Jump to content

keysersoze123

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    16,542

  • Joined

  • Days Won

    94

 Content Type 

Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    F2 will make lots of money in Korea. That is given. Already looking at PS its behaving like a hyped sequel. I doubt it will behave anything like the 1st movie(which was flat 1st 4 weeks or so). That said it should hit the frontloadedness of Marvel mega blockbuster either. I think hitting 1st movie gross requires into the unknown becoming another Let it go. Only time will tell if that will happen.
  2. keysersoze123
    Doctor Sleep Previews AMC - 24179/144214 345520.08 (783 shows) Cin - 16670/150515 $192489 (893 shows) Very strong finish. I think 1.5m previews should happen and then there is early access screenings. I feel 2m+ including that should happen. SInce I dont know how wide that was, its hard to predict that number. I will update this post when I get PS for OD. May be this could do slightly better than what I thought this afternoon. All the movies this weekend are tough to predict just with PS. Doctor Sleep OD AMC OD - 16976/361134 247643.18 ( 1931 shows ) Cin OD - 9925/299971 $106487 (1742 shows) Last week Dark Fate had 61K PS between 2 chains and sold only 225K in total. Insanely frontloaded. I think Doctor Sleep should do better. I am hoping at least 6x and 150K finish or more. I think 6m OD(without previews) and low 20's OW can happen conservatively Let us see if it can over perform and hit 25m OW. This is the only opener I am gonna track OD.
  3. keysersoze123
    I think google captcha 2 is ok. its just selecting a check box and you can proceed to next page. the other one where you are forced to select specfic parts of image is impossible to automate. But you may not come to that with Selenium anyway. I have a feeling you will be the last man standing when it comes to macro tracking. So this fandango one would be really great.
  4. keysersoze123
    Midway Previews AMC Prev - 14597/75386 $204838 (540 shows) Cin Prev - 8417/72163 $92193 (582 shows) Terrific increase at Cinemark and not so good at AMC. So its not playing well in NYC. Still its just over 1/3rd of Dark Fate preview numbers and slightly under that when compared to Zombieland. Gemini Man also did insanely well at AMC big cities especially Imax/PLF. But did very badly elsewhere. Still its close to half of Gemini Man. Assuming all small chains over perform for Midway I could see this hit 1m previews. OW probable 10-12x that. So this final push might ensure double digit OW.
  5. keysersoze123
    That is great. But can Selenium handle a captcha page if it comes to it.
  6. keysersoze123
    Not too well for sure. I dont know why AMC is putting Frozen shows behind a redirection. Even through browser at times I get a captcha and even a page where I have to select multiple things(like all traffic signals or bikes). So I am not convinced this is sustainable. But let us make hay while the sun shines. I was kidding about Sacremento. I am thinking picking top 20 cities for BO and 10 theaters each per city. But not AMC/Cinemark for now. That should give very good perspective into the movies BO.
  7. keysersoze123
    Playing With Fire Previews. AMC - 8705/91554 105529.02 (overall 762 shows) CIN - 7620/93952 $81730 (773 shows) AMC Increase not as good as Last Christmas but Cinemark did even better than Last Christmas did !!! Still numbers are too low. Unlike Last Christmas I am not expecting this to have a good OW. Most Probably sub 10m OW.
  8. keysersoze123
    Yes. 7 hours is too much. One way is pick a sample of theaters say 200 across different cities to get a diverse sample. I like drafthouse theaters as they are dominant outside NYC/LA/SF and generally do very well. May be few Drafthouse, regal and if possible few showcase/marcus but not all of them. Anything more than an hour is not practical. Can you run multiple in parallel? Is it possible to spawn multiple Selenium instances. How about this. https://simpleprogrammer.com/parallel-testing-selenium-webdriver-automation-steroids/ I wonder what @Porthos or other regulars feel? We can ignore Sacremento for sure as he is there to cover it 🙂
  9. keysersoze123
    At least walk ins are really good. I have a feeling it will do better than what PS is saying bcos its not PS driven at all. Update Last Christmas Previews AMC Prev - 498 shows 10238/63635 131428.67 Cin Prev - 8417/72163 $92193 (582 shows) Still not enough to hit 1m previews but it portends well for the weekend. I wonder if it can hit high teens or more this weekend.
  10. keysersoze123
    I Hope this breaks out. Its boring that after Joker BO has been really dull. We need both F2, Jumanji 2 and SW9 breaking out big.
  11. keysersoze123
    Both Mal 2 and Joker will have worse weekly drops compared to today as last thursday both of them went up quite a bit and end up ahead of Monday if I am not wrong!!! But increases tomorrow should hopefully be better. That said I am feeling little impact to them due to openers today.
  12. keysersoze123
    If anyone is wondering how other openers are doing, not good at all. I dont see any of them hitting even 1m previews. Order is Midway>last christmas> Playing with fire for previews but last christmas could squeak over Midway for OW.
