China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

@POTUS, are you taking into account the may day weekend effect during its 3rd weekend. It will still be grossing big money. if it can stay ahead of all other movies by the time Guardians 2 opens, it will continue to keep few thousand screens beyond that as well.

May day should be a big help. Held -27% last time. FF7 made 1.4b from the start of the second weekend on after a 115m Thursday.   If FF8 drops 15% daily Thursday will be 96m at 1.84b total. If it mirrored % holds going forward it would just make it to 3b by making 1.17b more. However there has been more demand burn with FF8 having a full OW and it may not hold as well by may day as FF7 did.. 12% average daily holds this week would lock up 3b no problem

Edited April 18, 2017 by POTUS

[fmpro]

85 mill at 7pm. Big drop coming up

[jiangsen]

@ChinaBoxOffice

FURIOUS 8 earned est. ¥118M/¥112M ($17.1M/$16.3M) on Tuesday incl/wo ticket fees. China's total is now ¥1.615B/¥1.524B ($234.6M/$221.4M)

Edited April 18, 2017 by jiangsen

[jiangsen]

Tuesday Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  112.35m / 1.524b (-26% from Monday actuals of 150.9m)
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  7.89m / 117.3m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.71m / 1.092b
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.65m / 186.3m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  118m / 1.615b (-26% from Monday actuals of 158.6m)
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  8.5m / 127.3m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.75m / 1.156b
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.69m / 197.8m

 

Edited April 18, 2017 by jiangsen

[Gavin Feng]

1 minute ago, jiangsen said:

Tuesday Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  112.35m / 1.524b
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  7.89m / 117.3m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.71m / 1.092b
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.65m / 186.3m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  118m / 1.615b
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  8.5m / 127.3m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.75m / 1.156b
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.69m / 197.8m

Huge drop today...

[Mrstickball]

26% drop from Monday... Quite high. Hopefully it shores up its numbers soon. I guess when you're in uncharted territory in terms of monies, we have to throw out assumptions.

Edit: What's up with the Maoyan number for Tuesday? Its notably higher than these estimates, as its at 123m with 30 minutes left of tracking.

Edited April 18, 2017 by Mrstickball

[Agafin]

Is that the biggest Monday to Tuesday drop ever (outside of holiday Mondays)? FF8 seems to be more front loaded than Warcraft so far, despite having good WOM.

 

Monday however benefitted from spillover so no conclusion can be made from that number alone. If Tuesday drops by another 20%, then that could put beating FF7 (sans service charge) in jeopardy

[jiangsen]

Maoyan is predicting 110 million for tomorrow which would be a much softer 7% decline from today if 118 million holds up as accurate. Interestingly, they are still predicting a total of 3.148 billion despite Monday's larger-than-expected drop.

[John Marston]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-sets-release-dates-pirates-5-transformers-5-wonder-woman-more-995020?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thr%2Ffilm+(The+Hollywood+Reporter+-+Movies)#filmmaking

 

 

 

so looks like GOTG, Pirates, Wonder Woman and TF will release same release date as US

[NoobSaibot]

21 minutes ago, John Marston said:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-sets-release-dates-pirates-5-transformers-5-wonder-woman-more-995020?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thr%2Ffilm+(The+Hollywood+Reporter+-+Movies)#filmmaking

 

 

 

so looks like GOTG, Pirates, Wonder Woman and TF will release same release date as US

 

That's absolutely nuts. I know TF will be king on that day, but I'm curious to see how much the other movies will suffer.

[John Marston]

Just now, NoobSaibot said:

 

That's absolutely nuts. I know TF will be king on that day, but I'm curious to see how much the other movies will suffer.

 

 

 

no what I mean is that they will have the same release date as the US release date. Not that they are all releasing the same day

[NoobSaibot]

32 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

 

no what I mean is that they will have the same release date as the US release date. Not that they are all releasing the same day

 

Oh, I completely misread that. Oops.

[HesAPooka]

Alien, Pirates, Mummy, Wonder Woman, Transformers secure release dates in China.

https://www.comicbookmovie.com/wonder_woman/wonder-woman-the-mummy-potc-5-alien-covenant-transformers-5-secure-day-and-date-china-release-dates-a150429?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=facebook

[Momo]

Wow, May going to be brutual. I feel bad for GOTG. Going to be hard for it to have long staying power with movies following it weeks later.

Edited April 18, 2017 by Momo

[POTUS 2020]

I think with the Chinese rushing to see the new movie out, more so than DOM and the complete opposite of Japan, and the over build of soon to be 50k screens we may see a one week market shaping up. Less likely to have -40-60% WoW holds with the amount of seats a big release gets. 

[POTUS 2020]

FF7 skewed older, it bumped less than 30/60% on fri/sat unlike SH movies at 40/80%

FF8						FF7
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	415			474	69
Sat	481	15.9%		955	139	50
Sun	380	-21.0%		1335	194	348			398	64
Mon	159	-58.2%		1494	217	185	-46.8%		583	94
Tues	116	-27.0%		1610	234	167	-9.7%		750	121
Wed						137	-18.0%		887	143
Thur						115	-16.1%		1002	162
Fri						142	23.8%		1144	185
Sat						226	59.0%		1371	221
Sun						185	-18.1%	-46.7%	1556	251
Mon						73	-60.6%	-60.5%	1629	263
Tue						65	-11.0%	-61.1%	1694	273
Wed						52	-19.4%	-61.8%	1747	282
Thu						45	-14.1%	-60.9%	1792	289
Fri						59	31.1%	-58.6%	1851	298
Sat						92	55.1%	-59.6%	1942	313
Sun						69	-24.2%	-62.6%	2012	324
Mon						27	-61.4%	-63.3%	2038	329
Tue						26	-1.5%	-59.4%	2065	333
Wed						24	-10.2%	-54.8%	2088	337
Thu						31	32.5%	-30.2%	2120	342
.
Fri						67	114.6%	14.2%	2187	353
Sat						67	-0.6%	-26.8%	2254	364
Sun						39	-41.8%	-43.8%	2293	370
									2426	390.7

 

[fmpro]

15 hours ago, jiangsen said:

Maoyan is predicting 110 million for tomorrow which would be a much softer 7% decline from today if 118 million holds up as accurate. Interestingly, they are still predicting a total of 3.148 billion despite Monday's larger-than-expected drop.

 

Looks like 116 mill was the number for tuesday according to maoyan..

 

Big drop coming today again. Its running almost 25% behind yesterday

[abra]

 

I think the weekend will show where you can run to end FF8

[fmpro]

5 minutes ago, abra said:

 

I think the weekend will show where you can run to end FF8

 

Maybe. But signs are saying OW*2

[druv10]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

 

Maybe. But signs are saying OW*2

Yeah, even with great score on Maoyan holds have been pretty mediocre. I guess movies have an upper limit in China as well. It has burned off too much demand over the first 4 days to maintain normal drops, I was hoping for 3B. At this point, I don't see that happening, more like 2.7-2.8B.

Edited April 19, 2017 by druv10