited February 14, 2016 by Olive Skywalker

[vc2002]

I never thought we would be entering the serious first-$500m-film talk this quick. I mean just a couple of months ago we were still in total awe of the first real $400m challenger, and now $500m is already a serious possibility.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

40%? sunday BO is already at 550M. it will finish around 600m. 40% would take monday BO to 350m. I am thinking 50% drop for around 300m.

Was looking at Saturday to Monday drop to see how it compares to last year when there wasn't VD. Pre-sales at just 45m so far. I doubt it does much more than a 4 multi. 190-220 is likely.  Last year was just a 30% drop but the holiday fell much differently.

Will be 50%~ from saturday. 65% from sunday. Mermaid should take 60% of BO as others fall harder. 120m~

Panda 12m-13m. Will get back more shows.

[a2k]

Will KFP3 average 10m/day next week for 70m more and cross 900m?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

China Box Office Week 6 (2.8-2.14), 2016
Rank	Title	Distributor	Gross (RMB/M)	Gross ($/M)	Change	Total (RMB/M)	Total ($/M)	Days
1	Mermaid 美人鱼	Union Pictures	¥1,800.0	$274.81	NEW	¥1,800.0	$274.81	7
2	The Man from Macau 3 澳门风云3	Bona	¥780.0	$119.08	NEW	¥780.0	$119.08	7
3	The Monkey King 2 西游记之孙悟空三打白骨精	Anshi Yingna	¥760.0	$116.03	NEW	¥760.0	$116.03	7
4	Kung Fu Panda 3 功夫熊猫3	ODW	¥153.0	$23.36	-48%	¥833.0	$127.18	17
5	Run for Love 奔爱	Enlight	¥35.5	$5.42	NEW	¥35.5	$5.42	1
6	Mr Nian 年兽大作战	Maoyan	¥32.5	$4.96	NEW	¥32.5	$4.96	7
7	Mr Highheel 高跟鞋先生	LeVP	¥31.1	$4.75	NEW	¥31.1	$4.75	1
8	Kill Time 谋杀似水年华	Wu Zhou	¥9.3	$1.42	NEW	¥9.3	$1.42	3
9	The New Year's Eve of Old Lee 过年好	Juhe Yinglian	¥6.8	$1.04	-85%	¥53.0	$8.09	14
10	Boonie Bears III 熊出没3	LeVP	¥5.8	$0.89	-65%	¥281.0	$42.90	30

[sgchn40]

29 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Was looking at Saturday to Monday drop to see how it compares to last year when there wasn't VD. Pre-sales at just 45m so far. I doubt it does much more than a 4 multi. 190-220 is likely.  Last year was just a 30% drop but the holiday fell much differently.

Will be 50%~ from saturday. 65% from sunday. Mermaid should take 60% of BO as others fall harder. 120m~

Panda 12m-13m. Will get back more shows.

 

So, I presume you are saying that USD$500m or RMB$3.3 billion is possible.

 

if it falls 50% every week, then in three weeks time, it will around at $3.36 billion.

if it falls 65% every week, then in three weeks time, it will around at $2.715 billion.

 

I believe that the fall will be much closer to 50% then 65% for the next three weeks.

[POTUS 2020]

7 minutes ago, sgchn40 said:

 

So, I presume you are saying that USD$500m or RMB$3.3 billion is possible.

 

if it falls 50% every week, then in three weeks time, it will around at $3.36 billion.

if it falls 65% every week, then in three weeks time, it will around at $2.715 billion.

 

I believe that the fall will be much closer to 50% then 65% for the next three weeks.

The drop I'm talking about is from the end of the CNY holiday. W/O/W performance is hard to gauge with holiday and now no school. It should do over 800m thru next Sunday for a total of 2.6B maybe 2.7.  The following will see a harsher drop. It's got 3B. Not sure if it will have 3.3B just yet.

[Olive]

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice  3m3 minutes ago

THE MERMAID records biggest ever single day gross for a local film with est $47.1M on Sunday, 7-day total is $274M.

[Quigley]

Wow. $39M daily average. It will cross ¥2B and $300M in 8 days. Ridiculous.

[sgchn40]

There's a report saying that the CNY weekly gross of USD $548m is the highest ever in the world, beating the record set during Christmas in the domestic market (aka Canada and USA) last year (@ USD$529m)

[sgchn40]

14 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

The drop I'm talking about is from the end of the CNY holiday. W/O/W performance is hard to gauge with holiday and now no school. It should do over 800m thru next Sunday for a total of 2.6B maybe 2.7.  The following will see a harsher drop. It's got 3B. Not sure if it will have 3.3B just yet.

