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baumer

BSG KITIK WINS!!

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So did anyone get Bonus 3 correct?

 

nope

 

 

NNNY - Cmasterclay, druv10, baumer, 24Lost, Telemachos, Goffe

NYNN - ChD, Dexter, Ice Minions, MovieMan89

YNNN - CJohn

 

 

 

The correct answers were: NNYY

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Okay, I see tons of people have posted their top 15 lists over the past day or two. As with most folks, mine had some good guesses, and some terrible ones. (I think I guessed 215 for Lone Ranger!!!!!)

 

But my first question is, what will the actual top 15 be?

 

Right now, here is my guess:

(locks for the top 15 are in bold)

 

1. Iron Man 3 - 409

2. DM2 - 350 (or thereabouts)

3. MOS - 297

4. Monsters U - 270

5. F&F6 - 239

6. STID - 229

7. WWZ - 205-210

8. The Heat - 155

9. Wolverine - 100-180????

10. Gatsby - 144

11. Grown Ups 2 - 120???

12. NYSM - 119

13. Smurfs 2 - 100-140????

14. PacRim - 110-115???

15. Hangover 3 - 111

 

 

16. Epic - 105

17. TITE - 98

18. Lone Ranger - 97

19. WHD - 80

20. Turbo/The Conjuring/RIPD/Red2/Elysium/2 Guns/Percy Jackson/etc. - ???????????

 

 

Obviously I'm just guessing for stuff like PacRim, GU2, Smurfs, and Wolverine.

 

WHD (and After Earth and anything lower) is definitely out of the top 15. There is a 0% chance for WHD. Even if Wolverine and Smurfs and everything else flops.

 

TITE or Lone Ranger could still sneak in, but they're going to need horrible legs for PacRim and flops for just about everything else. (Not that $90 million for stuff like 2 Guns/Red2/Conjuring would be a "flop", but you get the point.)

 

On the other hand, I don't think Hangover 3 is a lock for the top 15 either, it could join Epic in the $100M-but-on-the-outside-looking-in club. If Wolverine, Smurfs, GU2, and PacRim all beat it, all we need is one of the other films from Elysium/2Guns/Turbo etc to beat 111, and Hangover will be out of the top 15.

 

I don't even have NYSM as a lock for the top 15 yet (though I think the odds are pretty good). If Smurfs/Wolverine/GU2/PacRim can all beat it (which I'll admit is more unlikely than likely), then all you'd need would be 2 from the Turbo/Elysium/etc group to beat it, and we'd have a situation where 120M would not be enough to get you into the top 15 for the summer.

 

 

 

okay, updating my projections for the top 15, let's go with:

 

 

 

1. Iron Man 3 - 409

2. DM2 - 350

3. MOS - 293

4. Monsters U - 270

5. F&F6 - 239

6. STID - 228

7. WWZ - 207

8. The Heat - 160

9. Wolverine - 100-170????

10. Gatsby - 144

11. Grown Ups 2 - 125

12. NYSM - 118

13. Smurfs 2 - 100-130????

14. The Conjuring - 115???

15. Hangover 3 - 112

 

 

16. Epic - 106

17. PacRim - 104?

18. TITE - 98

19. Lone Ranger - 94

20. Turbo/Planes/Elysium/2 Guns/Percy Jackson/etc. - ???????????

 

 

Please note that these are just my guesses right now.

 

-I wouldn't completely remove Turbo from contention just yet. It could have a very good hold this weekend. A total in the 90's is still very much a possibility, and 100 could happen with some good animated legs.

 

-Red 2 and RIPD are joining WHD and the others in the discard pile though.

 

-It remains to be seen what type of legs The Conjuring will have. I listed it at 115 above, but being a horror movie, it's not even a lock for 100. But if it has really good legs like I hope it will, it could end up closer to 140.

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Bonus 1: 41,855,326 - Filmovie (41.678) 5000 points

Bonus 2: 93,907,778 - druv10 (93.871) 0 points (points negated due to bonus 3)

 

Bull crap.  :sadno:  :sadno:  :sadno: 

 

Risk taking bites back, again. This game can be very cruel at times.  :sadno:  :sadno:

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Just a bit of fun to pass the time..

 

If later the evening Baumer went insane and demanded we predict our top 12 for BSG 2015 right now, what do you think your list would look like at this firstest of first impressions stage?

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