  13. keysersoze123
    Doctor Sleep(Mid day Thursday Update) AMC Prev - 15375/143523(778 shows) $224076 Cin Prev - 7416/150635(891 shows) $86069 Good news is it increased a lot from yesterday(65%+ in AMC and almost double at Cin). Bad news is this number is still very low. Zombieland sold 43K at AMC and 27K at Cin. So even if Doctor Sleep increases another 50% from here(which is more than tickets sold since yesterday) before day's end it will end up half of Zombieland. I am thinking $1-1.25m for thursday numbers plus whatever early screenings did. I dont have any numbers for that but quick anecdotal check showed it sold well. Overall Previews probably around $2m. May be this will be insanely backloaded. So I looked at Day 1 PS. Doctor Sleep Day 1 PS AMC OD - 12648/358673(1914 shows) $185612 Cin OD - 7356/300081(1742 shows) $78406 That is not great either. I am thinking it will start national PS at around 1m at this rate. So does not look like it will hit double digit OD barring crazy walkins. I am feeling sub 25m OW at this point. But let us see how things go.
  14. keysersoze123
    This almost was in line with my AMC data which showed 12% drop from Monday. But key factor is its only 34% below last week and so no concern despite heavy tue/wed drop(that was bcos of crazy tuesday increase).
  15. keysersoze123
    Unfortunately no full AMC data for Frozen but I got data for 35 shows in NYC. Its not great. Well below TLK or Joker. Beyond these I see 2 3D shows listed as sellouts at 19th Street but I guess that is glitch as the 2d shows have sold very little. Similarly 6PM Imax at Lincoln Square is missing. Either that is a sellout(I did not see it listed) or it could be listed at a later date. Of course there is a possibility of group booking entire screen but I dont know Plexes will do that for Prime time PLF shows on Previews.
  16. keysersoze123
    Sometimes it errors out for me. But it makes little difference when you track 1000's of shows. Roughly 5-10% of shows dont return data. Plus to speed up I split and scrap 10 shows in parallel and so it runs in under 10 minutes. Plain bash script.
  17. keysersoze123
    Can you also start to add T-15 comps as well. That is especially important once we are in last 10 days of PS.
  18. keysersoze123
    Quick Update on SW Previews. AMC prev - 267136/843148 3996668.19 (5040 shows) Cin prev - 168028/439823 $2169868 (2971 shows) Both AMC and Cinemark are chugging along selling around 1200-1300 tickets per day. Show counts are just trickling up at this point. I guess this will be the case until final burst around 10 days to release.
  19. keysersoze123
    Yes. Generally that is good range unless drops are so good that its gonna go higher(Venom) or there is holiday boost(Aquaman).Sadly nothing gonna prevent Dark Fate from meeting its end
  20. keysersoze123
    I can say for sure at AMC, Dolby way more popular than Imax even in plexes with big Imax screens(not lie max). Picture is brighter and sound is better at Dolby despite having smaller screen. Reason why Imax popularity is not at the same level when TDK/Avatar were released bcos they were the only players and there were under 100 of them(TDK only had 63). So people used to travel long distances to watch in Imax. I remember traveling 50 miles to watch at Jordan Imax at Reading MA in mid 2000's. Now your neighborhood Plex has a Dolby then its hard to stand apart. That said I dont see same level of demand at Regal RPX or Cinemark XD. There are others like 270 ScreenX and Samsung Onx(which uses Microled screens and so no projection). But they are in early days yet.
  21. keysersoze123
    Great hold for Joker. 29% off from last wednesday and 3% drop from Monday. Mal 2 dropped 12% from Monday and around 36% from last wednesday. Early check for showtimes for friday is similar to how its today. But that is 20% down for Joker and around 25% down for Mal 2. Still should not affect either movies having good holds this weekend. All the openers look to underperform based on PS at AMC/Cin so far.
  22. keysersoze123
    Frozen 2 (T-15) Cin previews - 25034/381687 $307960 2381 shows (+3054) Cin D1 - 37383/735671 $399435 4342 shows (+5089) Cin D2 - 45321/733483 $432392 4355 shows (+6367) Cin D3 - 23143/730556 $213233 4311 shows (+3110) Overall - +17621 WOW. That is crazy good. PS for OD and D2 are on steroids. Based on these numbers breakout is confirmed. its numbers on Thanksgiving/BF confirms it will have a good 2nd weekend. Thanksgiving is 45% of Opening Sunday and Black Friday is almost matching that despite fewer shows. I wish AMC also would start to work and we get complete picture. But Floor would be like 125m. But it could be lot higher once AMC is on board.
  23. keysersoze123
    We need it with all the pretty tables. surprised to see you not do it for the movie that you are most hyped for. But take rest. i can understand how DST change will affect. I am sleeping earlier but still waking up at the same time 🙂
  24. keysersoze123
    No. I was talking about theaters/shows. Numbers are inline.
  25. keysersoze123
    I got it slightly different when I ran it earlier this afternoon. Cin Thanksgiving - 9032/560902 3128 shows Cin Black Friday - 8032/436521 2398 shows Do you count only theaters or actual shows as well
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept