TLK
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Everything posted by TLK
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It gets worse. It will lose all IMAX theaters on Thursday. -
Interesting list from wiki.Top Selling Books of all Time.http://en.wikipedia....t-selling_booksThe Hobbit has sold 100 million books. I knew it was very popular but I didn't think it had sold so many copies.
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Yep. I think it has sold more than half of the 25 million books in the past few months. This is a huge win for LGF in more than one way.
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Yep, maybe young adult book properties are better off in the hands of smaller studios. They have demonstrated that they can handle them better than Warner Brothers.
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They don't compare well at all with Harry Potter. Potter had already sold over 100 million books (on its way to 400+) worldwide before the movies were released.
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I think this movie is a marketing phenomena. They had a lot to work with in bestselling books but they got more out of it than Warner Brothers ever got out of Harry Potter.
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Yep. All shows between 7:30 and 10:30 are sold out.To put it in perspective, it had 14 midnights and 32 shows yesterday. Only a couple of 2-3 PM shows yesterday weren't sold out. It is doing better than Potter or Twilight ever did. From what I can tell it is doing better than yesterday but this is just one theatre and I am too busy to check any other theatres.
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Wow. I just checked the theatre I am tracking and it sold out every Saturday show between noon and 4:40 PM. I have never seen this happen in last 10 years.
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Matinees were off the charts yesterday but I guess if there is enough demand 50 can happen.
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Damn. That's a pretty freaking good number. Much better than I was expecting yesterday. Anyone knows how it is doing today? It can't possibly increase today. Can it?
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It won't necessarily increase. There is only so much business a movie can do in a single day and by all indications it maximized its business this Friday. Will it sell out matinees and midnight shows again on Saturday? I doubt it and I think it is because of the demo it is targeting, DH1, DH2, and Twilight sequels are the likely models that it will follow today but we'll see.
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I'm pretty sure that it will drop some on Saturday but it is good for 135 million or so. I don't think this movie has the kind of inbuilt audience that TDK had and it has already sold over 7.5-8 million tickets. It should drop by 5-10%.
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This is very interesting as it tells us a lot about the demo waiting to see THG.
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My initial expectation in the morning was 63 million FRI based on its comparison with New Moon. If it significantly outperforms New Moon then I guess 70 million is possible but I don't really see 75 million and I won't bet any money on 70 either.
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21 Jump Street is going to get killed. I don't think THG's core audience will be interested in 21JST even if there is spillover.
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Overseas is where you see the difference between a big studio like WB and a small one like LGF. It is understandable that they didn't have the budget to fully market THG overseas but there is no reason why they couldn't have waited a couple of weeks before releasing this movie in most of the overseas market. If they had waited and let it become a Hollywood movie phenomena, its success would've been contagious in more than a few markets. Right now I don't see it overperforming Twilight by that much overall.
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My guess is that RS and MTC sample over different time periods with RS sampling before MTC. That way, if a movie is gaining momentum, MTC will find it tracking at a higher number than RS and it will likely finish above MTC's score. Same goes for any movie that is collapsing.
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NCAA tournament continues next week so that may have a little bit of effect too.
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It decreased from Friday. Most movies have increased but the combination of St. Patrick's day and NCAA tournament hurt all the movies. The Lorax is supposed to have increased by less than 30% on Saturday. That's pathetic for a Children's animation.
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Weekend projections21 Jump Street- 37 millionThe Lorax- 31 millionJC 14.5-15 million I'm assuming minimum influence of spring break and expecting moderate Saturday increase for 21JST and healthy increases for Lorax and JC.
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I think Journey 2 will reach 100 million and Safe House will probably narrowly edge out The Vow in the end.
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
TLK replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Wow. 100 million for MI4. I didn't realize that it was doing this well in China. -
Friday Estimates (1:30PM Update) -- JC ($9.5-11m), Lorax ($9-9.5m)
TLK replied to darthdevidem01's topic in Numbers and Data
If these numbers hold then all the new releases seem to be exceeding the tracking but it is too early for weekend predictions so we'll see. My guess is that both JC and Lorax will be either very close to 10 million FRI or exceed it. -
The Help should get to 5 million, which is a pretty impressive feat these days for a movie that only made 170 million.
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I think the movie looks very colorful and appealing to young kids. Apparently it is getting good reviews too which means it should have good legs to go along with a great opening. One of the problem with many animated movies last year was that they didn't "look" as good. Movies like Cars 2, KFP 2 and Rango just weren't as visually appealing as The Lorax or even Rio.
