China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[XO21]

12 minutes ago, a2knet said:

I feel Thor3 will be most hurt and may do sub 90m usd unless it's very well received (9/10 or more).

Sony is handling BR49's OS so Warner Bros won't mind BR49 and JL so close to each other.

Thor 3 at first glance does look (imo) too much like GOGT2 so I agree

 

I don't think BR will last long if the plot is more philosophical driven than action...like Covenant

 

JL might do less than Thor 3

Edited September 28, 2017 by XO21

[a2k]

1 minute ago, XO21 said:

Thor 3 at first glance does look (imo) too much like GOGT2 so I agree

 

I don't think BR will last long if the plot is more philosophical driven than action...like Covenant

 

JL might do less than Thor 3

yes

yes

no ... $90.5m of WONDR and $95.8m of BVS well within reach. Thinking $95-100m for JL. Might do less than GOTG2 but not less than Thor3.

[keysersoze123]

china release dates are always messed up. Thor 3 date is horrible. JL probably will also be hit by some big local movie but if it has at least 2 weeks of open run, it will be highest of mid level grossers( 600-800m). BR2049 will struggle in China. Thor around 600m. 

[Gavin Feng]

41 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

china release dates are always messed up. Thor 3 date is horrible. JL probably will also be hit by some big local movie but if it has at least 2 weeks of open run, it will be highest of mid level grossers( 600-800m). BR2049 will struggle in China. Thor around 600m. 

John Woo's Manhunt Nov.24.

[a2k]

24 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

John Woo's Manhunt Nov.24.

just 1 week after JL. Looks like Thor3, BR49 and JL will collect 80%+ of their boxoffice in week 1.

 

[UserHN]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

china release dates are always messed up. Thor 3 date is horrible. JL probably will also be hit by some big local movie but if it has at least 2 weeks of open run, it will be highest of mid level grossers( 600-800m). BR2049 will struggle in China. Thor around 600m. 

Doctor Strange has almost the same release date in China last year. That film grossed more than $100 million. So I think release date for Thor 3 is just alright. 

[UserHN]

2 hours ago, a2knet said:

yes

yes

no ... $90.5m of WONDR and $95.8m of BVS well within reach. Thinking $95-100m for JL. Might do less than GOTG2 but not less than Thor3.

No MCU movie has grossed less than $100 million since 2015. So I think you're underestimating Thor 3.

[Premium George]

Is there a BOM like site for chinese grosses? I wanted to see daily grosses of zootopia and dangal.

[Gavin Feng]

@damnitgeorge08

 