 

Understand. Just wondering if the 50% to 65% drop can be used to predict its gross by the 4th week. I know it runs longer than 4 weeks. But since foreign films can only run for 4 weeks, I thought it will make better comparison. Of course, there is still the block out period for foreign movies to consider.

[efialtes76]

Presales(00:00AM)

 

Mermaid-25.85M

TMK2-7.18M

Macau 3-5.89M

KFP3-3.47M

Mr.Highheels-1.89M

Run for Love-1.52M

 

Edited February 14, 2016 by efialtes76

[TigerPaw]

What are the chances of KFP3 beating MK2 and ending up as the 1st runner up in total gross? 

[a2k]

KFP3 made 23m usd last week and is 23m usd away from 150m usd.

[baumer]

Can someone give me a quick synopsis and background of Mei Ren Yu...The Mermaid?  260 million dollars?  WTF!

[Olive]

1 hour ago, Baumer said:

Can someone give me a quick synopsis and background of Mei Ren Yu...The Mermaid?  260 million dollars?  WTF!

Mermaid Shan is sent to kill Xuan in order to stop his project which threatens marine life and the entire mermaid race. This brings them into falling for each other which leads a hidden organisation into hunting them down. Eventually Xuan has to save Shan before it's too late...

directed by Stephen Chow,one of the most Chinese director

[vc2002]

2 hours ago, Baumer said:

Can someone give me a quick synopsis and background of Mei Ren Yu...The Mermaid?  260 million dollars?  WTF!

 

Directed by the most worshipped, most talked-about Chinese actor on the internet Stephen Chow. He's actually been a director for over ten years now, yet he's so well-known that even only as a director his name alone will be enough to sell a movie. But, what makes it absurdly interesting is that his most worshipped works were all from his young-actor's career and most of those never got released in mainland China (he's from Hong Kong so are his early films).  Most in mainland China got access to those films from pirated VCD, DVD and so on. That somehow created a weird and yet strong nostalgia factor, as there's now a frequently quoted slogan here on the internet "we owe Stephen Chow a movie ticket". 

 

Well, we all know Chinese really eat nostalgia (which is the biggest reason to FF7's Chinese breakout), and its release time frame pushed the nostalgia factor to even greater impact as the last 7 days are the Chinese New Year holiday and it's obviously the time of the year that poeple feel most connected with nostalgia.

 

So, Stephen Chow and nostalgia, are mainly why this $270m-in-7days happened.

Edited February 15, 2016 by vc2002

[sgchn40]

2 hours ago, Baumer said:

Can someone give me a quick synopsis and background of Mei Ren Yu...The Mermaid?  260 million dollars?  WTF!

 

Stephen Chow. One of the most iconic stars from Hong Kong. His movies have a particular style of comedy and is wildly popular throughout Greater China. In recent years, he has been directing his own movies and stopped acting. This movie is his first in 3 years. It combines his style of humour, romance, action, with an environment protection message. It is about a group of sea people trying to kill an "evil" human billionaire who is trying to destroy their home but then the mermaid fell in love with the billionaire. The CGI is honestly not fantastic and the plot rather simple. But it is funny and touching enough for most audience.

 

Broke the highest grossing day local movie record twice. Broke the highest weekly local movie record. Fastest local movie to hit ¥1b and ¥2b. Probably the first movie to reach ¥3 billion, with a possibility of hitting USD$500m.

Edited February 15, 2016 by sgchn40

[applek]

It's interesting cuz I think the Chinese market works differently.  They have more flock mentality and will watch movies if they see a lot of other ppl watching it or super high box office.  And it seems like Internet publicity does affect Chinese audiences a lot.

[grim22]

Just read this news: http://www.koimoi.com/bollywood-popular/baahubali-to-release-in-china-in-may/

 

Quote

S.S. Rajamouli’s magnum opus “Baahubali“, one of India’s biggest blockbusters, will release in over 6,000 screens via E Star Films in China in May.

“This will be the biggest ever release for an Indian film in China, superseding Aamir Khan’s ‘PK‘, which released in 5,000 screens. The makers had planned to release the film this month, however, it had to be postponed due to unavailability of suitable dates,” a source from the production team told IANS.

 

Hopefully it can earn more than PK did, the plot is a sprawling war epic which may find favor in China.