Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 4, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 4, 2013 I think some people are going to be surprised @ just how big Thor 2 is gonna get. It's certainly gonna get a bigger Avengers boost than Cap bcos of how crazy many have gotten for Thorki. Fair point in the first sentence--if any movie is going to see a major Avengers boost, so long as WOM is good, Thor stands to gain more percentage-wise. lolz Has Thorki mania really crawled out beyond the the depth of Tumblr or is it just a few thousand pervs on the internet pushing that agenda? No friggin' way. That's a sure way to kill family interest in America--especially outside big cities. So when I make my Pacific Rim over 4 Multiplier Club, you're in? If you're basing it an opening of $60m or less...yep, probably. Wow....everyone was out watching Avengers instead of posting on a message board. So what that does say about this weekend? For IM2 however, even though it was incredibly mediocre, It was less divisive than IM3 has been. I think that's pretty spot-on so far. Still an evolving thing, though. I saw it a 2nd time today and when you know the twist, it really takes away from the repeat viewing factor. I'm hoping I enjoy it more the second time since I expected a completely different 3rd act going in. Actually there are three. The haters, the fanboys and the sane. This, good sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Has anyone been saying it'll have long legs? I don't think there's a camp that's argued against short legs hahaThe most I can see for legs is a 2.5 internal multiplier. Competitions are just too much, and TC/screen counts will be hit hard come Memorial Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 4, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 4, 2013 Has anyone been saying it'll have long legs? I don't think there's a camp that's argued against short legs haha True. At this point, I think it's coming down to one question: $400 million or no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 True. At this point, I think it's coming down to one question: $400 million or no?Nopity nope. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) Has anyone been saying it'll have long legs? I don't think there's a camp that's argued against short legs hahaI mean short short like under IM2 short legs.http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/file.php?40,file=11425,filename=chris-cooley-short-shorts.jpg Edited May 4, 2013 by Mattrek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 So anything above 55M is good for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Nopity nope. Don't make me post a Michelle Monaghan gif! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 RTH IS HERE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 True. At this point, I think it's coming down to one question: $400 million or no? No. Still big though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 4, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 4, 2013 Nopity nope. Agreed. I'm thinking a multiplier right in between IM2 and SM3 for the moment. I really am not seeing a definitive swing in terms of WOM yet, but at this point, I think most of us agree that even if IM3's WOM is a bit stronger than IM2 it will be the competition that negates that this time. Ah, the fun of summer extrapolation. How I've missed thee. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Rth the God is here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I mean short short like under IM2 short legs.http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/file.php?40,file=11425,filename=chris-cooley-short-shorts.jpg Probably. It's burned off more demand up-front. IM2 legs would still take it to 400M off a 165 weekend, by the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) DP stupid phone. Edited May 4, 2013 by Mattrek 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 4, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 4, 2013 Well, it's certainly not the 185-200M OW I predicted, but I'll take it for a movie that was damn good for a 3rd solo movie.. Now when do I change my signature since I lost or should I wait??? Respect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Well, it's certainly not the 185-200M OW I predicted, but I'll take it for a movie that was damn good for a 3rd solo movie.. Now when do I change my signature since I lost or should I wait??? You don't really need to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 The most I can see for legs is a 2.5 internal multiplier. Competitions are just too much, and TC/screen counts will be hit hard come Memorial Day.That and it loses IMAX in 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Probably. It's burned off more demand up-front. IM2 legs would still take it to 400M off a 165 weekend, by the way Yup. Tricky thing for IM3 is competition. It's much tougher over the next month and a half than it was in 2010 for IM2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Probably. It's burned off more demand up-front.IM2 legs would still take it to 400M off a 165 weekend, by the wayI expect it to hit 167m this weekend and go under IM2 legs to about 380 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I don't think it'll do worse than IM2's multiplier, even with all the competition. The virtue of it being a lot funnier is going to go a ways with audiences, IMO. Star Trek is seeming like weaker competition the closer we get to its release date, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ent Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) See that's why I'm in the camp of short legs for the film. It has insane competition and even those who like it say it's good, not OMG this is the best movie ever!!!! There will be few repeat viewings and with this post we know another answer to BSG. 150 pages baby whoot! The insane competition is more about its competitors between themselves than IM3 against them since it will have reached or nearly reach $300 millions domestic by the time STID comes into the picture (whatever its own reception) and will probably hit 1 billion ww, soon after, before FF6 is released. And it's even worst for its competitors abroad, since FF6, HGIII , AE, STID (for non English speakon markets) and MOS, are all released nearly at the same time unlike IM3 that has 4 weeks abroad with no competition bar STID in the UK and Australia next week. Edited May 4, 2013 by Ent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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