Cynosure

What's also 'funny' is that Shin-chan fell 97.6% (!!!) compared to last Wednesday. Sure, it was the biggest GW day, but none of the other movies fell more than 90%.

I wouldn't be surprised if Zootopia increases this weekend.

I don't know how people can stand that kind of weather. I get about 300 days of sun per year where I live and I still find rain and clouds too common. It's also a mostly dry region, thankfully. Humidity and high temperatures make for an awful combination.

Corpse : (C)2016 Disney. All Rights Reserved Weekend Estimates (05/07-08)/2016年05月07日-2016年05月08日 01 (02) ¥346,000,000 ($3.2 million), -32%, ¥2,925,000,000 ($27.3 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK3 02 (01) ¥269,000,000 ($2.5 million), -52%, ¥5,020,000,000 ($46.3 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK4 03 (---) ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), 64: Part 1 (Toho) NEW 04 (03) ¥228,000,000 ($2.1 million), -49%, ¥1,760,000,000 ($16.4 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) WK2 05 (---) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Road to High & Low (Shochiku) NEW 06 (03) ¥109,000,000 ($1.0 million), -52%, ¥1,660,000,000 ($15.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK4 07 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($950,000), -53%, ¥785,000,000 ($7.3 million), Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) WK2 08 (06) ¥97,000,000 ($905,000), -43%, ¥1,085,000,000 ($10.3 million), I Am a Hero (Toho) WK3 09 (09) ¥73,000,000 ($685,000), +09%, ¥445,000,000 ($4.1 million), Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) WK3 10 (07) ¥60,000,000 ($560,000), -60%, ¥540,000,000 ($5.1 million), Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) WK2 A lot of rough drops this weekend, but post-Golden Week considered, these aren't too bad. >Zootopia claims its first weekend atop the box office over its third weekend in release, and delivered a very nice hold that's slightly better than Cinderella's from last year. It's edging closer and closer to the ¥3 billion milestone and should also exceed the ¥4 billion ($35 million) near the end of May. From there, it begins its mission of reaching the ¥5 billion ($45 million) blockbuster milestone; chances being about 50/50 at the moment. >Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare is finally dethroned after enjoying three-consecutive weeks in first place. The Detective Conan films always drop over 50% over the post Golden Week weekend, so the large decline here isn't surprising (in fact, if estimates hold, it's slightly better than most previous entries). It's either barely below or just above the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone after this weekend, and having accomplished that achievement and becoming the highest-grossing film in the series, the only thing left for it to do now is to add more to it's incredible total as it aims for ¥6 billion ($55 million). >Captain America: Civil War also experiences a rough second weekend drop, however, given the frontloaded nature of superhero films in the market and with it coming off of Golden Week, a decline around 50% is actually quite good. It remains on course to exceed the ¥2.5 billion milestone, and while I doubt it'll have the legs required to reach the ¥3 billion mark, as long as it can reach ¥2.58 billion (beating Iron Man 3), it'll claim the title of highest-grossing non-Spider-Man/Avengers film. >64: Part 1 managed to surprise a bit over the weekend, coming in much higher than its pre-sales indicated on Friday. This was largely due to how strongly its walk-up business was in the morning/afternoon hours, suggesting it has significant senior appeal. The police drama starring Koichi Sato looks to have comfortably debuted above ¥200 million, unless its senior audience drove its avg. ticket price down too much, so it's likely to become another ¥1 billion earner this year. >Road to High & Low... I really misread this one on Friday when I posted the weekend forecast. Its pre-sales represented a very high percentage of its weekend admissions, and I didn't check beforehand to notice it had a limited number of showtimes as well. Still, an opening above ¥100 million on just 141 screens for a preview of the actual film that'll open on July 16th is still impressive. >Terra Formars pretty much collapsed. Its admissions were down nearly 70%, and with a weekend drop around the 60% mark (very, very rare in Japan), it'll be losing seating/screens very, very fast. It's unlikely to reach the ¥1 billion milestone now as well, making this film a bomb for Warner Bros..

