mahnamahna

Split $5 million $6 million $3 million $14 million Rings $5 million ($4.2 million for actual Friday) $3.5 million $2 million $10.5 million I don't see how Split misses the #1 spot. Hidden Figures won't go much higher than $11 million (still would be a phenomenal hold over Super Bowl weekend and likely gives it a shot at $170-175 million DOM)

Split seems to be holding well - on pace for $120-130 million DOM. A Dog's Purpose is doing as well as it could have, given the controversy. $18 million OW/$60-65 million DOM would be solid for it. RE6 is doing a little better than I expected. Underworld 5 had me lowering my predictions, but still a middling result. Hidden Figures could finish above The Help, depending on how it holds the next two weekends. Curious about La La Land's Friday/weekend projections.

1/27: Split ($26.5 million) 2/3: Split ($15 million) 2/10: The LEGO Batman Movie ($87.5 million) 2/17: The LEGO Batman Movie ($56 million/$72 million) 2/24: The LEGO Batman Movie ($33 million) 3/3: Logan ($85 million) 3/10: Logan ($48.5 million) 3/17: B&TB ($160.5 million) 3/24: B&TB ($92 million) 3/31: B&TB ($51.5 million) 4/7: B&TB ($32 million) 4/14: FotF ($120 million) 4/21: FotF ($45.5 million) 4/28: FotF ($26 million)

Split looks to be on its way to $115-145 million DOM - depends entirely on the extent of WOM and how it holds against Cure for Wellness next month. Hidden Figures is on pace for $140-155 million DOM - if it actually increases next weekend ($16.5-18.5 million for the weekend), it might surpass The Help ($175-185 million DOM likely being its ceiling unless its BO success persuades some Oscar voters to give the film some serious Best Supporting Actress consideration) La La Land should still do $135-155 million DOM, but it needs a big Oscar bump next weekend and a sub-40% drop over SB weekend to approach Chicago unadjusted (Valentine's Day boost would help, too). Sing is quietly making its way to $275 million DOM while Rogue One has slowed down considerably - still good for $530 million DOM.

Split's looking at 2/12/15/9 ($38 million OW). Considering the solid WOM so far and minimal competition until Feb 24 (Cure for Wellness seems like a niche R-rated horror that's getting dumped), a 3x-3.5x wouldn't shock me. I'm expecting $110-135 million DOM for Split. Possibly $140-155 million DOM if it has better WOM than I expect. XXX is doing about as well as anyone could expect for a sequel no one clamored for dumped in January. Last weekend, it might've done $30-35 million for the 4-day as the lone option with any mass appeal sans Hidden Figures. Now it'll likely limp to $40-45 million DOM and Diesel will return to F&F. Hidden Figures is in good shape - 4/6.5/4.5 ($15 million 3rd weekend of wide release). It's be on pace for $130-150 million DOM, not bad considering it's not likely to win any Oscars this year. La La Land isn't doing awful since the post-MLK frame can lead to harsher-than-expected drops. Still on pace for 2.5/4/3 ($9.5 million). $130-140 million DOM seems more likely than $150-180 million DOM. Depends entirely on its boost next weekend (the 11-13 Oscar nods and a 500-700 theater count increase might get it back to $14-16 million range).

I'm thinking Split will do $2 million $14 million $17 million $10.5 million ($43.5 million OW) Late-night business should be strong enough for a $15-17 million overall opening day.

Looking like it'll end up as: Rogue One - A Star Wars Story: $536 million Finding Dory: $486 million Captain America - Civil War: $408 million The Secret Life of Pets: $368 million The Jungle Book: $364 million Deadpool: $363 million Zootopia: $341 million Batman vs. Superman - Dawn of Justice: $330 million Suicide Squad: $325 million Sing: $273 million Moana: $247 million Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $233 million Doctor Strange: $232 million La La Land: $171 million Jason Bourne: $162 million Star Trek Beyond: $159 million X-Men - Apocalypse: $155 million Trolls: $152 million Hidden Figures: $145 million Kung Fu Panda 3: $143 million Ghostbusters: $128 million Central Intelligence: $127 million The Legend of Tarzan: $126 million Sully: $125 million Bad Moms: $113 million The Angry Birds Movie: $107 million Independence Day - Resurgence: $103 million The Conjuring 2: $102 million Arrival: $101 million Passengers: $100 million

$140-160 million would be my guess based on past Oscar contenders.

I can't see it pushing itself into the top 10 DOM if it has to compete with Coco. $100-125 million DOM would be a reasonable expectation based on past early November animated films. But legs could be quite strong.

