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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. TLK
    I think 290 million is attainable but it will need non-Twilight legs to get to 295-300 million.
  2. TLK
    These numbers seem kind of low for both movies. They should make more money given that no new movies are opening.
  3. TLK
    If BD1 follows last week's pattern it should drop on Thursday(NM stayed flat) but should have a better weekend. Less than 50% is not happening in any case.
  4. TLK
    BD1 has had better post-Thanksgiving Monday/Tuesday holds than both New Moon and DH1 in % and in $ so far. I don't think 290 million is dead at all.
  5. TLK
    Official Numbers. BD1 $2,525,769 -70.7% Muppets $1,072,282 -82.7% Both movies did slightly better than initial estimates. If you look at Muppets numbers , they aren't actually bad in the context and it should have a huge Friday increase so 100 million is still very much in play. BD1 trailed both DH1 and New Moon on Sunday and it beat both of them by over 100k on Monday. This is just one data point but if it can keep this up, it will likely finish over 290 million.
  6. TLK
    Any movie that makes 220 million in first 10 days has a shot at 300 million. In Twilight's case, the chances are much smaller because of bad legs but if it starts outperorming New Moon in dailies and gets a bigger Holiday boost then it can still do it. I am not going to bet any money on it though.
  7. TLK
    Eclipse opened on a wednesday so direct comparison is a bit misleading but I think it still has an outside shot at 300 million (about 1 in 10) provided it starts outperforming New Moon in dailies. New Moon went head to head against movies like Avatar and The Blind Side so that may very well have prevented it from getting to 300 million.
  8. TLK
    Muppets numbers are a bit disappointing but hopefully good WOM will kick in and it will have a really good holiday run.
  9. TLK
    ^^^^ I agree. There is a pretty good chance that we may see across the board softer increases tomorrow.
  10. TLK
    These are pretty good numbers for both BD1 (+11.6 %) and In Time (+45 %).
  11. TLK
    ^^^^. Yeah, me too. I was pinning my hopes on TinTin earlier in the year but it hasn't gained any traction so far. I don't think SH2 has a legitimate shot at 300 either. If Twilight cannot do it then we'll have only two 300 million movies for the year.
  12. TLK
    Barring a major collapse, it should be able to get close to 400 million.
  13. TLK
    Next 2-3 days will give us a better idea of where it will end up. If it has softer drops over thanksgiving it may end up in the same range as New Moon and Eclipse. It's sunday drop was slightly better than New Moon's and depending on Midnight numbers, its Saturday drop may have been better too.
  14. TLK
    It will get very close to 700 million. It should do around 400 million overseas as it is doing as well as Eclipse(397) and New Moon(413) in most markets. It isn't going to fall below 290 million in US so if it gets a boost around Christmas, it should do over 700 million.
  15. TLK
    BD2 will make more than BD1 because of finale factor. It is not going to come anywhere close to DH2's numbers but it won't fall short of BD1 either.
  16. TLK
    If it holds 42 million is a pretty good Saturday number for this franchise.
  17. TLK
    42 million Saturday142 million weekend.http://www.deadline.com/2011/11/big-overseas-box-office-for-breaking-dawn/
  18. TLK
    It's not making 43.5. It should be in the 38-41 million range.
  19. TLK
    Twilight isn't doing less than 290 million. It has an opening day equal to New Moon and has exceeded Eclipse . The movie is getting positive reaction from fans so there is absolutely no reason for it to suddenly drop 40 million from the previous two movies. In fact, its opening weekend should be in the 140 million range , give or take couple of million.
  20. TLK
    I didn't get it until a couple of moments before it was revealed. It is a pretty good movie though.
  21. TLK
    73.5 million Friday means that it will have a shot at 144-145 million weekend specially if the fan reaction is positive.
  22. TLK
    I agree with Mist, Sixth Sense and Fight Club.Oldboy has a really shocking and perverted twist.
  23. TLK
    The theatre I am tracking has it at 5 evening sellouts and they have already upped the number of shows from 33 to 35. I think it has a good shot at New Moon's 142.5 million number.
  24. TLK
    Woah. 82% is a big Sun-Mon drop for an Adam Sandler movie. Isn't it?
  25. TLK
    Immortals dropped pretty hard. If these numbers hold then 100 million may not happen.
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