Cynosure

Oh, my bad then. I must have been fooled by the difference compared to sunday. I really had the impression that it didn't lose that much of its early lead on Conan compared to last week. On its opening saturday, and based on 1/3 of the market at the time, BH6 registered 39,822 out of 83,537 admissions (about 47.5%) before 2.30 pm, so yes it seems it was much stronger than Zootopia in the afternoon and the evening.

For the first time Zootopia was really strong during the entire day. Maybe WOM is starting to spread among adults ?

Conan typically falls 60% in the post-GW weekend so I'd say the #1 spot this weekend is pretty much secured for Zootopia. Cinderella fell around 40% last year so a drop below that would be pretty good, especially since animated features tend to fall the most after GW compared to live-action movies. And then it needs to maintain good holds from its 5th weekend on to have strong late legs like in a few other markets.

Children's Day (May 5) is usually the biggest day but since this year May 4 falls on Ladies Day it could be the biggest day instead.

Corpse : (C)2016 青山剛昌／名探偵コナン製作委員会 Weekend Actuals (04/30-05/01)/2016年04月30日-2016年05月01日 01 (01) ¥562,252,800 ($5.3 million), -17%, ¥3,698,369,400 ($33.9 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK3 02 (02) ¥509,699,700 ($4.8 million), +14%, ¥1,438,299,400 ($13.3 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK2 03 (---) ¥448,809,900 ($4.2 million), 0, ¥747,083,100 ($7.0 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) NEW 04 (03) ¥229,574,200 ($2.2 million), -03%, ¥1,123,938,000 ($10.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK3 05 (---) ¥216,326,200 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥334,722,200 ($3.1 million), Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) NEW 06 (04) ¥169,287,800 ($1.6 million), -25%, ¥655,866,400 ($6.0 million), I Am a Hero (Toho) WK2 07 (---) ¥150,636,500 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥227,446,500 ($2.2 million), Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) NEW 08 (05) ¥112,430,100 ($1.1 million), -37%, ¥581,089,600 ($5.4 million), The Revenant (Fox) WK2 09 (06) ¥67,285,400 ($633,000), -49%, ¥283,954,400 ($2.7 million), Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) WK2 10 (07) ¥46,797,100 ($441,000), -38%, ¥3,332,502,000 ($30.1 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK6 >Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare once again retains its position atop the box office, delivering yet another excellent weekend gross in its third week of release. The 20th anniversary release sold a great 490,261 admissions over the weekend frame (down just 6%), bringing its three week admissions above 2.9 million. The breakout entry in the popular series is well on its way to becoming the highest grossing film in the franchise, and should be able make that claim sometime later this week. It's still on track to earn as much as ¥6 billion ($55 million) or more when all is said and done. >Zootopia remains in second place, fending off a new Disney release, and was actually the only film to manage a weekend increase. Disney's latest hit film sold 443,249 admissions in its second week of release, up a very impressive 35% over its opening weekend admissions. A second weekend increase was likely, but that percentage is very, very strong. It'll remain difficult to project where this one may finish its run because it could see a severe decline once Golden Week is over, since it's skewing toward a young audience, but it should at the very least be able to exceed ¥4 billion ($35 million) and could certainly still make a run at the ¥5 billion ($45 million) blockbuster milestone. >Captain America: Civil War debuts in third place, meaning Japan was the only market that has opened so far where it didn't open at #1. Although, a first place debut was very unlikely, so that news isn't as bad as it seems since its numbers are quite impressive. The latest entry in the MCU sold a solid 322,943 admissions over the weekend frame across 625 screens. Since opening on Friday, its three day admissions reached 515,131. This opening makes it the seventh biggest opening for a superhero film in the market, trailing only the original Spider-Man trilogy, The Amazing Spider-Man, and the two Avenger films. The opening is also a whopping 226% above that of Captain America: The Winter Soldier. Overall, while it didn't come in first place, this is a strong start, and if it can match the legs of The Amazing Spider-Man 2 or Iron Man 3 (both previous Golden Week openers that it opened slightly higher than), then a total above ¥2.5 billion is assured with the chance of exceeding ¥3 billion ($25 million) as well. >Chihayafuru - Part 2 accomplished a rare feat this weekend - opening above the first part of the film! It's very rare for the second half of a film in Japan to open higher than its predecessor that's release 2 months apart, but it did just that by selling 193,226 admissions on 294 screens over the weekend, up 32% compared to the first film. >Terra Formars was the only disappointment of the weekend. Takashi Miike's live-action adaptation of the popular manga/anime series only sold 128,730 admissions over the weekend frame on 327 screens. Given everything the film had in its favor, despite a mixed reception, it should have managed an opening a lot better than this. As it stands, it'll be in for a struggle to reach the ¥1 billion milestone.

Wednesday May 4 - Seats : Conan 409,163 (-2.5%) Zootopia 316,317 (+2.5%) Civil War 281,583 (-2%)

Yep. I'm glad Zootopia will keep the yearly #1 at least a while longer.

