Weekend #s Hobbit 84.7 ROG 7.4 Linc 7.2 Sky 7.0 Pi 5.4 BD2 5.2 pg 90

[Mango]

So normal 3D only counted for 37% of the gross.

[Elessar]

:rofl:Elessar will you need counseling after that?

Eh, dickheads are everywhere you go. My skin is thick. Edited December 16, 2012 by Elessar

[GodIsCool]

The Hobbit's numbers are solid and overall very good. It should have good legs and $300 million is easily achievable. That said it really shouldn't have had a problem edging over $100 million. Return of the King's weekend gross is well over $90 million when adjusting, and that was with a Wednesday release. Being the prequel to one of the most beloved film trilogies in modern cinema as well as one of the most influential book series of all time in addition to having 3D and IMAX it should have at least matched that.

Not trying to be overly negative or anything because it's definitely a great starting number and could still have a great run ahead of it. But anyone trying to say this isn't at least a bit underwhelming is just in denial.

ROTK had the benefit of being the last film in the trilogy which increased demand dramatically just like ROTJ or ROTS or even HP7PII.

[CJohn]

The Hobbit will win again next weekend with 70M or so.

[GodIsCool]

$800m WW for Pacific Rim is the biggest number I expect, not more. But that would be enough to create a new big franchise, and PR2 could pass $1B. I hope it can be successful.

LOL. PR will be extremely lucky to make $400 million WW. No stars.GDT is not guaranteed box office.No brand recognition (ie, Transfomers)A lot of people think it looks silly.

[Fullbuster]

LOL. PR will be extremely lucky to make $400 million WW.No stars.GDT is not guaranteed box office.No brand recognition (ie, Transfomers)A lot of people think it looks silly.

Don't exaggerate, the BO isn't always so predictable. The Avengers 1st WW? Not expected? TDKR behind Avengers? Unexpected. Skyfall over $1B WW? Unexpected. And so on.I've some doubts about PR but I'll give it a chance.

[ChD]

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:$84,775,000 38.0%

Foreign:$138,200,000 62.0%

Worldwide: $222,975,000

Edited December 16, 2012 by ChD

[baumer]

It's hilarious in how ridiculous some people's prediction are rather than the film's gross.People expected it to double the December record?Clearly people with no grasp of the box office.

Right. Try telling that to Shawn, the editor of this site. Clearly he has no grasp of the box office, right?Just another bandwagon jumping, pompom waving, myopic, absent poster until the numbers come out poster who arrives just in time to tell everyone how stupid they all are for not seeing what you clearly saw, even though you have no prediction that any of us can see.Twit.

[ChD]

It's hilarious in how ridiculous some people's prediction are rather than the film's gross.People expected it to double the December record?Clearly people with no grasp of the box office.

prediction your what was, yoda master?

[baumer]

The Hobbit will win again next weekend with 70M or so.

An 18% drop?Wow, I'd be shocked if that happens. This is a sequel and its the last shopping weekend before Christmas.

[Jack Nevada]

An 18% drop?Wow, I'd be shocked if that happens. This is a sequel and its the last shopping weekend before Christmas.

Have you seen Hobbit yet?

[Olive]

Sometimes tracking numbers are illusive, which leads to lots of over-estimates

[cookie]

If next weekend was between christmas eve/day and New Year's that could be probable, but as of now 70m seems out of reach.

[baumer]

Have you seen Hobbit yet?

No, I'm going tomorrow night with 5 other guys from work.

[baumer]

2001 was the last time Christmas fell on a Tuesday, here are the drops for that weekend:http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2001&wknd=51&p=.htm

[baumer]

2001:

 

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count /Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring	NL	$47,211,490	-	3,359	-	$14,055	$75,129,468	$93	1
2	2	Ocean's Eleven	WB	$14,716,582	-33.3%	3,075	-	$4,785	$95,347,822	$85	3
3	N	Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius	Par.	$13,832,786	-	3,139	-	$4,406	$13,832,786	$30	1
4	1	Vanilla Sky	Par.	$12,076,661	-51.7%	2,744	+2	$4,401	$45,081,570	$68	2
5	N	How High	Uni.	$7,102,260	-	1,266	-	$5,610	$7,102,260	$20	1
6	4	Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone	WB	$7,092,906	-28.5%	3,311	-111	$2,142	$264,095,956	$125	6
7	3	Not Another Teen Movie	Sony	$5,250,880	-58.4%	2,365	-	$2,220	$21,404,064	$15	2
8	N	The Majestic	WB	$4,904,339	-	2,361	-	$2,077	$4,904,339	$72	1
9	6	Monsters, Inc.	BV	$3,801,516	-23.7%	2,097	-365	$1,812	$224,450,540	$115	8
10	N	Joe Somebody	Fox	$3,553,725	-	2,506	-	$1,418	$3,553,725	$38	1
11	5	Behind Enemy Lines	Fox	$3,198,907	-40.9%	1,808	-984	$1,769	$43,826,619	$40	4
12	15	The Royal Tenenbaums	BV	$1,268,860	+358.1%	40	+35	$31,721	$1,759,964	$21	2

 

[baumer]

So a 18% drop for the Hobbit, imo, is very unlikely.

[CJohn]

2001 was the last time Christmas fell on a Tuesday, here are the drops for that weekend:http://boxofficemojo...&wknd=51&p=.htm

Harsh drops...

[baumer]

Harsh drops...

Not really, not sure if you are being serious....but maybe a 30% drop might be more realistic.

[Olive]

40% or so drop next weekend