China Box Office
Zootopia
Day	Date		Rank	Gross		% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				RMB / M	USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Fri	Mar. 4		2	¥22.62	$3.47	-	-	$3.47	1	$23.88	-
Sat	Mar. 5		2	¥60.54	$9.29	267.63%	-	$12.76	2
Sun	Mar. 6		2	¥72.45	$11.12	19.69%	-	$23.88	3
Mon	Mar. 7		2	¥36.42	$5.59	-49.74%	-	$29.46	4	$89.14	273.36%
Tue	Mar. 8		1	¥68.85	$10.56	89.07%	-	$40.03	5
Wed	Mar. 9		1	¥44.50	$6.83	-35.36%	-	$46.85	6
Thu	Mar. 10		1	¥43.13	$6.62	-3.08%	-	$53.47	7
Fri	Mar. 11		1	¥71.44	$10.96	65.64%	215.82%	$64.43	8
Sat	Mar. 12		1	¥166.94	$25.61	133.69%	175.77%	$90.05	9
Sun	Mar. 13		1	¥149.71	$22.97	-10.32%	106.62%	$113.02	10
Mon	Mar. 14		1	¥43.20	$6.63	-71.14%	18.63%	$119.65	11	$59.23	-33.55%
Tue	Mar. 15		1	¥38.11	$5.85	-11.78%	-44.64%	$125.49	12
Wed	Mar. 16		1	¥33.49	$5.14	-12.13%	-24.74%	$130.63	13
Thu	Mar. 17		1	¥28.93	$4.44	-13.63%	-32.93%	$135.07	14
Fri	Mar. 18		2	¥47.34	$7.26	63.64%	-33.74%	$142.33	15
Sat	Mar. 19		1	¥108.93	$16.71	130.11%	-34.75%	$159.05	16
Sun	Mar. 20		1	¥86.04	$13.20	-21.01%	-42.53%	$172.25	17
Mon	Mar. 21		1	¥18.34	$2.81	-78.68%	-57.54%	$175.06	18	$27.14	-54.17%
Tue	Mar. 22		2	¥17.05	$2.62	-7.06%	-55.27%	$177.68	19
Wed	Mar. 23		2	¥15.20	$2.33	-10.84%	-54.62%	$180.01	20
Thu	Mar. 24		2	¥14.09	$2.16	-7.30%	-51.29%	$182.17	21
Fri	Mar. 25		2	¥19.39	$2.98	37.62%	-59.04%	$185.15	22
Sat	Mar. 26		2	¥49.89	$7.65	157.27%	-54.20%	$192.80	23
Sun	Mar. 27		2	¥42.94	$6.59	-13.92%	-50.09%	$199.39	24
Mon	Mar. 28		2	¥9.85	$1.51	-77.07%	-46.33%	$200.90	25	$18.63	-31.38%
Tue	Mar. 29		2	¥9.72	$1.49	-1.30%	-43.00%	$202.39	26
Wed	Mar. 30		2	¥9.25	$1.42	-4.85%	-39.17%	$203.81	27
Thu	Mar. 31		2	¥9.13	$1.40	-1.30%	-35.24%	$205.21	28
Fri	Apr. 1		5	¥9.43	$1.45	3.28%	-51.39%	$206.66	29
Sat	Apr. 2		3	¥32.12	$4.93	240.75%	-35.62%	$211.58	30
Sun	Apr. 3		3	¥41.92	$6.43	30.52%	-2.39%	$218.02	31
Mon	Apr. 4		3	¥30.18	$4.63	-28.01%	206.51%	$222.65	32	$13.09	-29.75%
Tue	Apr. 5		5	¥4.51	$0.69	-85.06%	-53.62%	$223.34	33
Wed	Apr. 6		5	¥4.02	$0.62	-10.73%	-56.48%	$223.96	34
Thu	Apr. 7		5	¥3.83	$0.59	-4.80%	-58.03%	$224.54	35
Fri	Apr. 8		4	¥6.35	$0.97	65.78%	-32.63%	$225.52	36
Sat	Apr. 9		3	¥19.66	$3.02	209.58%	-38.79%	$228.53	37
Sun	Apr. 10		3	¥16.74	$2.57	-14.87%	-60.08%	$231.10	38
Mon	Apr. 11		4	¥3.17	$0.49	-81.05%	-89.49%	$231.59	39	$3.74	-71.45%
Tue	Apr. 12		4	¥2.94	$0.45	-7.44%	-34.86%	$232.04	40
Wed	Apr. 13		4	¥2.87	$0.44	-2.41%	-28.79%	$232.48	41
Thu	Apr. 14		5	¥2.53	$0.39	-11.83%	-34.05%	$232.87	42
Fri	Apr. 15		8	¥1.27	$0.19	-49.90%	-80.07%	$233.06	43
Sat	Apr. 16		4	¥5.83	$0.89	360.56%	-70.35%	$233.95	44
Sun	Apr. 17		4	¥5.76	$0.88	-1.20%	-65.59%	$234.84	45
					ExRate: $1=￥6.5175			Total Gross = $234.84 million
								Multiple = 9.84

Edited September 28, 2017 by Gavin Feng

[Gavin Feng]

@damnitgeorge08

 

