China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Olive]

10 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

How much will batB make in total in China? 

650M yuan or 95m$

as for Kong IT May end up Around same range as RE 6 a la xXx3

[Cookson]

2 minutes ago, Olive said:

650M yuan or 95m$

as for Kong IT May end up Around same range as RE 6 a la xXx3

If that happens, 500m WW would be locked.

[Olive]

4 minutes ago, Olive said:

650M yuan or 95m$

as for Kong IT May end up Around same range as RE 6 a la xXx3

Uh, so many local movies next week, as you can see even they don't do well, they'll occupy a lot of screens.

BATB more likely aound 600M yuan/$ 85-90M

Kong 1-1.1B yuan depends on next week hold.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Mrstickball said:

Good start for Kong. I wonder what its Sat-Sun numbers are going to be. Are Chinese audiences enjoying the movie? 

Rating dropped to 8.4. PS at just 32. If 5x(never seen larger), just 160m for Saturday. Not a good bump. Front load.

Could be 145/160/110.  423m/$61 weekend.  Probably less than 2x OW. <$120m if it's a 160m Saturday. 

Edited March 24, 2017 by POTUS

[Olive]

Maoyan's Saturday prediction

Kong 184M

Beauty 38.9M

 

[bangbingchan]

25 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Rating dropped to 8.4. PS at just 32. If 5x(never seen larger), just 160m for Saturday. Not a good bump. Front load.

Could be 145/160/110.  423m/$61 weekend.  Probably less than 2x OW. <$120m if it's a 160m Saturday. 

Maoyan predict 180M for Saturday.

Maoyan change score system recently.

OD 4*Presale That's not bad.Not too frontload

Edited March 24, 2017 by bangbingchan

[StephenN18]

7 hours ago, Olive said:

RE6 ended its run yesterday with 2.35M daily..final total -1112M yuan(1036M without service fee)

Heard that many local campanies are quite Jealousy about its success, so Leomus  dare not to extend its run,

and John Wick 2 whose rights is with Leomus is also canceld.

 

Why have they stopped showing it? It would have grossed about $2-3 million more! How annoying when XXX is still being shown!

[Olive]

1 minute ago, StephenN18 said:

Why have they stopped showing it? It would have grossed about $2-3 million more! How annoying when XXX is still being shown!

The distributor didn't ask for extention, and one month is up.

[POTUS 2020]

7 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

Maoyan predict 180M for Saturday.

Maoyan change score system recently.

OD 4*Presale That's not bad.Not too frontload

You read that their algorithm changed?

PS are definitely different.  4x is the new 3 for OD. Sat was close to 5 for BATB instead of 4. Weekday are 6-8x now instead of 5.

[Olive]

OD excluding midnights should be over 148M yuan

[TigerPaw]

7 hours ago, StephenN18 said:

Why have they stopped showing it? It would have grossed about $2-3 million more! How annoying when XXX is still being shown!

Lol.   Even if they extend it for another month, RE6 will not beat xXx, gap is too big for the limited showtimes of both movies for any material changes in cumulative box office. In fact, RE6's 4th week still had 8 - 10% screentimes/showings in China, while xXx's 4th week only had 2.5% screen time yet RE6 couldn't catch up. 
There's a diffference in WOM, not significant, but definitely a difference. RE6 represents one of the worst legs for a Hollywood movie due to its big opening and insane amount of screentimes in its 1st running week, while xXx had great legs and beat a lot of expectations.

Edited March 25, 2017 by TigerPaw

[POTUS 2020]

1300

Kong at 60m running at 10.5 to 11m per hour. Add 50% for 3.5 hours for prime time. 

176m -182m. 5.3x PS 20% bump is a little better than RE6 but still frontloaded.

 

BatB will clear 40m for a 120%+ bump and will be close to a 100m weekend down 68%.  It will make 140m for the week thru thursday and total 560m. With holiday help it could hold -50% or better for the week taking it to 630m+. The following weekend may be quiet before the FF8 storm and another decent hold could occur. 660m+.

690m not impossible. 

 

Dog will bump 100% + today. Will reach 590m by Thursday.  It might clear 600m/$87m if it has any shows left next weekend.

Edited March 25, 2017 by POTUS

[fmpro]

18 minutes ago, POTUS said:

1300

Kong at 60m running at 10.5 to 11m per hour. Add 50% for 3.5 hours for prime time. 

176m -182m. 5.3x PS 20% bump is a little better than RE6 but still frontloaded.

 

BatB will clear 40m for a 120%+ bump and will be close to a 100m weekend down 68%.  It will make 140m for the week thru thursday and total 560m. With holiday help it could hold -50% or better for the week taking it to 630m+. The following weekend may be quiet before the FF8 storm and another decent hold could occur. 660m+.

690m not impossible. 

 

Dog will bump 100% + today. Will reach 590m by Thursday.  It might clear 600m/$87m if it has any shows left next weekend.

 

KK just bumped 7 mill in 1/2 hour 

[POTUS 2020]

18 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

KK just bumped 7 mill in 1/2 hour 

Matinees from 1-3pm swell a bit . I like using 12-1pm as a guide.  It'll fluctuate a little. I was a little short yesterday from the estimate, but commented a few percent higher was possible . The later matinees had a few thinking 150-160m. 

Look out for the fake out. 

[fmpro]

12 hours ago, Cookson said:

If that happens, 500m WW would be locked.

 

500 mill WW is locked no matter what. Before this weekend its at 190 mill OS and with China and Japan likely to gross 170-180 mill combined is safe to say that 400 mill OS is very possible and 550 mill WW is close to a lock

[fmpro]

6 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Matinees from 1-3pm swell a bit . I like using 12-1pm as a guide.  It'll fluctuate a little. I was a little short yesterday from the estimate, but commented a few percent higher was possible . The later matinees had a few thinking 150-160m. 

Look out for the fake out. 

 

Fair enough. Still 14 mill in the last hour gives 170-180 mill a chance IMO

[fmpro]

Around 100 mill at 4pm should happen.. Followed by 6 hours of 12 mill in avrg at minimum plus a few million from 10pm until midnight..

 

180 mill looks better and better by the hour

[efialtes76]

Almost 170M at 8:30PM.

[keysersoze123]

Kong close to 170m at 830PM. Should be good enough for 185m saturday as predicted by Maoyan.

[keysersoze123]

6 hours ago, POTUS said:

Matinees from 1-3pm swell a bit . I like using 12-1pm as a guide.  It'll fluctuate a little. I was a little short yesterday from the estimate, but commented a few percent higher was possible . The later matinees had a few thinking 150-160m. 

Look out for the fake out. 

 

 

Kong did almost 150m yesterday. Maoyan is currently saying OD gross is 149.33m.