China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

Sunday est

AOU  57M/$9.2m, 1302M/$210m

PK 13.3m/$2.2m, 32.6m/$5.3m

 

Early Tuesday showtimes

 

I,Frankenstein 34.5%

Tomorrowland 33.4%

AOU   18%

[Asyulus]

 

Sunday est

AOU  57M/$9.2m, 1302M/$210m

PK 13.3m/$2.2m, 32.6m/$5.3m

 

Early Tuesday showtimes

 

I,Frankenstein 34.5%

Tomorrowland 33.4%

AOU   18%

 

Is that AOU number good or terrible?

[Olive]

Is that AOU number good or terrible?

terrible

[alee7915]

Is that AOU number good or terrible?

terrible  

[keysersoze123]

 

Sunday est

AOU  57M/$9.2m, 1302M/$210m

PK 13.3m/$2.2m, 32.6m/$5.3m

 

Early Tuesday showtimes

 

I,Frankenstein 34.5%

Tomorrowland 33.4%

AOU   18%

 

 

So PK stayed flat or slightly increased. That is great. AOU gross is also quite good. For Tuesday AOU still has good amount of showtimes considering its gross will be teens or lower.

[POTUS 2020]

	TF4						FF7					AOU							Tasm	2
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Trail TF4	Trail FF7	Yn	Last week	Tot
Fri	195			195	32
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103	398			398	64								61		61
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124	185	-53.5%		583	94								36		97
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142	167	-9.7%		750	121	212			212	34	107.7	86.7	34		131
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157	137	-18.0%		887	143	123	-42.1%		335	54	103.4	89.0	28		159
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171	115	-16.1%		1002	162	91	-26.0%		426	69	102.5	92.8	24		183
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186	142	23.8%		1144	185	127	40.0%		554	89	96.2	95.3	39		222
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207	226	59.0%		1371	221	236	85.2%		790	127	79.4	93.7	75		297
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226	185	-18.1%	-53.4%	1556	251	165	-29.9%		955	154	72.1	96.9	52		349
Mon	54	-58.3%	-56.1%	1433	235	73	-60.6%	-60.5%	1629	263	45	-72.6%		1001	161	73.6	101.4	16		365
Tue	53	-1.9%	-52.8%	1486	244	65	-11.0%	-61.1%	1694	273	40	-12.8%	-81.4%	1040	168	75.9	105.5	17	-50.0%	382
Wed	43	-18.9%	-54.5%	1529	251	52	-19.4%	-61.8%	1747	282	49	23.7%	-60.2%	1089	176	75.0	106.0	14	-50.0%	396
Thu	39	-9.3%	-53.7%	1568	257	45	-14.1%	-60.9%	1792	289	29	-41.8%	-68.7%	1118	180	76.8	108.7	13	-45.8%	409
Fri	42	7.7%	-51.8%	1610	264	59	31.1%	-58.6%	1851	298	40	40.4%	-68.6%	1158	187	77.3	111.8	19	-51.3%	428
Sat	62	47.6%	-52.2%	1672	274	92	55.1%	-59.6%	1942	313	76	90.0%	-67.8%	1234	199	75.2	114.3	39	-48.0%	467
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284	69	-24.2%	-62.6%	2012	324	57	-25.0%	-65.5%	1291	208	75.5	116.3	30	-42.3%	497
Mon	26	-55.2%	-51.9%	1756	288	27	-61.4%	-63.3%	2038	329	14.0	-75.4%	-69.2%	1305	210	77.5	118.3	9.2	-42.5%	506.2
Tue	28	7.7%	-47.2%	1784	293	26	-1.5%	-59.4%	2065	333	9.0	-35.7%	-77.3%	1314	212	80.6	121.1	16.2	-4.7%	522.4
Wed	23	-17.9%	-46.5%	1807	296	24	-10.2%	-54.8%	2088	337	8.1	-10.0%	-83.5%	1322	213	83.1	123.6	11.0	-21.4%	533.4
Thu	18	-21.7%	-53.8%	1825	299	31	32.5%	-30.2%	2120	342	6.5	-19.8%	-77.2%	1328	214	85.0	127.7	7.6	-41.5%	541
.
Fri	16.7	-7.2%	-60.2%	1842	302	67	114.6%	14.2%	2187	353	9.2	41.5%	-77.0%	1338	216	86.3	137.0	4.2	-77.9%	545.2
Sat	15.5	-7.2%	-75.0%	1858	305	67	-0.6%	-26.8%	2254	364	16.1	75.0%	-78.8%	1354	218	86.2	145.3	8.7	-77.7%	553.9
Sun	25.3	63.2%	-56.4%	1883	309	39	-41.8%	-43.8%	2293	370	11.3	-29.8%	-80.2%	1365	220	88.5	149.7	7.4	-75.3%	561.3
					319					390		Est	Tot	1398	220	-230			Total	591

 

Down 68% on the weekend. I assume it will be down 75% or more starting Tuesday with the new openers like spidey in its 3rd weekend.

225m +/-5m is the target

Edited May 25, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[Quigley]

It is a success, that's all there is to say. If you think a 200% increase over TA1 isn't a success that just means there is something wrong with you.

 

When I said I can't see this as a sucess, I meant I can't see AoU's second-weekend gross as a success given how big its opening weekend was - not that I don't see AoU as a success overall.

