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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Friday at the Chinese box office: Changjin II, Too Cool to Kill, and Nice View still leading the pack. Chinese sports drama Break Through flopped in sixth place with 2.7ish million RMB (~$425,000) and a whopping 1.0% of available seats sold (an average of two people per screening). A Rainy Day in New York in ninth with just over 1.8ish million RMB (~$300,000), although a less heinously embarrassing 2.3% of available seats sold (for comparison, the top five were all at 4% of seats sold and above). Overall box office at 65 million RMB/$10.4 million.

 

So, on the whole, not great.

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Watergate Bridge now guaranteed to surpass Endgame, right?

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49 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

I think that was a joke right? It currently stands at ¥3849M where as Endgame is on ¥4250M

oh forgot about exchange rates

a variety article said watergate was at 611 million dollars 

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Spider Man: No Way Home is at 7.5/10 on Douban with 75K rated votes right now. I guess it would be lower after HD pirated copy come out.

 

Spider-Man - 7.9/10 (335K)

Spider-Man 2 - 7.7/10 (248K)

Spider-Man 3 - 7.6/10 (224K)

Amazing Spider-Man - 7.6/10 (262K)

Amazing Spider Man 2 - 7.6/10 (295K)

Homecoming - 7.3/10 (398K)

Far From Home - 7.6/10 (546K)

 

Black Widow - 6.2/10 (160K)

Shang-Chi - 6.1/10 (177K)

Venom 2 - 5.0/10 (117K)

Eternals - 5.8/10 (91K)

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2 hours ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

Watergate Bridge now guaranteed to surpass Endgame, right?

Watergate Bridge is guaranteed to close several hundred million RMB lower than Endgame, so… not quite. Realistic best-case scenario right now for Watergate Bridge is crossing ¥4 billion, which is possible but difficult (the movie's proven quite front-loaded, even with an absolute dearth of competition, and there's only so much the government can do to boost the movie's grosses). Chinese moviegoers showed up in decent numbers but far too many people were simply not interested in watching more Battle at Lake Changjin.

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Overall Chinese box office for this last weekend (Feb. 25-27) came in at 274 million RMB ($43.4 million), which is… not the most impressive. Granted, there were zero noteworthy new releases (, but The Battle at Lake Changjin II and Too Cool to Kill are both well past their prime moneymaking days.

 

As of right now, looks like next weekend's most noteworthy new release is a Chinese documentary. March 11-13 is similarly barren, especially with Uncharted bizarrely opening on the Monday. As ever, things can change rapidly in China and I suspect that they'll announce something new in the coming days (last year in mid-March they announced the Avatar rerelease with mere days of advance warning).

 

((Entering into the realm of fantastical speculation, it would be a spectacular troll move to date No Way Home for next weekend just as The Batman opens in the States))

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8 hours ago, James said:

Does Fantastic Beasts 3 have a release date? Or has a chance of getting one?

Warner Bros. has been very good at getting release dates recently, as evidenced by Matrix Resurrections and The Batman. Also relevant, Harry Potter anchors one of the themed lands in the newly opened (and lavishly expensive) Universal Studios Beijing, a quick & easy subway ride from the heart of the Chinese government (the theme park is also the subject of several glowing articles about the potential of the Chinese theme park market in Chinese Communist Party tabloid Global Times, i.e., https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202109/1234298.shtml and https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1240411.shtml, indicating some level of support from the government; the park's Potter area is frequently mentioned when discussing the theme park).

 

TL; DR— The latest Fantastic Beasts should be a near-guarantee to secure a Chinese release. No guarantees of the movie going day-and-date, but I'll be shocked if the movie fails to make it to theaters in the People's Republic.

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No major new theatrical releases in China for the coming weekend, either foreign or domestic. Watergate Bridge and Too Cool to Kill should easily lead the weekend again, although overall grosses ought to be sad (last Saturday represented a mere ¥118 million; this Saturday might not even exceed ¥100 million (converts to $15.8 million)). Time to see whether the US/Canada has what it takes to surpass China's box office in 2022; seems a very realistic outcome.

 

Speaking of the dominant domestic releases, Watergate Bridge ought to cross ¥3.9 billion tomorrow (it's still pacing to cross ¥4 billion, thanks in part to the utterly pathetic lack of competition; Endgame ) and Too Cool to Kill is officially past ¥2.5 billion. Solid results for both movies, but massively underwhelming once compared to last year's top two Spring Festival releases, Hi Mom (a total of ¥5.4 billion) and Detective Chinatown 3 (a front-loaded ¥4.5 billion, but ¥4.5 billion all the same).

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DreamWorks Animation's The Bad Guys approved for Chinese release; in the animated realm, still no word on Pixar's Turning Red. At this point, definitely looks like Disney is on Beijing's bad side as they're just not securing favorable release dates.

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