5 day total : 1,212,314 By comparison : Iron Man 3 : 1 633 980 Avengers 2 : 1 556 508 Avengers : 1 441 080 Captain America 3 : 1 212 314 Iron Man 2 : 1 092 774 Thor 2 : 1 053 213 Thor : 781 803 Iron Man : 774 306 Les Gardiens de la Galaxie : 732 378 Captain America 2 : 657 540 Ant-Man : 523 788 (6 days) L'Incroyable Hulk : 418 456 Captain America : 334 805 It's having poor early legs in this market as well. Early admissions had it on par with AOU and now it's fallen almost 350k behind. In the end it might not even beat Deadpool (3.74M admissions) for 2016 n°1 superhero movie.

BvS called, it wants its broken legs back.

Civil War won monday. Zootopia finished third. Since it wasn't a holiday the more adult movies performed better. I expect Civil War to be back at three during the next three days and a fight at the top between Conan and Zootopia.

Crayon Shin-chan increased too. The more kid-friendly movies tend to have the best holds/increases during GW weekend. It's not surprising. If it can achieve the or one of the lowest drops in the top 10 next weekend, then I'll join the $60M club.

That revenue share is absurd.

Corpse : (C)2016 青山剛昌／名探偵コナン製作委員会 Weekend Estimates (04/30-05/01)/2016年04月30日-2016年05月01日 01 (01) ¥598,000,000 ($5.6 million), -12%, ¥3,675,000,000 ($33.6 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK3 02 (02) ¥552,000,000 ($5.2 million), +24%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($13.2 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK2 03 (--) ¥470,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥760,000,000 ($7.1 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) NEW 04 (03) ¥261,000,000 ($2.4 million), +11%, ¥1,150,000,000 ($10.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK3 05 (--) ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥355,000,000 ($3.3 million), Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) NEW 06 (04) ¥189,000,000 ($1.8 million), -16%, ¥630,000,000 ($5.8 million), I Am a Hero (Toho) WK2 07 (--) ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) NEW 08 (05) ¥114,000,000 ($1.1 million), -36%, ¥540,000,000 ($5.1 million), The Revenant (Fox) WK2 09 (06) ¥70,000,000 ($660,000), -47%, ¥280,000,000 ($2.6 million), Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) WK2 10 (07) ¥48,000,000 ($450,000), -37%, ¥3,330,000,000 ($30.0 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK6 Note: Sunday was a Discount Day (40% off tickets nationwide), so the weekend holds will be higher (on avg. 5-10%) than the admission holds.

Both Australia and the U.K pointing to a similar direction when it comes to the DOM opening it seems.

Corpse : Golden Week: 2016 - Daily Estimates (04/29-05/05) Friday (Showa Day) ¥290,000,000 ($2.7 million) / 190,000-200,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 1 ¥280,000,000 ($2.6 million) / 205,000-215,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 14 ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 180,000-190,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 7 ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 100,000-105,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 1 ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million) / 90,000-95,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 14 ¥80,000,000 ($750,000) / 60,000-65,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 1 Saturday ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 175,000-185,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 15 ¥215,000,000 ($2.0 million) / 160,000-170,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 8 ¥205,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000-140,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 2 ¥95,000,000 ($890,000) / 75,000-80,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 2 ¥95,000,000 ($890,000) / 80,000-85,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 15 ¥55,000,000 ($525,000) / 40,000-45,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 2 Sunday (Discount Day) ¥365,000,000 ($3.4 million) / 305,000-315,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 16 ¥345,000,000 ($3.2 million) / 280,000-290,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 9 ¥275,000,000 ($2.6 million) / 190,000-200,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 3 ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 120,000-130,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 16 ¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 110,000-120,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 3 ¥90,000,000 ($845,000) / 70,000-75,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 3

That's the three day number. 2 day OW number is probably around $4.5M, give or take.

They have no reason to. Civil War is doing what is expected of a non-Spiderman/Avengers superhero movie in Japan. It will do $20-25M and bye-bye.

Yes, especially since it's in France.

The latter. You can't establish a trend based on one month of data.

8 pm (local time) - 2/3 of the market (sunday/saturday change) : 181,702　Conan (up 81%) 172,865　Zootopia (up 74%) 110,798 Civil War (up 51%) Huge day.

11 am (local time) - 2/3 of the market (sunday/saturday change) : 55,244　Zootopia (up 102%) 50,692　Conan (up 124%) 23,953 Civil War (up 2.5%)

Nope, it isn't. And I don't keep it. Corpse has an hourly or bi-hourly update on KJ though. And the website has a few stored updates every day.

Yeah, the link can be annoying sometimes. Try with another navigator or refresh. Yep, multiplied by more than 2.5 compared to yesterday at the same time.

10 am (local time) - 2/3 of the market 30,633　Conan 28,738　Zootopia 16,936 Civil War Boom ! That 100% saturday > sunday increase, and even 157% for Zootopia.

I really doubt Civil War will reach that Zootopia figure.