China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[fmpro]

January total box office crossed 2.6B yuan / $419m, increasing 36%+ in RMB from the same month of 2014 (1.914B yuan).

Somewhere Only We Know (2.10), Xu Jinglei's big screen comeback in nearly four years, looks to be a rom-com smash. Tickets are being sold crazily in adavance. The flick might be the first local title of 2015 to pull 100m+ single day on Valentine's Day—its 5th day in release.

With SOWK and those Chinese New Year tentpoles, Febuary looks to be an epic month.

March and April seems strong, too, with Jupiter Ascending, Cinderella, Taken 3, Furious 7, Lost and Love, Let's Get Married, etc.

Wuzhou's Let's Get Married has just been moved up to Apr 2th, meaning Furious 7 will be delayed for a week ? We will see.

Of course Disney should try to release TA2 in April although that doesn't mean they have a great chance.

With Ever Since We Love (Apr 24, 400m), The Left Ear (Apr 30, 300m) and The Crossing II (Apr 30, 200m), the May holiday line-up is actually very weak. Film Bureau should be prepared for another declined Golden May Day if they are sure to push TA2 until the holiday is over. (Well, they probably dont care at all .... )

May and June will be big, with TA2, JW and Tomorrowland, nevertheless.

This summer—June, July and August's local language line-up looks to be even stronger than last year:

Tiny Times 4 > Tiny Times 3

Death Duel > The White Haired Witch of Lunar Kingdom

The House That Never Dies 2 > The House That Never Dies

Hollywood Adventures > The Continent

何以笙箫默 (whatever the English is ...) > Breakup Guru

And then 2015 still has Helios, Design for Living and others.

Problem is Summer's Hollywood line-up is weak, compared to last year, which had TF4. Especially if Film Bureau want MI5 to save September or October. So Summer total gross may not increase too much.

Thanks fd

2 questions

1) what are the potential for Taken 3 in china?

2) what are the chances for TA2 to be released in April?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

FRIDAY SHOWTIMES EST

 

Running Man 22.5% (Thu：34.8%)

 

An Inspector Calls 15% (NEW)

 

HOBBIT 3   13.4% (Thu:19.2%)

 

One Night Stud  10.6% (new)

 

Crazy New Year’s Eve 9.8% (new)

 

Mockingjay - Part 1 opens this Sunday, its rating is already under 6.0 on douban. 

 

Crazy New Year’s Eve to flop as expected .... haha

Boonie Bears less than 9% showtimes, LeVision's distributing is a total mess.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

Thanks fd

2 questions

1) what are the potential for Taken 3 in china?

2) what are the chances for TA2 to be released in April?

 

1)Piracy is hurting it so maybe $40m-ish

2)10% ?

[druv10]

   

1)Piracy is hurting it so maybe $40m-ish

2)10% ?

 

If TA2 got a late April release how high do you see it's potential?

[RaidensSword]

To anyone that may know, Has the Tiny Times series increased its box office with each sequel? Also is there a date or month for Jupiter Ascending pencilled in?

[Lihongkim]

To anyone that may know, Has the Tiny Times series increased its box office with each sequel? Also is there a date or month for Jupiter Ascending pencilled in?

The rom-com Tiny Times 4 is the final part of its series. Although Tiny Times 3 was selected as the worst movies 2014, its box office do $82m. So its final part should do at least more than $80M. it was reported that EXO Kris Wu was inserted in TT4. Look, rom-com is getting big in China box office now, so it will be possible to past $100M.

 

 Jupiter Ascending March 6th (through previous post).

Edited February 5, 2015 by Chhor Liheang

[RaidensSword]

The rom-com Tiny Times 4 is the final part of its series. Although Tiny Times 3 was selected as the worst movies 2014, its box office do $82m. So its final part should do at least more than $80M. it was reported that EXO Kris Wu was inserted in TT4. Look, rom-com is getting big in China box office now, so it will be possible to past $100M.

Jupiter Ascending March 6th (through previous post).

Thanks for the reply, im surprised its the final part, its been a lucrative series. So did TT3 make more than TT2? And did TT2 make more than TT1?

Totally missed the Jupiter post too. It's an ok date I suppose.

Edited February 5, 2015 by RaidensSword

[Bob Violence]

TT2 decreased from one, TT3 increased from both. TT4 is the last part because he's out of books (he already managed to get four films out of three books). But not to worry, Guo will continue to grace us with his cinematic genius, as he's preparing an original-to-the-screen sci-fi film that will supposedly star Zhao Wei, Huang Xiaoming, and Tong Dawei, every one of whom should know better.

 

The ending of TT4 should be hilarious if it follows the novels.

[fmpro]

 

 

1)Piracy is hurting it so maybe $40m-ish

2)10% ?

Thanks

[Leyla]

woooooo congrats to Botfa  

great milestone

My $104 mil prediction goes down

[RaidensSword]

TT2 decreased from one, TT3 increased from both. TT4 is the last part because he's out of books (he already managed to get four films out of three books). But not to worry, Guo will continue to grace us with his cinematic genius, as he's preparing an original-to-the-screen sci-fi film that will supposedly star Zhao Wei, Huang Xiaoming, and Tong Dawei, every one of whom should know better.

The ending of TT4 should be hilarious if it follows the novels.

Oh ok, that's an unusual pattern. Thanks for the information.

[Asyulus]

Is 150 mil for BOFA possible, and even 160, since it had great increases and drops despite the competition.

Edited February 5, 2015 by Sythus

[Asyulus]

1 billion WW for BOFA still on play.

For several reasons:

1. Great drops and weekend drops (despite heavy competition with Runner man)

2. China new year explodes this month, thus massively affecting BOFA box office. Just around 20 days left.

3. Warner Bros will use accounting magic to make BOFA earn over 1 billion, as a feel that it falls short of 1B.

4. Its next huge competition wont be until March.

5. Even more impressively, it has made 100 million yuan in just 12 days.

[Pypa94]

1 billion WW for BOFA still on play.

For several reasons:

1. Great drops and weekend drops (despite heavy competition with Runner man)

2. China new year explodes this month, thus massively affecting BOFA box office. Just around 20 days left.

3. Warner Bros will use accounting magic to make BOFA earn over 1 billion, as a feel that it falls short of 1B.

4. Its next huge competition wont be until March.

5. Even more impressively, it has made 100 million yuan in just 12 days.

5. 100 milion dollars

And I like your way of thinking ;p but THIS weekend and 2.10 will be most important in BOTFA run if can hold well who knows what's gonna happened

Edited February 5, 2015 by Pypa94

[Leyla]

 

Is 150 mil for BOFA possible, and even 160, since it had great increases and drops despite the competition.

 

lmao why lowballing

200m!

Edited February 5, 2015 by Lady of Lorien

[Asyulus]

lmao why lowballing

200m!

In USD?

[James]

 

 

 

lmao why lowballing

200m!

 

What is this nonsense? 300M or GTFO!

[Leyla]

What is this nonsense? 300M or GTFO!

 

400! & gtfo Optimus Prime

[Asyulus]

Ok, honestly your insanely crazy over predict it. 400 is not happening. I dont think so for 300. And i am not even sure his will make over 200

$160m is the more likely China cume for BOFA, because great drops since its release in China + China New Year coming this month,

Early predictions reckon $120m.

[Lihongkim]

The Hobbit 3 Friday showtimes down to 11%. 2 local movies up close to Running Man.