Heretic Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Uh-uh. Doesn't work like that. Twilight's fanbase is HUGE, but, it's also extremely consistent. An extra 30m in ticket sales isn't going to magically appear for the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Ok, I did just find my major flaw in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Ok, I did just find my major flaw in that.**flaws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Also, Robert, DH2 had 3D going for it. I'm not sure how much of a finale factor effect BD2 will have. I know it will be there, but will it be big enough. I think the goal should be DH2's OD. And, I think that is going to be very tough to achieve. And, no way does it get a $169 OW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Also, Robert, DH2 had 3D going for it. I'm not sure how much of a finale factor effect BD2 will have. I know it will be there, but will it be big enough. I think the goal should be DH2's OD. And, I think that is going to be very tough to achieve. And, no way does it get a $169 OW.3D was one of the flaws I found.That, and the fact that the IMs of Potter and Twilight are too different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 The maximum I see is 80m. The finale factor will be almost non-existent. It'll just be a little more frontloaded, if that's even possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 UPDATED: The Summit pic earned a stellar $72 million Friday in North America, while it has grossed another $66 million overseas; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ariadne Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 UPDATED: The Summit pic earned a stellar $72 million Friday in North America, while it has grossed another $66 million overseas; How does that compare to New Moon or Eclipse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Jesus.Why? Didn`t DH2 make, like, $200 mio OS in first 3 days or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Why? Didn`t DH2 make, like, $200 mio OS in first 3 days or something?314m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 314m. Jesus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 How does that compare to New Moon or Eclipse? I don't know. We don't even know as of what day the figure is for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 I don't know. We don't even know as of what day the figure is for. Or how many countries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrWhoopee Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 I remember saying on the first few pages of the TF3/DH2 battlegrounds thread that DH2 would make a half a billion dollars after opening weekend... Pointman proceeded to tell me I was stupid and my prediction was laughable at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Or how many countries.54 territories. But again we don't know if all have reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 When do the first saturday estimates come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 Tomorrow. $66 mio does not include Saturday. It`s too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 20, 2011 Author Share Posted November 20, 2011 In a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted November 20, 2011 Share Posted November 20, 2011 (edited) So after reading Shawn's theory about Wednesday openers (in which he says the 4 day is a good indicator of what the film would've made on a conventional 3 day weekend), I'm estimating that Eclipse would've opened to $144.3m. Then, I took the midnight out of the total gross for NM and Eclipse, then did the same with their respective OW figures. New Moon: 116.6 OW, 270.4 Total Eclipse: 114.2 OW, 270.4 Total Now, I calculated the overall multiplier using these figures, what I call the adjusted multiplier, and they were remarkably similar New Moon: 2.32 Eclipse: 2.37 Average: 2.345 Now I take Breaking Dawn's OW estimate of $139m and subtract the midnights for an adjusted weekend of $109m. Applying the multiplier to this weekend figure yields $255.6m. Now, adding in the midnight figure gives an expected 285.6m Edited November 20, 2011 by spizzer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
