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Cynosure

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Everything posted by Cynosure

  1. Cynosure
    I don't know about yen. I'm talking about tickets. Its admissions will fall behind as sunday evenings usually have very few admissions after 10 pm unlike saturday evenings.
  2. Cynosure
    BATB will probably be down a bit on sunday.
  3. Cynosure
    Corpse : Beauty and the Beast performed very, very well on Saturday, and has probably assured that it'll achieve a debut above the ¥1 billion mark. Here's how it compares to the five ¥1 billion debuts of the past few years, including last weekend's Detective Conan. Saturday Results - ¥1 billion+ Openers (Two-Thirds of Market) : Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676], Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017) 317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727], Yo-Kai Watch 2 (2015) 293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) 289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502], Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016) 286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256], One Piece Film Gold (2016) 262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327], Beauty and the Beast (2017) Its Saturday is lower than all the other ¥1 billion openers of the past few years, but it's still very impressive, and should come in around 800,000 admissions over the weekend frame (Alice in Wonderland sold 828,000, so that's the main target) if its Sunday is roughly on par with yesterday. It's hard to predict what its avg. ticket price will be (3D family films vary greatly), but even a low avg. ticket price should carry it above the ¥1 billion mark. I'm thinking it'll debut with around ¥1.1 billion ($10 million), which makes it a ¥10 billion (~$90 million+) contender.
  4. Cynosure
    I maintain that biggest worldwide openings should be done by combining all debuts regardless of release date. This doesn't mean anything when Star Wars debuted a month later in China.
  5. Cynosure
    First time since 2014 would require a 1 million debut in admissions, not a 1 billion debut in yen. The last movie to do it was Yôkai Watch in december 2014. Imagine if BATB had opened this weekend. The Japanese BO would have exploded.
  6. Cynosure
    Perhaps the fact that France has stronger cultural ties to Polynesia than most countries (via French Polynesia) explains why the movie is dong so well here relatively speaking.
  7. Cynosure
    This is the fourth consecutive time I believe that DOM and OS year end #1s will be different. 2016 : Rogue One DOM, Civil War OS 2015 : TFA DOM, Furious 7 OS 2014 : American Sniper DOM, Transformer 4 OS 2013 : Catching Fire DOM, Frozen OS The last movie to top both the DOM box-office and the OS box-office was The Avengers in 2012. As SW VIII is likely to be the #1 DOM in 2017, the only question is if it will be able to win the #1 OS crown as well ?
  8. Cynosure
    Star Wars is only bigger than Potter in the domestic market and maybe in a few other select countries. Different tastes for different people. It happens.
  9. Cynosure
    Glad to see I agree with China on at least one thing : the snoozefest that is the SW franchise.
  10. Cynosure
    Beating Spirited Away in gross would be one thing, but with tickets being slightly more expensive today compared to 2001 it will need to gross more to beat it in admissions.
  11. Cynosure
    There's a strong cinema culture in France and the industry has promoted cheaper tickets at certain periods (Printemps du Cinéma, etc.) and for those who go to the movies regularly. My parents for example go see a lot of movies, between 30 and 40 a year, and pay something like 4-5€ on average thanks to all these promos.
  12. Cynosure
    Your Name is opening today. I'm hoping for a breakout.
  13. Cynosure
    The HP franchise was much bigger OS than DOM. SW is much bigger DOM than OS. Not surprising.
  14. Cynosure
    The 14th of the month is a discount day at Toho's, that's why.
  15. Cynosure
    The French box-office is following an opposite trend compared to the American box-office : less huge movies but an increasing number of mid-sized movies.
  16. Cynosure
    No movie will ever beat those "fasted to X billion" Spirited Away holds...
  17. Cynosure
    It's just following the usual trend at this point.
  18. Cynosure
  19. Cynosure
    The movie underperformed in many countries OS and especially so in Europe, so I don't know why people expecteded Italy to buck the trend. I wouldn't be surprised if Germany and Austria follow a similar pattern.
  20. Cynosure
    Video games have expanded on mobile instead.
  21. Cynosure
    It's going to break all of Frozen's weekend records at this rate, except perhaps the Golden Week weekend one which was I believe Frozen's 8th weekend.
  22. Cynosure
    I believe superhero movies tend to have quite a high pre-sales/total sales ratio in the market so I wouldn't anticipate a big weekend for SS just yet.
  23. Cynosure
    Do you think the fact that it was released in a period without any strong weekdays a la Golden Week, Obon or New Year is helping make its weekends stronger ?
  24. Cynosure
    No year end #1 for TFA.
  25. Cynosure
    8 movies above 5 billion yen (counting One Piece Gold and Your name), that would be quite impressive. Any other +5 billion yen candidate in the upcoming months ?
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