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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    What is crazy is elections happened in Virginia, Kentucky and Mississippi. Virginia should have some impact being close to DC. But Kentucky and Mississippi !!!!
  2. keysersoze123
    I don’t think 2x is possible. Its probably losing 2/3 shows this Friday. So will drop big this weekend. Probably won’t gross much from week 3 onwards.
  3. keysersoze123
    I just consolidated preview numbers for all 3 openers as none of them look like breaking out. Sleep wont even do half of what Zombieland did few weeks ago and Midway and Last Christmas numbers are just margin of error !!!! SInce sleep had previews last week and if I am not wrong it sold well, I am expecting 1.8-2m previews including that early access numbers. Other 2 movies wont even hit 1m.
  4. keysersoze123
    I would wait for Wednesday number before saying that.
  5. keysersoze123
    There was definitely significant impact based on what I saw at AMC. Mal 2 sold 247% more tickets while last week was around 180%. Joker just about doubled last tuesday while this week it sold 143% more. May be people vote and then go to movies plus leverage the discount tickets
  6. keysersoze123
    There is some spin in that report. Only thing I can think off is most Cinemark sales are happening through Fandango. I believe you can still get points for theater membership and fandango points. Reality is its way behind TLK at major plexes I can see. AMC is twice as big as Cinemark and so impact of underperformance there will hit harder than over performance at Cinemark. But its still early days yet. I am definitely sure there will be ramp up at AMC. Also Cinemark is excellent. Its targeting another 15K+ tickets for the day. I am thinking it will keep selling 60% of previous day for next couple of days and then settle down at around 2-3K per day until final push happens. Mal 2 did 2.3m previews with 31733 at cinemark. F2 will need 4.5x that number to hit 10m previews(I am thinking even for previews there will be few more children tickets for F2 than Mal 2). It currently at 23315 but there is a long road ahead and its definitely possible to finish at 140K in cinemark by release day.
  7. keysersoze123
    Cine-directors is predicting 35% drop for Joker and 60% drop for Mal 2!!!! Were there any school breaks until last week that helped Mal 2 and now suddenly it will have a huge drop.
  8. keysersoze123
    AT this point I think its underperforming in NYC/SF. But I would like to see an update from @TalismanRing who tracks NYC very close across multiple theaters. Did she post an update for F2 so far.
  9. keysersoze123
    Can you tell us how Regal is doing relative to Cinemark.
  10. keysersoze123
    Can you tell how many Century/Cinemark theaters you track and how about rest AMC/Regal/Showcase etc.
  11. keysersoze123
    one of the best AMC for frozen is AMC Dine in in Orlando which is near DIsney world. But Frozen is not filling up the shows it has even in busiest plexes in NYC which is strange. So its nothing about AMC being anti disney. Just looks like they dont believe in it having big previews and is more of a saturday movie. I have feeling it will have really soft previews good OD and big jump on saturday(like 50%) and still have good OW. So nothing like how TS4 or TLK behaved in summer.
  12. keysersoze123
    3423 and 3526. Fairly similar to how Maleficent 2 show count. Joker had more but that should be caught up by release time. SW9 is 50% more already.
  13. keysersoze123
    Empire(6 shows) has sold 334/1810 while Lincoln Square(only 3 shows) is at 113/1164. Both are ridiculously low. I just quoted TLK post of @captainwondyful at around similar point. More than tickets sold, its number of seats available which is flabbergasting. AMC at a national level based on sample data I have seen is at mid single digit previews just from show count perspective !!!!!
  14. keysersoze123
    Good news is its not tanking. So I would say 1.8x OW finish.
  15. keysersoze123
    I got data only for 335 out of 1491 preview shows at AMC and intial numbers are at 4235/68679. That is not good Having just under 1491 shows is really low. Joker had around 3500 preview shows. Let us see how things go over next week or so and I hope I can get data for all of them.
  16. keysersoze123
    I doubt it takes that long. It should do it by next weekend. Domestic holds should continue to be very good. Nothing big is releasing and it has adequate shows to continue having soft drops. I am expecting domestic itself to add 20-25m over 2 weeks. OS should do the rest.
  17. keysersoze123
    Do you have T-16 numbers comparisons as well.
  18. keysersoze123
    How about XR impact and 3D ratios compared to 2012. Would that increase/decrease the gross in $ terms.
  19. keysersoze123
    Frozen 2 (T-16) Cin Prev - 21980/382140 2384 shows (+4466) Cin OD - 32294/735671 4342 shows (+7106) Cin D2 - 38954/733103 $370860 4355 shows (+8526) Cin D3 - 20033/730619 $185432 4312 shows (+4332) Overall +24436 Awesome day indeed. It slowed down but selling almost 25k tickets for OW is great. Unfortunately AMC is still putting requests through a queue and so I would like to wait until I get those before making any prediction.
  20. keysersoze123
    Discount Tuesdays are crazy. Mal2 is dropping under 21% from last tuesday and up 247% from yesterday at AMC !!!!! Jokah is down under 24% and up 143% from yesterday !!!! But this is just one chain and there is also % of discount tickets could vary. So YMMV. Edit: just to confirm these are raw ticket numbers. movies are not increasing 247% in gross 🙂 Weekly drops could given an indication.
  21. keysersoze123
    FYI I asked Corpse about potential of F2 in Japan. This was his response. So the big question is will into the unknown become another Let it go. Or will another song in the movie hit the perfect storm. SInce the sountrack is releasing a week early, we will know how things go there by the time the movie opens.
  22. keysersoze123
    http://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findRealTicketList.do
  23. keysersoze123
    Thank you. It should have faster pace with fewer days of Presales. So if you can say its selling about 50% more for that day despite being 30% below overall number then it will ultimately catch up. But if it started late and also selling fewer tickets at the same point than it’s not good going.
  24. keysersoze123
    That is very good as we are just into day 2. Any comparisons. Did you track TLK?
  25. keysersoze123
    Good points. So what does that tell you. Are you predicting Toy Story 4 numbers in Latin America? Lion King numbers in Europe?
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