China Box Office
Dangal
Day	Date		Rank	Gross		% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				RMB / M	USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Previews	Apr.30 - May. 2		-	¥0.33	$0.05	-	-	$0.05	0	$0.05	-
Fri	May. 5		2	¥15.87	$2.30	-	-	$2.35	1	$12.63	-
Sat	May. 6		2	¥32.52	$4.71	100.83%	-	$7.06	2
Sun	May. 7		2	¥38.46	$5.57	18.28%	-	$12.63	3
Mon	May. 8		2	¥21.06	$3.05	-45.25%	-	$15.68	4	$48.83	286.57%
Tue	May. 9		2	¥24.57	$3.56	16.66%	-	$19.24	5
Wed	May. 10		1	¥27.48	$3.98	11.82%	-	$23.22	6
Thu	May. 11		1	¥27.61	$4.00	0.47%	-	$27.22	7
Fri	May. 12		1	¥44.41	$6.43	60.86%	174.24%	$33.66	8
Sat	May. 13		1	¥97.10	$14.07	118.67%	198.60%	$47.72	9
Sun	May. 14		1	¥94.78	$13.73	-2.39%	146.40%	$61.46	10
Mon	May. 15		1	¥34.81	$5.04	-63.27%	65.29%	$66.50	11	$52.17	6.86%
Tue	May. 16		1	¥32.74	$4.74	-5.94%	33.27%	$71.24	12
Wed	May. 17		1	¥29.33	$4.25	-10.41%	6.77%	$75.49	13
Thu	May. 18		1	¥26.36	$3.82	-10.13%	-4.51%	$79.31	14
Fri	May. 19		1	¥42.02	$6.09	59.38%	-5.38%	$85.40	15
Sat	May. 20		1	¥113.36	$16.42	169.82%	16.75%	$101.82	16
Sun	May. 21		1	¥81.47	$11.80	-28.14%	-14.04%	$113.63	17
Mon	May. 22		1	¥23.68	$3.43	-70.94%	-31.98%	$117.06	18	$23.34	-55.26%
Tue	May. 23		1	¥21.69	$3.14	-8.41%	-33.77%	$120.20	19
Wed	May. 24		1	¥19.92	$2.89	-8.16%	-32.11%	$123.09	20
Thu	May. 25		1	¥17.70	$2.57	-11.10%	-32.84%	$125.65	21
Fri	May. 26		2	¥13.21	$1.91	-25.40%	-68.56%	$127.57	22
Sat	May. 27		2	¥19.85	$2.88	50.32%	-82.49%	$130.44	23
Sun	May. 28		2	¥45.07	$6.53	127.01%	-44.68%	$136.97	24
Mon	May. 29		2	¥56.18	$8.14	24.65%	137.28%	$145.11	25	$30.41	30.27%
Tue	May. 30		2	¥44.10	$6.39	-21.51%	103.34%	$151.50	26
Wed	May. 31		2	¥13.40	$1.94	-69.62%	-32.74%	$153.44	27
Thu	Jun. 1		3	¥32.44	$4.70	142.16%	83.23%	$158.14	28
Fri	Jun. 2		3	¥11.83	$1.71	-63.53%	-10.43%	$159.86	29
Sat	Jun. 3		3	¥27.36	$3.96	131.32%	37.83%	$163.82	30
Sun	Jun. 4		3	¥24.58	$3.56	-10.17%	-45.46%	$167.38	31
Mon	Jun. 5		3	¥8.06	$1.17	-67.20%	-85.65%	$168.55	32	$9.73	-68.00%
Tue	Jun. 6		3	¥8.51	$1.23	5.59%	-80.69%	$169.78	33
Wed	Jun. 7		3	¥7.91	$1.15	-7.05%	-40.92%	$170.93	34
Thu	Jun. 8		4	¥7.51	$1.09	-5.13%	-76.85%	$172.02	35
Fri	Jun. 9		5	¥7.17	$1.04	-4.56%	-39.42%	$173.06	36
Sat	Jun. 10		4	¥14.64	$2.12	104.31%	-46.50%	$175.18	37
Sun	Jun. 11		4	¥13.36	$1.94	-8.75%	-45.65%	$177.11	38
Mon	Jun. 12		4	¥4.92	$0.71	-63.17%	-38.98%	$177.83	39	$6.11	-37.17%
Tue	Jun. 13		4	¥4.77	$0.69	-3.14%	-44.03%	$178.52	40
Wed	Jun. 14		4	¥4.49	$0.65	-5.87%	-43.32%	$179.17	41
Thu	Jun. 15		5	¥4.39	$0.64	-2.09%	-41.50%	$179.80	42
Fri	Jun. 16		5	¥3.92	$0.57	-10.83%	-45.35%	$180.37	43
Sat	Jun. 17		5	¥9.28	$1.34	136.89%	-36.63%	$181.72	44
Sun	Jun. 18		4	¥10.44	$1.51	12.56%	-21.83%	$183.23	45
Mon	Jun. 19		5	¥3.60	$0.52	-65.52%	-26.82%	$183.75	46	$2.96	-51.57%
Tue	Jun. 20		5	¥3.58	$0.52	-0.68%	-24.96%	$184.27	47
Wed	Jun. 21		5	¥3.58	$0.52	-0.01%	-20.29%	$184.79	48
Thu	Jun. 22		6	¥3.49	$0.51	-2.28%	-20.44%	$185.29	49
Fri	Jun. 23		9	¥1.04	$0.15	-70.32%	-73.52%	$185.44	50
Sat	Jun. 24		7	¥2.44	$0.35	134.93%	-73.74%	$185.80	51
Sun	Jun. 25		6	¥2.72	$0.39	11.58%	-73.96%	$186.19	52
Mon	Jun. 26		6	¥1.60	$0.23	-41.28%	-55.67%	$186.42	53	$1.73	-41.45%
Tue	Jun. 27		6	¥1.85	$0.27	15.64%	-48.38%	$186.69	54
Wed	Jun. 28		6	¥1.98	$0.29	7.10%	-44.71%	$186.97	55
Thu	Jun. 29		8	¥1.57	$0.23	-20.63%	-55.09%	$187.20	56
Fri	Jun. 30		9	¥1.13	$0.16	-28.00%	8.94%	$187.37	57
Sat	Jul. 1		11	¥1.70	$0.25	50.64%	-30.15%	$187.61	58
Sun	Jul. 2		8	¥2.15	$0.31	26.14%	-21.03%	$187.92	59
Mon	Jul. 3		8	¥1.02	$0.15	-52.40%	-35.98%	$188.07	60	$0.29	-83.14%
Tue	Jul. 4		8	¥1.00	$0.14	-2.54%	-46.05%	$188.22	61
								Lifetime Gross = $188.12 million
								Multiple = 14.9
								Exchange Rate: $1=￥6.902

[a2k]

^^^ Both those runs blew my mind away. Dangal beating GOTG2 was some story. And Zootopia's China gross is bigger than DOM of all animations this year except DM3, and only $30m below DM3 (using the ER when Zootopia released).

[Premium George]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

^^^ Both those runs blew my mind away. Dangal beating GOTG2 was some story. And Zootopia's China gross is bigger than DOM of all animations this year except DM3, and only $30m below DM3 (using the ER when Zootopia released).

Dangal beating GOTG2 was just start of surprise. It beat every hollywood film this year sans TF5 and F8.

Zootopia run was similar to it's run everywhere. 

In O/W- decent

After months- IT DID THIS MUCH!!

 

Is it possible for a major blockbuster to get more than 2.5x legs in china? Let's say thor 3. With BR49 and JL in upcoming weeks, in any stretchable condition, can it retain it's audience or screens or maybe both to attain normal american legs. 

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

Dangal beating GOTG2 was just start of surprise. It beat every hollywood film this year sans TF5 and F8.

Zootopia run was similar to it's run everywhere. 

In O/W- decent

After months- IT DID THIS MUCH!!

 

Is it possible for a major blockbuster to get more than 2.5x legs in china? Let's say thor 3. With BR49 and JL in upcoming weeks, in any stretchable condition, can it retain it's audience or screens or maybe both to attain normal american legs. 

DR Strange surprised with legs. Exactly 2.50x : $109.19m with $43.67m ow

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=marvel716.htm

 

Not sure what sort of competition it had. But China has gotten front-loaded yearly with increasing number of screens in the ow. I think Thor3, JL, BR49 will be lucky to get 2x.

Both War of Apes and SMH are well below 2x. Apes will get to 1.8x while SMH around 1.65x.

[Gavin Feng]

THU
after service fees
War for the Planet  -  11.4m / 706.3m
Hitman's Bodyguard  -  9.15m / 132.1m 
Contratiempo  -  6.6m / 131.6m 
Homecoming  -  2.76m / 767.3m 
Wolf Warrior 2  -  1.23m / 5,666m

[a2k]

Apes3 only 18m away from 724.3m which is $110m according to the ER on OW (402.1m=>$61.07m).

 

[Barnack]

Bit surprised by how well Apes 3 is doing in China, just an other example in a long list of me not being good at all to predict that market.

Edited September 28, 2017 by Barnack

[Gavin Feng]

 

 

[a2k]

15 hours ago, Barnack said:

Bit surprised by how well Apes 3 is doing in China, just an other example in a long list of me not being good at all to predict that market.

China is tough to predict and seems to be in constant flux. Looking at the CBMs this year it's tough to find a pattern. For eg: I thought till WONDR DOM and China legs had some similarity (relative to fellow movies) but SMH completely surprised.

 

Movie       China OW       China Total      Ch Multi   Dom Multi

LOGAN     $48,836,328   $105,962,988   2.17x      2.56x

GOTG2     $48,563,935   $100,663,260   2.07x      2.66x

WONDR    $37,676,314   $90,498,909     2.40x      3.99x

SMH         $69,240,992   $114,398,704   1.65x      2.85x

 

Edited September 29, 2017 by a2knet

[Hades]

4 hours ago, a2knet said:

China is tough to predict and seems to be in constant flux. Looking at the CBMs this year it's tough to find a pattern. For eg: I thought till WONDR DOM and China legs had some similarity (relative to fellow movies) but SMH completely surprised.

 

Movie       China OW       China Total      Ch Multi   Dom Multi

LOGAN     $48,836,328   $105,962,988   2.17x      2.56x

GOTG2     $48,563,935   $100,663,260   2.07x      2.66x

WONDR    $37,676,314   $90,498,909     2.40x      3.99x

SMH         $69,240,992   $114,398,704   1.65x      2.85x

 

Interesting data, could you do one for the 2016 CBMs please.

 

How come Spiderman legs were so poor? 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Hades said:

Interesting data, could you do one for the 2016 CBMs please.

 

How come Spiderman legs were so poor? 

In 2016 the Ch and Dom legs seem to mirror each other very nicely across all the 4 movies (DP and SS did not release in China).

 

Movie     China OW      China Total     Ch Multi   Dom Multi

BVS      $55,739,150   $95,769,365       1.72x      1.99x

CA3      $93,640,448   $180,794,517     1.93x      2.28x

APOC    $59,587,048   $120,765,095     2.03x      2.36x

DR.S     $43,666,292   $109,194,913     2.50x      2.74x

 

I don't know why SMH would do only 1.65x.

Edited September 29, 2017 by a2knet