Yeah, the guy is bonkers. Overall drop should be softer than Parisian drop but no way it's as low as 25%.

Continental Europe not here for CW it seems.

And here I thought it was supposed to do $80m on Saturday.

Never saw Shrek 2 but I did love the first one.

In admissions, yes. But Sunday's average ticket price will rise compared to last Sunday, the drop in revenue won't be as significant.

It will probably fall less than 10% compared to its OW which will be a great result.

That's a great hold for Zootopia. Now I'm on the $1B train.

BvS's Friday was inflated because Good Friday.

Indeed. Would have been a sight to behold here.

Corpse : (C)「HiGH&LOW」製作委員会 Weekend Forecast (05/07-08)/2016年05月07日-2016年05月08日 01 (02) ¥296,000,000 ($2.8 million), -42%, ¥2,875,000,000 ($26.9 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK3 02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥275,000,000 ($2.6 million), Road to High & Low (Shochiku) NEW 03 (01) ¥252,000,000 ($2.4 million), -55%, ¥5,000,000,000 ($46.2 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK4 04 (03) ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million), -51%, ¥1,750,000,000 ($16.3 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) WK2 05 (---) ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), 64: Part 1 (Toho) NEW 06 (03) ¥101,000,000 ($940,000), -56%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($15.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK4 07 (05) ¥91,000,000 ($850,000), -58%, ¥775,000,000 ($7.2 million), Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) WK2 08 (06) ¥88,000,000 ($820,000), -48%, ¥1,075,000,000 ($10.2 million), I Am a Hero (Toho) WK3 09 (07) ¥72,000,000 ($670,000), -52%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.2 million), Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) WK2 10 (09) ¥54,000,000 ($505,000), -20%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.9 million), Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) WK3 The post Golden Week weekend always experiences heavy declines, and based on Saturday pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales, this year will be no different. Zootopia is looking to capture its first weekend atop the box office, in its third week, and will do so unless Road to High & Low ends up with a very high avg. ticket price. EXILE Tribe, one of Japan's musical supergroups (a collection of already established acts forming a single group), which consists of some of Japan's biggest acts, launched a multi-media entertainment project ("High & Low") this year that includes a new drama, album, tour, manga, and more. This project will eventually lead to the release of a movie, High & Low: The Story of S.W.O.R.D on July 16th, but before then, this weekend's Road to High & Low will give fans a taste of this Summer's main event.

The 'major outlets' are mostly terrible at early predictions.

I know. That's precisely what I'm saying.

I want to be cocky and say 'I told you so' about it being to early to determine WOM.

Saturday pre-sales : *1　14723　ＲＯＡＤ ＴＯ ＨｉＧＨ＆ＬＯＷ *2　*9825　Zootopia *3　*8422　Captain America : Civil War *4　*6255　64-ロクヨン- 前編 *5　*5339　Yu-gi-oh ＴＨＥ ＤＡＲＫ ＳＩＤＥ ＯＦ ＤＩＭＥＮＳＩＯＮＳ *6　*4781　Detective Conan 2016 *7　*2189　Crayon Shin-chan 2016 http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-11295.html Pre-sales are not necessarily indicative of the upcoming daily ranking.

Thursday > Friday drops : CW : -53% Conan : -78% Zootopia : -77.5%

A little less I think. 2% inflation for 10 years puts JW's OW at $255m and I think another movie will do better adjusted by then.

The dollar has increased about 30% on the Canadian dollar since TA opened. With Canada being about 10% of the DOM gross, you actually have a 3% decrease in the gross compared to 2012. Say CW does $194.5 OW, adding 3% would get it over $200M.

Titanic is in an even higher league.

AOU's multiplier would give it a $173.25m OW but better holds are to be expected so in the end it should open right around AOU's numbers I think.

R.I.P BKB's club