[abra]

  TF4           FF7         AOU             Tasm 2 Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Trail TF4 Trail FF7 Yn Last week Tot Fri 195     195 32                               Sat 223 14.4%   418 69                               Sun 213 -4.6%   631 103 398     398 64               61   61 Mon 123 -42.1%   754 124 185 -53.5%   583 94               36   97 Tues 112 -8.9%   866 142 167 -9.7%   750 121 212     212 34 107.7 86.7 34   131 Wed 95 -15.7%   961 157 137 -18.0%   887 143 123 -42.1%   335 54 103.4 89.0 28   159 Thur 84 -11.0%   1045 171 115 -16.1%   1002 162 91 -26.0%   426 69 102.5 92.8 24   183                                           Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 142 23.8%   1144 185 127 40.0%   554 89 96.2 95.3 39   222 Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 226 59.0%   1371 221 236 85.2%   790 127 79.4 93.7 75   297 Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 185 -18.1% -53.4% 1556 251 165 -29.9%   955 154 72.1 96.9 52   349 Mon 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 45 -72.6%   1001 161 73.6 101.4 16   365 Tue 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 40 -12.8% -81.4% 1040 168 75.9 105.5 17 -50.0% 382 Wed 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 49 23.7% -60.2% 1089 176 75.0 106.0 14 -50.0% 396 Thu 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 29 -41.8% -68.7% 1118 180 76.8 108.7 13 -45.8% 409                                           Fri 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 40 40.4% -68.6% 1158 187 77.3 111.8 19 -51.3% 428 Sat 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 76 90.0% -67.8% 1234 199 75.2 114.3 39 -48.0% 467 Sun %2

 

give advice to a summary in table form?

Edited May 24, 2015 by abra

[Quigley]

Since there's been a discussion about whether AoU is a success or not, let's look at it this way.

 

China yearly gross in 2012 was $2.74 billion.

 

If 2015 finishes 50% above 2014 (currently more than 60% ahead), that means about $7.2 billion.

 

The 2012-to-2015 increase is 163%.

 

That means that if Avengers were released in 2015 it would have made ~$236M.

 

If AoU makes more than that, it is a success. But that assumes there isn't any sequel growth. For a sequel to a very successful movie, everyone would expect a significant increase, say 10% at least. But in AoU's case, a 10% increase is probably not happening

Edited May 24, 2015 by Quigley

[Fake]

PK may hit 100M!!

[Olive]

PK may hit 100M!!

I doubt it, it will lose most screens on Tuesday.

[alee7915]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya  19m19 minutes ago

#AgeOfUltron breaks $400M dom today. China at $210.4M, $1.26B global. #2 superhero movie of all-time after 1st #Avengers.

 

 

•  

[abra]

 

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya  19m19 minutes ago

#AgeOfUltron breaks $400M dom today. China at $210.4M, $1.26B global. #2 superhero movie of all-time after 1st #Avengers.

 

 

with the result that earned about 90 m

in China 56 m

rest of the world 34m

Edited May 24, 2015 by abra

[grim22]

Great numbers for PK. Much better than I expected.

[Kanwal]

PK should crack $10 Million at China Boxoffice at this rate. Great going for a Bollywood movie in China.

[DAJK]

How is Tomorrowland expected to perform in China?

[TalismanRing]

Since there's been a discussion about whether AoU is a success or not, let's look at it this way.

 

China yearly gross in 2012 was $2.74 billion.

 

If 2015 finishes 50% above 2014 (currently more than 60% ahead), that means about $7.2 billion.

 

The 2012-to-2015 increase is 163%.

 

That means that if Avengers were released in 2015 it would have made ~$236M.

 

If AoU makes more than that, it is a success. But that assumes there isn't any sequel growth. For a sequel to a very successful movie, everyone would expect a significant increase, say 10% at least. But in AoU's case, a 10% increase is probably not happening

 

 

It doesn't work that way.  It's like saying if Titanic was released now it would make 4b Yaun.  Aside from not working with individual movies China also has quotas and other breaks they put in use to try and curtail run away box office success for foreign product.

 

China scheduled AOU three weeks after Int'l rollout.  It got no major holidays, a Tues opening and was denied 2D in an effort to dilute it's B.O.

 

3 months ago predictions for AOU were $200-220m which people thought would be great even though TF4 made over $300m last year.  Then predictions decreased with the announced Tues release date.  Then FF7 broke out and opinions were split on whether it would mean AOU would also do $300m or do less because it was no longer the first uber blockbuster of the year. 

 

In the end it's going to make more than predictions from 3 months ago and do three times the business of Avengers and about twice as much a every SH film released in China last year.

Edited May 24, 2015 by TalismanRing

[Quigley]

I don't think a Tuesday release affects the overall gross.It may have affected opening weekend gross but not total.

 

And even if it got no 2D, it was still playing in more theaters and screens than original.

Edited May 24, 2015 by Quigley

[Olive]

TA1 OD only had 20k showtimes, while TA2 had more than 80k.

[TalismanRing]

I don't think a Tuesday release affects the overall gross.It may have affected opening weekend gross but not total.

 

And even if it got no 2D, it was still playing in more theaters and screens than original.

 

And?  AOU is going to make ~$150m more than the first. 

 

The Tues opening seemed to be enough of a factor that overall predictions were changed.  

Edited May 24, 2015 by TalismanRing