1/13-1/16 Patriots Day: $22.5 million/$27.5 million ($29 million) Hidden Figures: $17.5 million/$23.5 million ($56 million) Sing: $15 million/$20.5 million ($241 million) Rogue One: $14 million/$18 million ($504 million) La La Land: $12.5 million/$15 million ($72 million) The Bye Bye Man: $9 million/$10 million Live by Night: $8 million/$8.75 million ($9 million) Moana: $6 million/$8.25 million ($238 million) Underworld - Blood Wars: $5.5 million/$6.25 million ($23 million) Monster Trucks: $5 million/$6.5 million Passengers: $4 million/$4.5 million ($86 million) Manchester by the Sea: $3.5 million/$4 million ($38 million) 1/20-1/22 Split: $36.5 million XXX - The Return of Xander Cage: $22.5 million Hidden Figures: $11.5 million ($71 million) Patriots Day: $10 million ($42 million) Sing: $9 million ($252 million) La La Land: $8.5 million ($83 million) Rogue One: $7.5 million ($514 million) The Founder: $5 million The Bye Bye Man: $4 milllion ($15 million) Moana: $4 million ($243 million) 1/27-1/29 A Dog's Purpose: $29 million Split: $19 million ($65 million) Resident Evil - The Last Chapter: $10 million Hidden Figures: $9.5 million ($85 million) XXX - The Return of Xander Cage: $8 million ($37 million) La La Land: $7.5 million ($94 million) B*******: $7 million Patriots Day: $6.5 million ($52 million) Sing: $5 million ($258 million) Rogue One: $4 million ($520 million) 2/3-2/5 A Dog's Purpose: $17.5 million ($53 million) The Space Between Us: $11.5 million Split: $11 million ($82 million) Rings: $8 million Hidden Figures: $6 million ($94 million) La La Land: $5 million ($102 million) Resident Evil - The Last Chapter: $3.5 million ($16 million) XXX - The Return of Xander Cage: $3 million ($42 million) Sing: $3 million ($262 million) Patriots Day: $3 million ($57 million) 2/10-2/12 The LEGO Batman Movie: $106.5 million Fifty Shades Darker: $40.5 million John Wick - Chapter Two: $18 million A Dog's Purpose: $10 million ($67 million) The Space Between Us: $6 million ($20 million) Split: $6 million ($91 million) Hidden Figures: $5 million ($102 million) La La Land: $4 million ($108 million) Rings: $3 million ($12 million) Resident Evil - The Last Chapter: $2 million ($19 million) 2/17-2/20 The LEGO Batman Movie: $65 million/$82.5 million ($222 million) Fist Fight: $28 million/$34 million The Great Wall: $19 million/$23.5 million Fifty Shades Darker: $14 million/$17 million ($68 million) A Cure for Wellness: $11 million/$12.5 million John Wick - Chapter Two: $10 million/$11.5 million ($36 million) A Dog's Purpose: $8 million/$9.5 million ($80 million) Hidden Figures: $6 million/$7 million ($113 million) Patient Zero: $5.5 million/$6.25 million La La Land: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($117 million)

Huh? ?

Considering it'll likely increase next weekend, I don't think Sing's really set to burn ? it'll still do $200 million+ DOM and quite possibly finish above Moana

Excellent for Rogue One! It should reach the $530-570 million range. Solid for Sing. Hard to predict it since it could huge weekdays next week. Could potentially reach $300-320 million DOM with a $65 million+ 4-day ($85 million+ 6-day) Passengers seems to be on pace for $100-120 million DOM. Could still end up at $80-90 million DOM, but it's too early to tell AC is tanking its way to $45-48 million DOM at this rate.

Given how dark Dragon Tattoo was, I don't know if it's an accurate film to compare with Passengers. Plus, one is rated R and the other is PG-13. Passengers is more GA-friendly, so it could hold better than Dragon Tattoo. No one really knows how frontloaded it'll be at this point. This time of year, most everything holds well, so a $15-18 million OW could still lead to a $100-120 million DOM total. Obviously Sony expected $150-225 million DOM like The Martian and interstellar, but perhaps they should have been more realistic with the budget and their box office expectations

Based on 2011 holds for the 4-day New Year's weekend, I don't see how it misses $500 million DOM. Even with hefty drops throughout January sans MLK, I see it reaching $540 million.

Interested to see where these four go. Other than AC, they all have a fairly wide range for potential. And Moana/LLL could both make some noise, too (wouldn't be shocked if they're both ahead of AC/Why Him?/Fences by 12/30-1/2) Rogue One $70.5 million/$94 million ($315 million) $59 million/$73 million ($452 million) $27 million ($486 million) $16.5 million/$20.5 million ($515 million) $8 million ($525 million) $4.5 million ($532 million) $2 million ($535 million) $543 million DOM Sing $41 million/$57 million ($78 million) $48 million/$59.5 million ($185 million) $26.5 million ($215 million) $17 million/$22 million ($241 million) $10 million ($253 million) $5.5 million ($260 million) $3 million ($264 million) $277 million DOM Passengers $18 million/$25 million ($34 million) $20.5 million/$25 million ($81 million) $9.5 million ($93 million) $4 million/$4.75 million ($100 million) $1.5 million ($102 million) $106 million DOM Assassin's Creed $11 million/$15 million ($23 million) $12 million/$14 million ($47 million) $4 million ($52 million) $1.5 million/$1.75 million ($54 million) $57 million DOM